Ex-ISIS commander Abdirahman Shirwac Lahore’s mysterious death in Puntland custody raises questions ahead of major anti-ISIS operations.”

Former senior ISIS figure Abdirahman Shirwac Lahore has died under unclear circumstances in a Bosaso prison, as Puntland’s security forces brace for a new offensive against the terror group’s remnants and affiliates.

Lahore, 60, had been detained since early February after defecting from ISIS and surrendering. Despite facing a death sentence for his alleged role in numerous terror acts in Bosaso, the cause of his death remains undisclosed, fueling speculation and concern ahead of planned security crackdowns.

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Somali journalist Mohamed Abukar Dabaashe becomes the first press fatality of 2025 in a deadly attack targeting President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s convoy in Mogadishu.

In a grim morning in Mogadishu, chaos ensued when a bomb exploded at El-Gab Junction targeting the convoy of Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud. While the President emerged unscathed, the attack claimed the life of Mohamed Abukar Dabaashe, a journalist working with Radio Risaala, marking him as the first journalist casualty in Somalia for the year 2025.

The attack occurred in close proximity to Villa Somalia, the official residence of the President, underscoring the daring nature of Al-Shabaab’s insurgency. Dabaashe, a respected figure in the Somali media landscape, was fatally caught in the blast while a nearby building collapsed in the aftermath. This tragic incident underscores the perilous conditions under which journalists operate within the country.

Al-Shabaab promptly claimed responsibility for the attack, stating their intent to kill the president. This bold assertion marks a significant escalation in the group’s tactics, considering it the first direct attempt on President Mohamud’s life since an incident in 2014 during his earlier tenure.

The Somali Journalists Syndicate (SJS) immediately condemned the attack, mourning the loss of Dabaashe as a major blow to the press community. The loss was further compounded by the death of another journalist, Ayuub Wardheere, who perished in the same attack. The Somali Women Journalists Organization (SWJO) expressed its heartache over the incident, highlighting the ongoing risks faced by media professionals in Somalia.

The condemnation reached political echelons with former President Sharif Sheikh Ahmed denouncing the act as cowardly and calling for national unity against such terrorism. He emphasized the non-combatant status of the fasting victims, including Dabaashe, during this holy month, underscoring the barbaric nature of the attack.

Following the incident, President Mohamud was seen in Middle Shabelle overseeing a military campaign against Al-Shabaab, signaling a strong governmental response to the insurgent threat. In reaction to the attack, Somali security forces initiated widespread counterterrorism operations in Mogadishu, with expectations of heightened security measures to safeguard the capital against future threats.

This attack not only represents a tragic loss for the media community but also illustrates the volatile security situation in Somalia, where journalists remain vulnerable to the broader conflict affecting the nation. The death of Dabaashe serves as a somber reminder of the challenges and dangers journalists face while covering stories in one of the world’s most dangerous regions for the press.

Mogadishu on the Brink: Al-Shabaab’s Bold Strike Mirrors Taliban’s Ascendancy.

Al-Shabaab’s audacious attack on the Somali President’s convoy highlights the looming threat of a takeover akin to the Taliban’s rise in Afghanistan, signaling potential collapse of central authority in Somalia.

In a scene distressingly reminiscent of the Taliban’s takeover in Afghanistan, Al-Shabaab’s recent attack on President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s convoy in Mogadishu starkly highlights the insurgent group’s undiminished potency and ominous intent in Somalia. This bold assault not only targeted the nation’s leader but also exposed the precariousness of the Somali government’s grip on power, confined to an ever-shrinking stronghold within Mogadishu’s Halane base—often referred to as the most secure zone in the capital.

The incident starkly illustrates how Al-Shabaab, despite facing extensive counterterrorism measures, continues to infiltrate high-security zones, suggesting possible collusion with insiders and raising fears that the capital could fall. This attack serves as a grim portent of Al-Shabaab’s capabilities and intentions, mirroring the strategic encroachments that preceded the Taliban’s swift resurgence in Afghanistan.

