Connect with us

Terrorism

Al-Shabaab is 18 Years Old: Six Factors Behind The Militant Group’s Resilience

Published

on

The United Nations Security Council extended the mandate for the African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (Atmis) on August 15, 2024, marking 18 years of international efforts to crush the homegrown parasite that is al-Shabaab. Yet, despite the presence of 12,626 troops in an ostensibly noble mission, the reality on the ground tells a different story: al-Shabaab stands strong as ever, thriving amidst chaos. So, why does this militant group remain such a stubborn enigma?

Emerging from the ashes of a disintegrating Somali state in 2006, often cloaked in the mantle of radical sharia law, al-Shabaab has endured unimaginable setbacks, from battlefield defeats to territorial losses. Yet, alongside these defeats, it has forged alliances and adapted in ways that challenge Western counterinsurgency efforts. Indeed, as a member of the al-Qaeda global terrorist network since 2012, al-Shabaab boasts an estimated fighting force of 7,000 to 12,000, making it a formidable adversary within the jihadist realm.

So, what fuels its relentless adaptability?

1. The Flawed Western Doctrine

The West’s approach, centered around a misguided “hearts and minds” strategy, has failed spectacularly. Building democratic institutions in a war zone is akin to constructing sandcastles at high tide: ineffective and short-lived. As a result, civilians are left to navigate a perilous landscape, often coerced into supporting insurgents simply for survival. This has created a vacuum that al-Shabaab exploits, positioning itself as a protector in a chaotic environment.

2. The Taxation Machine

Al-Shabaab operates like a well-oiled revenue collection engine, thriving on illegal taxation, extortion, and criminal enterprises. The failure of government forces to secure areas once thought ‘liberated’ has allowed the group to maintain control even in territories patrolled by African Union forces. While the Somali government has made strides in countering this revenue stream, such as cracking down on electronic payments, it fails to grasp a crucial point: in a state of lawlessness, desperate citizens willingly fund their oppressors for a semblance of security.

3. The Protector Paradox

Ironically, al-Shabaab’s brutal interpretation of sharia law also contributes to its stronghold. By presenting itself as a stabilizing force—albeit a harsh one—it cultivates an image of predictability and order. The group’s court system, though draconian, delivers results in a landscape largely abandoned by the state, endearing it to a population in desperate need of structure.

4. Clan Rivalries: A Double-Edged Sword

In Somalia, clans are not just social constructs; they dictate every facet of life, including allegiances to al-Shabaab. The group’s strategic courting of clan leaders fortifies its position while undermining government attempts at cohesive governance. Yet, as government forces attempt to rally clan support against al-Shabaab, internal rivalries only serve to splinter these efforts, driving some clans into the arms of the very group they are meant to fight.

5. Somali Army: A House of Cards

While there’s a glimmer of hope with the emergence of a more structured Somali army, the reality is sobering. With approximately 19,000 troops, including mobile forces trained by Western allies, the army is hamstrung by internal corruption, clan-based recruitment, and a lack of logistical capacity. This undermines their ability to launch simultaneous offensives—raising serious skepticism about their capacity to assert control and protect federal states against al-Shabaab.

6. Safe Havens: The Fortress of Al-Shabaab

Crucially, the strongholds in the lower and middle Juba regions remain untouched by the current military offensives. With a decade and a half of established governance, these territories have transformed into sanctuaries for al-Shabaab, enabling the group to regroup, train new recruits, and strategize—essentially, a breeding ground for jihadist ideology and operations.

What Lies Ahead?

The apparent stalemate in Somalia’s fight against al-Shabaab raises urgent questions about the efficacy of existing strategies. The past clearly holds lessons for the future, yet these lessons are often disregarded in favor of outdated ideologies. As the battle continues and al-Shabaab evolves, a recalibration of tactics that genuinely puts the Somali people’s security at the forefront is desperately needed. Failing to confront these uncomfortable truths only cements al-Shabaab’s position as a resilient predator in a landscape fraught with despair, chaos, and untapped potential for catastrophe. The world must ask: Can we afford to let this beast thrive unchecked for another eighteen years?

