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Friday, October 9, 2026
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How Critical-Mineral Alliances Will Reshape African Diplomacy
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The Western Anti-Disinformation Coalition Is Fracturing Over Who May Be Scrutinized
What Should Somaliland Demand Before Granting Access to Berbera?
The Next Superpowers Will Control the Algorithms
Will Domestic Political Warfare Hand a Victory to Mogadishu and Beijing?
Is Hostile Foreign Funding Driving KAAH’s Anti-Israel Crusade?
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DEFENSE & TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT
Denmark Warns Russian Sabotage Is Targeting Companies Supplying Ukraine
ASSESSMENTS
Sudan’s Drone War Is Moving Into Homes, Mosques and Aid Corridors
Russia-Ukraine War
The Iran War Is Quietly Weakening Ukraine’s Air Defences
Bab el-Mandeb
Piracy and Missile Threats Are Beginning to Overlap at Bab el-Mandeb
Eritrea-Ethiopia
Ethiopia and Eritrea Cross the Threshold From Proxy War to Direct Confrontation
Bab el-Mandeb
Yemen War Turns Bab el-Mandeb Into a Global Strategic Battlefield
Eritrea-Ethiopia
Why Ethiopia’s Internal War Could Become a Regional Port Conflict
Abraham Accords
Abraham Accords Face a New Test After Cockpit Attack
Red Sea
How Missile Attacks on Airports Could Disrupt Red Sea Aviation
Somalia
Al-Shabaab Is Turning Humanitarian Access Into Territorial Power
What's Hot
The Western Anti-Disinformation Coalition Is Fracturing Over Who May Be Scrutinized
Middle East
Syria May Trade Yemen Support for Saudi Money and Legitimacy
Energy
Europe’s Green-Energy Network Faces Sabotage Risk
Africa
Mali Retakes Kidal—but Russia Must Help Hold It
Modern Warfare
The Black Sea War Is Moving Into NATO Commercial Waters
Strait of Hormuz
Hormuz Is Becoming a War of Commercial Attrition
Africa
The Sahel’s Juntas Are Building a Shared Information Front With Russian Support
Middle East
Enemies Test a Back Channel
ASSESSMENTS
Europe’s “Shadow War” Is Moving From Espionage to Infrastructure Pressure
ASSESSMENTS
Washington’s Contact With Sudan’s Army Chief Reveals a Divided Peace Strategy
Red Sea
Eritrea’s Geography Dividend
Technology
How AI Alliances Could Divide the Global Technology Market
Africa
Data-Sovereignty Rules African States Should Demand
Africa
How Critical-Mineral Alliances Will Reshape African Diplomacy
Energy
Can Western Investment Weaken China’s Refining Dominance?
Eritrea-Ethiopia
Who Could Finance an Eritrean Proxy Strategy?
Eritrea-Ethiopia
Assab Becomes the Strategic Centre of an Ethiopia–Eritrea Breakdown
Pricing Drone Defence
The Real Cost of a Somaliland Counter-Drone Programme
Eritrea-Ethiopia
Eritrea’s Manpower Trap
Somaliland
Could a U.S.–Israel Early-Warning Network Protect Somaliland?
Red Sea
How Undersea Cables and Offshore Gas Are Changing Red Sea Defence
Election 2026
Trump’s Economic Approval Falls as U.S. Midterms Approach
Israel Looks Seaward
Netanyahu Pledges Israeli Naval Expansion as Hormuz and Red Sea Threats Grow
Technology
Taiwan Plants a Flag in America’s Chip State
Somaliland
Mogadishu’s Berbera-Base Warning Is a Political Claim That Demands Evidence
Somaliland
Somaliland Seeks US Israel Air Defence System
Ethiopia Drone War
Could Ethiopia’s Northern War Spread Toward Eritrea and Assab?
EDITORIAL
A Country Seeking Recognition Must Publish Its Evidence
ASSESSMENTS
China’s Rare-Earth Dominance Limits Washington’s Freedom
EDITORIAL
Somaliland Must Stop Buying Projects It Cannot Maintain
Ethiopia Drone War
Ethiopia’s War Crosses Borders
Bab el-Mandeb
The Battle for Bab el-Mandeb
Household Food Costs
Somaliland’s Cooking-Oil Warning
Energy
G7 Emergency Diesel Release Offers Somaliland Temporary Relief
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Trending
Denmark Warns Russian Sabotage Is Targeting Companies Supplying Ukraine
Sudan’s Drone War Is Moving Into Homes, Mosques and Aid Corridors
The Iran War Is Quietly Weakening Ukraine’s Air Defences
Piracy and Missile Threats Are Beginning to Overlap at Bab el-Mandeb
Ethiopia and Eritrea Cross the Threshold From Proxy War to Direct Confrontation
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DEFENSE & TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT
Denmark Warns Russian Sabotage Is Targeting Companies Supplying Ukraine
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Can Strikes on Russia’s Oil Infrastructure Change the Course of the War?
Russia-Ukraine War
Ukraine’s NATO Depth Is Becoming Russia’s Escalation Problem
Middle East
Washington Is Rotating Its War Machine, Not Ending the War
Middle East
Tehran Sets the Clock on Trump
Middle East
Trump Shifts the Iran War From Bombing to Economic Siege
ASSESSMENTS
Iran’s Next Pressure Point May Be the Red Sea
Red Sea
Berbera Is Moving to the Center of Red Sea Power
Red Sea
Lobbying Can Open Doors — But Strategy Wins Recognition
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Somaliland
Mogadishu’s Berbera-Base Warning Is a Political Claim That Demands Evidence
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Analysis
How Iran’s History Explains Its Present Crisis
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March 24, 2026
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Analysis
Signal Leak Sends Shockwaves Through Trump’s Security Team
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March 25, 2025
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Analysis
Do Syria’s liberators still deserve the terrorist label?
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December 10, 2024
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Analysis
How Somaliland’s Recent MOU with Ethiopia and Somalia’s Decline Highlight the Case for Recognition
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June 5, 2024
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Analysis
Iran’s Proxy Play Reaches the Atlantic
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March 16, 2026
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In Focus
Geopolitics
East Africa’s New Security State
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July 6, 2026
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Intelligence Assessment
Turkey May Get the F-35 — and the Horn Should Pay Attention
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July 7, 2026
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ASSESSMENTS
The Cost of Being Seen
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July 3, 2026
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Hot
Middle East
Russia Is Quietly Rebuilding Its Syrian Military Lifeline
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September 22, 2026
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Middle East
Who Commands Iraq? Sovereignty on Paper
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September 22, 2026
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Middle East
Will Pakistan Join the Saudi-Houthi War?
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September 20, 2026
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Middle East
Hormuz Traffic Collapse Turns Navigation Data
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September 17, 2026
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Energy
Saudi Pipeline Damage Tests Red Sea Oil Export Resilience
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September 16, 2026
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