The global community, having invested immense resources in Somalia for over three decades, watches with growing dismay as the situation deteriorates. The persistent instability and the seeming futility of continued financial aid, which some critics compare to pouring resources into a bottomless pit, has led to international exasperation. Moreover, there is an increasing perception among experts that the Somali government and Al-Shabaab might be two sides of the same coin, with accusations of corruption and collusion weakening the official stance against terrorism.

Despite immediate international reactions condemning the attack—highlighted by a strong statement from the UK—the broader implications are troubling. The Somali government’s failure to secure even the most critical areas of Mogadishu from such attacks not only undermines local confidence in their leadership but also signals a potentially catastrophic lapse in the nation’s security architecture, akin to the pre-collapse conditions observed in Afghanistan.

As President Mohamud proceeds to the frontlines, ostensibly to rally the troops and strategize counter-offensives, the shadow of Al-Shabaab’s threat looms large, suggesting that without significant and effective international support and a radical overhaul of internal security protocols, Somalia might well be on the path to becoming the next Afghanistan in terms of militant takeover and governmental collapse.

As the U.S. intensifies airstrikes targeting ISIS and al-Shabaab in Somalia, the broader implications signal a strategic shift in America’s global counterterrorism approach.

February saw a significant uptick in U.S. military activities in Somalia, indicating a sharp strategic shift in America’s counterterrorism efforts. This ramp-up involves multiple airstrikes, particularly targeting high-value terrorists, which underscore a renewed focus on Africa as a central battleground against global terrorism.

Despite previous administrations’ focus on reducing U.S. military footprints abroad, current actions in Somalia suggest a different trajectory under the new administration. This shift is partly in response to the growing terrorist threats that continue to emerge from Africa, notably from groups like ISIS and al-Shabaab.

The recent operations by the U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) successfully eliminated key figures such as Ahmed Maeleninine, a prominent ISIS leader and recruiter. These strikes are not isolated incidents but part of a broader campaign to dismantle terror networks that pose direct threats to regional stability and U.S. national security.

The continued presence and expansion of terrorist groups in Somalia have drawn a direct response from the U.S., highlighting the strategic importance of Africa in the global fight against terrorism. The operations extend beyond mere military action, reflecting a comprehensive approach that includes intelligence sharing, local military training, and counterterrorism financing efforts.

Africa’s growing role as a front line in the war on terror presents both opportunities and challenges for U.S. policy. With over 3,400 terrorist attacks recorded in the continent in 2024 alone, the U.S. is poised to increase its military and strategic investments significantly. This involves not only combating immediate threats but also addressing the underlying socio-political factors that contribute to regional instability.

The U.S. is likely to continue its robust military engagements in Africa, particularly in Somalia, as part of its broader strategy to counteract the spread of terrorism. The focus will likely be on enhancing the capabilities of local forces while maintaining a sustainable U.S. military presence to support these efforts.

This strategic pivot reflects a clear recognition of the evolving nature of global terror threats and the critical role Africa plays in the international security landscape. As the situation develops, the effectiveness of these efforts will be closely monitored to ensure they achieve their intended goals of enhancing security and stability in the region.

In a landmark meeting, Israel and Ethiopia vow to combat Al-Shabaab and Houthi insurgencies, highlighting a significant escalation in their joint counterterrorism efforts.

During a pivotal meeting in Jerusalem, the Israeli and Ethiopian governments have underscored their commitment to bolstering counterterrorism measures, focusing notably on the threats posed by Al-Shabaab in Somalia and the Houthi rebels in Yemen. This collaboration marks a significant strategic alignment against regional security threats that have broader implications for global stability.

The linkage between Al-Shabaab and the Houthi rebels has become a particular concern for both nations, with these groups conducting operations that not only destabilize their immediate regions but also pose risks to international security. The collaboration between these groups represents a new frontier in the terrorism landscape, merging threats from Africa and the Middle East.

Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar has articulated a clear vision for Israel’s role in this partnership, emphasizing the necessity to eradicate the bases of radical Islamic terror across both regions. Sa’ar’s remarks highlighted the critical nature of combating these groups, which have direct impacts on regional security and global trade routes, particularly those affecting Israel.