Editor's Pick

Captive German Nurse Makes Desperate Plea After 7-Year Somalia Ordeal

Published

on

Sonja Nientiet urges swift German government intervention, warning her health is critically deteriorating after seven years in captivity.

In a new video released after seven agonizing years of captivity in Somalia, German nurse Sonja Nientiet has urgently pleaded for the German government to intensify efforts to secure her immediate release. Nientiet, who was abducted in Mogadishu in 2018 while working for the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), expressed dire concerns about her rapidly deteriorating health.

“My health is deteriorating,” Nientiet says emotionally in the video, posted by an individual named Liibaan Osman. She urgently warns that “every day that passes makes the situation more critical,” emphasizing that her prolonged captivity could soon claim her life.

Nientiet was kidnapped on May 2, 2018, after armed assailants—allegedly with inside help from a disgruntled security guard—stormed the ICRC office in Mogadishu. Despite intensive German intelligence efforts to track down her location and captors, who have demanded millions of dollars in ransom, the nurse remains captive and vulnerable.

The release of this disturbing footage has intensified pressure on the German government to secure Nientiet’s freedom. Yet, authorities have publicly maintained their longstanding policy of silence on hostage negotiations, declining direct comment.

Before her abduction, Nientiet had provided humanitarian assistance in Syria and the Democratic Republic of Congo, highlighting her commitment to aid in conflict zones. The ICRC expressed renewed urgency following the video, stating deep concern for her safety and health.

With her desperate plea now public, the stakes for Germany have dramatically increased, shifting the crisis into an urgent test of diplomatic resolve—one where each passing day could tragically mark the difference between life and death.

Continue Reading

Terrorism

U.S. Airstrikes Hit ISIS in Al Miskaad Mountains — But Can Air Power Break a Grounded Insurgency?

Published

on

Late Monday night, U.S. airpower once again entered the skies over Somalia’s rugged north. This time, it struck deep into the Miiraale Valley within the Al Miskaad mountain range, targeting entrenched ISIS militants in one of the most formidable insurgent hideouts in the Horn of Africa.

The strike, confirmed by Puntland security officials and U.S. defense sources, is the latest in a series of joint operations aimed at crippling the Islamic State’s growing footprint in the region. But observers warn: while drones may kill fighters, airstrikes alone won’t dislodge ideology or infrastructure.

Why Al Miskaad Matters

The Al Miskaad mountains — isolated, harsh, and largely ungoverned — offer ISIS militants a natural fortress. Since splintering from Al-Shabaab, ISIS has carved out strongholds in Somalia’s northeast, recruiting local clans and importing foreign fighters who seek safe haven from pressure elsewhere.

Launched jointly by Puntland security forces and supported by international partners, including the United States, Operation “Lightning” has reportedly killed dozens of ISIS fighters over the past few months. The most recent U.S. strike, officials claim, targeted key logistics sites in Miiraale Valley.

Puntland’s government says it is making gains — but ISIS’s ability to launch attacks, including December’s deadly assault on security forces, suggests otherwise. Fighters, including foreign jihadists, continue to infiltrate the region, bringing cash, ideology, and combat experience.

What Comes Next?

Puntland forces say they remain committed to rooting out ISIS from the region. But the rugged terrain, lack of sustained local governance, and the difficulty of intelligence-gathering in such a hostile environment mean the conflict is far from over.

For now, the U.S. strike may have decimated a camp or killed key operatives. But the deeper question remains: can Puntland and its allies keep ISIS from regrouping, or will the Al Miskaad mountains continue to echo with gunfire?

Continue Reading

Terrorism

Al-Shabaab Defector Testifies: Buuhoodle Has Become a Training Hub for Militants

Published

on

Explosive testimony emerged from the Puntland Armed Forces Court on Monday, as one of 10 defendants on trial for alleged ties to terror groups Al-Shabaab and ISIS claimed that Buuhoodle town is a known recruitment and training center for Al-Shabaab.