Ethiopia’s Strategic Position

Ethiopia’s geopolitical relevance was a central theme, with Foreign Minister Gedion Timotheos discussing Ethiopia’s pivotal role in counterterrorism operations within Africa. Ethiopia’s efforts are crucial in containing Al-Shabaab’s influence, which is increasingly seen as part of a larger network of terror that includes the Iranian-backed Houthis.

The discussions also paved the way for deeper bilateral relations, with initiatives aimed at enhancing security cooperation and strengthening diplomatic ties. The historical connections between the two countries were also highlighted, bringing a cultural and historical dimension to their modern political and strategic engagements.

This partnership has profound implications for security dynamics in the region. By collaborating, Israel and Ethiopia not only enhance their own national security landscapes but also contribute to broader efforts to maintain stability in the Horn of Africa and the Middle East. The move signals a growing recognition of the interconnected nature of security threats that span across continents.

The commitment by Israel and Ethiopia to combat regional terrorism through this partnership reflects a significant development in international relations and counterterrorism. It underscores the necessity for collaborative efforts in tackling global security challenges, setting a precedent for other nations within and beyond the regions involved. This strategic alliance could well be a cornerstone in the ongoing battle against terrorism, influencing future counterterrorism strategies and fostering a safer, more stable international community.

The activation of the ECOWAS regional standby force marks a significant step in West Africa’s fight against terrorism, especially given the challenges following the withdrawal of three member states. This development underscores the region’s commitment to security cooperation, despite facing numerous challenges both internally and from the increasing influence of extremist groups.

The establishment of the 5,000-troop force is a proactive measure to address the escalating terrorism threats that have plagued the Sahel region, recognized as the global epicenter of extremism. This initiative is timely, considering the Global Terrorism Index’s findings which show an alarming rise in terror-related fatalities within the region. The ECOWAS force aims to enhance the collective security framework, crucial for tackling the sophisticated networks of groups like Boko Haram and Islamic State’s Sahel affiliate.

Despite the positive step forward with the activation of the force, there are significant doubts regarding its effectiveness. The departure of Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger — now part of the Alliance of Sahel States — poses logistical and operational challenges. These countries’ exit from ECOWAS raises concerns about the regional body’s ability to mobilize the necessary troop numbers and resources to maintain an effective standby force.

The operational bases of the force, as well as the current capabilities of the contributing countries, are under scrutiny. The ability of the remaining ECOWAS members to fill the void left by the three departing states is uncertain. Furthermore, the political dynamics within ECOWAS, compounded by the new Alliance of Sahel States, could complicate command and control structures, as well as the strategic deployment of the force.

Despite these challenges, the continued defense and security cooperation between ECOWAS and the Alliance of Sahel States provides a glimmer of hope. This cooperation is crucial for bridging gaps in military capabilities and ensuring that joint efforts against terrorism are not hindered by political divisions. The collaborative approach may also help in addressing the root causes of extremism by promoting stability and economic development across the affected regions.

Observers and regional security analysts will be closely monitoring the effectiveness of the ECOWAS force in changing the security landscape of West Africa. The success of this initiative could serve as a model for other regions grappling with similar challenges. However, much depends on the political will of the member states, their ability to overcome internal and external pressures, and their commitment to a unified regional strategy against terrorism.

In summary, while the ECOWAS regional standby force represents a bold step toward regional security autonomy, its success will largely depend on overcoming significant operational and political challenges. The path forward requires a balanced approach that includes strengthening military capabilities, enhancing political cooperation, and addressing the socioeconomic factors contributing to regional instability.

The expanding reach of the Islamic State in the Sahel (IS Sahel) beyond its established bases in Burkina Faso, Niger, and Mali represents a significant escalation in the group’s operational scope. Recent actions by Moroccan and Spanish counterterrorism forces, thwarting attacks planned by cells aligned with IS Sahel, underscore the group’s push into North Africa and possibly further afield.