The unnamed defendant, who told the court he defected from Al-Shabaab, stated that residents of Buuhoodle were trained in Jilib, the group’s longtime headquarters in southern Somalia. He further claimed he had been instructed to establish a training camp in Buuhoodle but refused, saying, “That is what made me turn away from Al-Shabaab.”

“Most of the people living in Buuhoodle are Al-Shabaab. Many of those who trained with me have already been arrested,” the man told the court.

According to the court proceedings, the man had initially fled to Hargeisa but claimed he was harassed, leading him to travel to Jilib for training. After defecting, he surrendered to Ethiopia’s Liyuu Police, who reportedly told him they couldn’t help and advised him to seek refuge in Puntland instead. He insisted he has committed no crimes, but said he feared for his life after rejecting Al-Shabaab’s ideology.

The court in Bosaso is expected to issue verdicts soon against the 10 men on trial, which include two foreign nationals.

Defendants:

  1. Nuur Mohamed Macalin, 30
  2. Mutahar Xamud Qayib, 24 (foreigner)
  3. Salaad Caseyr Muse, 62
  4. Mushir Mohamed Said, 38 (foreigner)
  5. Ibrahim Yuuya Ali, 35
  6. Abdilaahi Ali Ayuu, 25
  7. Abdilaahi Ahmed Yusuf, 25
  8. Mohamed Macalin Adan, 25
  9. Hasan Yusuf Macalin Isaaq, 27
  10. Amxmed Mohamed Abdi, 40

Background:
Al-Shabaab, a U.S.-designated terrorist organization, has long used Jilib as its main stronghold and training base. The group has been responsible for hundreds of deadly attacks across Somalia, Puntland, and even neighboring Kenya and Ethiopia. The allegation that Buuhoodle, located near the Somaliland-Ethiopia border, is becoming a training hub raises major regional security concerns.

This case may further strain inter-regional relations as Puntland courts make bold assertions implicating residents of Somaliland territory in militant activity. The outcome of the trial — and any potential reaction from local communities or political entities — could have significant national security implications.

Stay with WARYATV for exclusive coverage.

Continue Reading

Terrorism

Turkey’s High-Tech Aid to Somalia: Akinci Drones Set to Transform Anti-Terror Strategy

Published

on

Turkey escalates its military support for Somalia with advanced unmanned aerial vehicles, aiming to turn the tide against Al-Shabaab.

Turkey has stepped up its military aid to Somalia by deploying advanced Bayraktar Akinci drones, significantly enhancing Somalia’s capabilities to combat the persistent threat posed by Al-Shabaab. This strategic move not only amplifies the Somali National Army’s (SNA) operational effectiveness with high-endurance, precision-targeting technology but also marks a pivotal shift in the regional power dynamics.

The introduction of the Akinci drones, equipped with superior surveillance systems and an impressive payload capacity, promises a new era in precision airstrikes for Somalia. These drones can carry a diverse arsenal, from SOM cruise missiles to MK-82 bombs, enabling detailed and discrete operations against militant hideouts without significant collateral damage.

This deployment underlines Turkey’s robust commitment to Somalia’s security architecture, extending beyond mere military hardware to encompass training and infrastructural support. By enhancing the SNA’s tactical capabilities, Turkey is not just countering the immediate threats but also contributing to a long-term stability strategy in the Horn of Africa.

Analysts view this development as a game-changer that could deter Al-Shabaab’s operations and reduce their territorial control, potentially leading to a more secure and stable Somalia.

Continue Reading

Terrorism

Former ISIS Leader Dies in Puntland Prison: Details Unconfirmed

Published

on

Ex-ISIS commander Abdirahman Shirwac Lahore’s mysterious death in Puntland custody raises questions ahead of major anti-ISIS operations.”

Former senior ISIS figure Abdirahman Shirwac Lahore has died under unclear circumstances in a Bosaso prison, as Puntland’s security forces brace for a new offensive against the terror group’s remnants and affiliates.

Lahore, 60, had been detained since early February after defecting from ISIS and surrendering. Despite facing a death sentence for his alleged role in numerous terror acts in Bosaso, the cause of his death remains undisclosed, fueling speculation and concern ahead of planned security crackdowns.

Puntland Airstrikes Devastate ISIS Strongholds, Killing Over 30 Fighters

ISIS Deploys Advanced Drones to Escalate War in Puntland

Puntland Claims it Uncovered ISIS Treatment Sites, Business Links in Somaliland

Minneapolis Man Charged with Supporting ISIS

U.S. and UAE Joint Operation Kills 16 ISIS Militants in Puntland Stronghold

Telegram Shuts Down Key ISIS Propaganda Channel Amid Puntland Conflict

Puntland Forces Close in on ISIS Stronghold, Final Battle Nears

Continue Reading

Terrorism

Somali Journalist Killed in Al-Shabaab Bombing Aimed at Presidential Convoy

Published

on

Somali journalist Mohamed Abukar Dabaashe becomes the first press fatality of 2025 in a deadly attack targeting President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s convoy in Mogadishu.

In a grim morning in Mogadishu, chaos ensued when a bomb exploded at El-Gab Junction targeting the convoy of Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud. While the President emerged unscathed, the attack claimed the life of Mohamed Abukar Dabaashe, a journalist working with Radio Risaala, marking him as the first journalist casualty in Somalia for the year 2025.

The attack occurred in close proximity to Villa Somalia, the official residence of the President, underscoring the daring nature of Al-Shabaab’s insurgency. Dabaashe, a respected figure in the Somali media landscape, was fatally caught in the blast while a nearby building collapsed in the aftermath. This tragic incident underscores the perilous conditions under which journalists operate within the country.

Al-Shabaab promptly claimed responsibility for the attack, stating their intent to kill the president. This bold assertion marks a significant escalation in the group’s tactics, considering it the first direct attempt on President Mohamud’s life since an incident in 2014 during his earlier tenure.

The Somali Journalists Syndicate (SJS) immediately condemned the attack, mourning the loss of Dabaashe as a major blow to the press community. The loss was further compounded by the death of another journalist, Ayuub Wardheere, who perished in the same attack. The Somali Women Journalists Organization (SWJO) expressed its heartache over the incident, highlighting the ongoing risks faced by media professionals in Somalia.

The condemnation reached political echelons with former President Sharif Sheikh Ahmed denouncing the act as cowardly and calling for national unity against such terrorism. He emphasized the non-combatant status of the fasting victims, including Dabaashe, during this holy month, underscoring the barbaric nature of the attack.

Following the incident, President Mohamud was seen in Middle Shabelle overseeing a military campaign against Al-Shabaab, signaling a strong governmental response to the insurgent threat. In reaction to the attack, Somali security forces initiated widespread counterterrorism operations in Mogadishu, with expectations of heightened security measures to safeguard the capital against future threats.

This attack not only represents a tragic loss for the media community but also illustrates the volatile security situation in Somalia, where journalists remain vulnerable to the broader conflict affecting the nation. The death of Dabaashe serves as a somber reminder of the challenges and dangers journalists face while covering stories in one of the world’s most dangerous regions for the press.

Continue Reading

Somalia

Al-Shabaab Targets Somali President’s Convoy Four Dead

Published

on

Mogadishu on the Brink: Al-Shabaab’s Bold Strike Mirrors Taliban’s Ascendancy.

Al-Shabaab’s audacious attack on the Somali President’s convoy highlights the looming threat of a takeover akin to the Taliban’s rise in Afghanistan, signaling potential collapse of central authority in Somalia.