IS Sahel’s activities have been devastatingly effective in the Sahel region, but the group’s ambitions do not stop at the borders of Burkina Faso, Niger, and Mali. The disruption of terrorist cells in Morocco and the Spanish enclaves of Seville and Ceuta signals a strategic shift. These cells, equipped to manufacture remote-controlled bombs, indicate a sophisticated level of planning and capability aimed at spreading terror far from their original areas of operation.

Analysts like Beverly Ochieng of Control Risks highlight that the compromised counterinsurgency efforts in the Sahel have emboldened IS Sahel to exploit vulnerabilities in regions as far west as Morocco. This suggests a calculated move to expand their geographical influence, leveraging security gaps in countries that were previously considered low-risk.

Andrew Lebovich from the Clingendael Institute notes that these activities are indicative of IS Sahel’s broader ambitions to diversify their operations, with Algeria also noted as a potential target. This strategic expansion is not just a shift in geography but also in the type of targets and methods, moving from local insurgency to transnational terrorism.

The concern extends beyond North Africa. Countries like Guinea and Senegal, traditionally viewed as stable, might now face heightened risks. The Global Terrorism Index’s identification of the Sahel as a terrorism epicenter for the second consecutive year underscores the gravity of the situation.

The evolution of IS Sahel from a regional insurgent group to a potential transnational threat requires a reevaluation of counterterrorism strategies not only in the Sahel but across North and West Africa. The international community must prioritize intelligence sharing, bolster security measures, and support regional counterterrorism efforts to curb the spread of IS Sahel’s influence. The implications of their expansion are profound, potentially reshaping the security landscape of an entire region.

In a precision airstrike, Somali forces, backed by international partners, eliminate a key Al Shabaab leader and over fifty militants, marking a pivotal setback for the terror group’s operations in Somalia’s Middle Shabelle region.

The recent airstrike in the Middle Shabelle region of Somalia, which resulted in the elimination of a senior Al Shabaab leader and over fifty of its members, marks a significant tactical victory for the Somali National Army and its international partners. This operation underscores the intensifying efforts by Somali forces to destabilize the militant group’s stronghold within the region.

The primary target of the airstrike, Mansoor Tima-Weeyne, was a key figure within Al Shabaab, responsible for the preparation and deployment of combat vehicles used in terrorist operations. His elimination disrupts the group’s operational capabilities and could potentially cause disarray within its ranks. The destruction of three combat vehicles, including two equipped with heavy weaponry, further cripples Al Shabaab’s ability to wage large-scale attacks, thereby reducing their threat level temporarily.

This operation highlights the effectiveness of intelligence-led airstrikes in combating terrorism. By targeting senior leaders and critical assets, the Somali National Army not only diminishes the group’s operational strength but also sends a clear message about the increasing precision and capability of government forces. Such strikes are essential for maintaining the momentum against Al Shabaab and for the broader strategy of weakening their grip on the region.

The involvement of international partners in the airstrike operation reflects a collaborative approach to counterterrorism efforts in Somalia. This cooperation is crucial for providing the Somali National Army with the necessary intelligence and technological support to conduct such precise operations. However, the ongoing challenge remains the need for sustained pressure on Al Shabaab to prevent them from regrouping and adapting their strategies.

The successful airstrike operation also plays a significant role in improving regional stability. By disrupting Al Shabaab’s activities in Middle Shabelle, a critical region for the group’s logistics and operations, the Somali National Army contributes to safer environments for economic development and humanitarian aid efforts. This is particularly important as the region has been a flashpoint for conflict and a base for launching attacks within Somalia.

While the airstrike represents a tactical success in the short term, the Somali government and its allies must remain vigilant. Al Shabaab has demonstrated resilience and adaptability in the past. Thus, continuous efforts in intelligence gathering, strategic airstrikes, and ground operations are necessary to ensure a long-term reduction in the group’s capabilities. Furthermore, these military efforts should be complemented by initiatives that address the underlying socio-economic issues that contribute to the insurgency, ensuring a holistic approach to peace and stability in Somalia.