In a scene distressingly reminiscent of the Taliban’s takeover in Afghanistan, Al-Shabaab’s recent attack on President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s convoy in Mogadishu starkly highlights the insurgent group’s undiminished potency and ominous intent in Somalia. This bold assault not only targeted the nation’s leader but also exposed the precariousness of the Somali government’s grip on power, confined to an ever-shrinking stronghold within Mogadishu’s Halane base—often referred to as the most secure zone in the capital.

The incident starkly illustrates how Al-Shabaab, despite facing extensive counterterrorism measures, continues to infiltrate high-security zones, suggesting possible collusion with insiders and raising fears that the capital could fall. This attack serves as a grim portent of Al-Shabaab’s capabilities and intentions, mirroring the strategic encroachments that preceded the Taliban’s swift resurgence in Afghanistan.

The global community, having invested immense resources in Somalia for over three decades, watches with growing dismay as the situation deteriorates. The persistent instability and the seeming futility of continued financial aid, which some critics compare to pouring resources into a bottomless pit, has led to international exasperation. Moreover, there is an increasing perception among experts that the Somali government and Al-Shabaab might be two sides of the same coin, with accusations of corruption and collusion weakening the official stance against terrorism.

Despite immediate international reactions condemning the attack—highlighted by a strong statement from the UK—the broader implications are troubling. The Somali government’s failure to secure even the most critical areas of Mogadishu from such attacks not only undermines local confidence in their leadership but also signals a potentially catastrophic lapse in the nation’s security architecture, akin to the pre-collapse conditions observed in Afghanistan.

As President Mohamud proceeds to the frontlines, ostensibly to rally the troops and strategize counter-offensives, the shadow of Al-Shabaab’s threat looms large, suggesting that without significant and effective international support and a radical overhaul of internal security protocols, Somalia might well be on the path to becoming the next Afghanistan in terms of militant takeover and governmental collapse.

Continue Reading

Terrorism

Somalia: U.S. Ramps Up Anti-Terror Efforts in Africa

Published

on

As the U.S. intensifies airstrikes targeting ISIS and al-Shabaab in Somalia, the broader implications signal a strategic shift in America’s global counterterrorism approach.

February saw a significant uptick in U.S. military activities in Somalia, indicating a sharp strategic shift in America’s counterterrorism efforts. This ramp-up involves multiple airstrikes, particularly targeting high-value terrorists, which underscore a renewed focus on Africa as a central battleground against global terrorism.

Despite previous administrations’ focus on reducing U.S. military footprints abroad, current actions in Somalia suggest a different trajectory under the new administration. This shift is partly in response to the growing terrorist threats that continue to emerge from Africa, notably from groups like ISIS and al-Shabaab.

The recent operations by the U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) successfully eliminated key figures such as Ahmed Maeleninine, a prominent ISIS leader and recruiter. These strikes are not isolated incidents but part of a broader campaign to dismantle terror networks that pose direct threats to regional stability and U.S. national security.

The continued presence and expansion of terrorist groups in Somalia have drawn a direct response from the U.S., highlighting the strategic importance of Africa in the global fight against terrorism. The operations extend beyond mere military action, reflecting a comprehensive approach that includes intelligence sharing, local military training, and counterterrorism financing efforts.

Africa’s growing role as a front line in the war on terror presents both opportunities and challenges for U.S. policy. With over 3,400 terrorist attacks recorded in the continent in 2024 alone, the U.S. is poised to increase its military and strategic investments significantly. This involves not only combating immediate threats but also addressing the underlying socio-political factors that contribute to regional instability.

The U.S. is likely to continue its robust military engagements in Africa, particularly in Somalia, as part of its broader strategy to counteract the spread of terrorism. The focus will likely be on enhancing the capabilities of local forces while maintaining a sustainable U.S. military presence to support these efforts.

This strategic pivot reflects a clear recognition of the evolving nature of global terror threats and the critical role Africa plays in the international security landscape. As the situation develops, the effectiveness of these efforts will be closely monitored to ensure they achieve their intended goals of enhancing security and stability in the region.

Continue Reading

Most Viewed

You cannot copy content of this page