ASSESSMENTS
Israel Provided Key Intel in Leaked Yemen Attack Discussed in U.S. Signal Chat, WSJ Reveals

Sensitive Israeli intelligence compromised after National Security Adviser’s Signal chat leak exposes Houthi missile strike details.
Israeli intelligence was behind critical information used in the U.S. strike against a Houthi missile expert in Yemen—a covert operation inadvertently disclosed by White House officials on the messaging app Signal, according to a new Wall Street Journal report citing senior U.S. sources.
The intelligence breach occurred when National Security Adviser Mike Waltz shared sensitive operational details—specifically the sighting of a targeted Houthi expert entering his girlfriend’s apartment, later destroyed in a U.S. strike. Israel reportedly provided this intelligence, prompting anger among Israeli officials once details surfaced publicly via an accidental leak to an Atlantic journalist.
The incident, already under internal investigation by the U.S. National Security Council, has raised alarm across diplomatic and cybersecurity circles, highlighting serious concerns about the operational security and confidentiality of sensitive intelligence-sharing between allies.
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth was also implicated after reportedly texting strike details shortly before execution—though he and other Trump administration officials insist no classified information was shared. Nonetheless, military experts and lawmakers argue that even timing and target details represent extremely sensitive operational data.
As investigations continue, the leak threatens to undermine trust between Washington and Jerusalem, with Israeli authorities reportedly furious that their highly sensitive intelligence was compromised.
This incident highlights serious vulnerabilities in the use of supposedly secure messaging platforms like Signal, which rely heavily on user discretion and device security to protect critical operational information.
Signal Fallout: Trump Defends Waltz, But Fallout Spreads Beyond One Chat Thread
Is Signal Really Secure? What You Need to Know Before Choosing a Messaging App
ASSESSMENTS
Operation Geel Exposes the Truth: International Community’s Reluctance to Embrace Somaliland as a Strategic Ally

Exposing the Lies: Operation Geel and the Crisis of Global Indifference — The world continues to overlook Somaliland’s pivotal role in the Horn of Africa. As Somalia crumbles, why are international organizations hesitant to move their operations to a stable, sovereign Somaliland? Why the International Community Continues to Ignore Somaliland Amid Somalia’s Collapse
As Somalia’s government teeters on the brink of failure, international actors, including humanitarian agencies and foreign embassies, are scrambling to find a safer base of operations. Operation Geel, a recently unveiled plan, highlights the stark reality of the situation: despite the escalating crisis in Somalia, the international community refuses to prioritize Somaliland — a stable, sovereign alternative. Why?
In an unprecedented move, Operation Geel calls for the relocation of international agencies to Somaliland, a beacon of peace and stability in a region plagued by war and chaos. But this plan exposes a deeper, more disturbing truth: the world continues to overlook Somaliland’s crucial role in the Horn of Africa and its potential to bring much-needed stability to the region.
Somalia’s security situation is rapidly deteriorating. Al-Shabaab militants are encircling Mogadishu, and the central government is unable to secure the country. International organizations are at risk, with many calling for the evacuation of staff and operations from Somalia. Yet, in the face of these growing dangers, Somaliland stands as a shining example of stability and governance. So, why is the world hesitating to embrace it?
Operation Geel exposes the international community’s reluctance to move its operations to Somaliland despite the clear and present dangers in Somalia. The government of Somaliland offers a secure environment for diplomatic engagement, humanitarian work, and trade, making it an ideal hub for regional operations. But the refusal to relocate international missions reflects a deeper political resistance to acknowledging Somaliland’s sovereignty and its critical role in regional peace.
The International Blindspot: Why Does the World Ignore Somaliland’s Potential?
Somaliland has long been ignored on the world stage. Despite being a peaceful, democratic entity for over 30 years, the international community continues to prioritize Somalia, a state embroiled in ongoing conflict and anarchy. The truth is, the international community’s disregard for Somaliland has allowed Somalia to slip further into chaos, directly impacting the safety of both locals and foreign nationals.
This oversight is not just a political failure; it’s a humanitarian one. By neglecting to move international operations to Somaliland, countries are sacrificing the safety of their staff and the well-being of millions in the Horn of Africa. The world’s refusal to recognize Somaliland not only undermines the region’s stability but also exposes the hollow promises of peace and security in Somalia.
The Reality of Somalia’s Collapse and Somaliland’s Overlooked Stability
Somaliland’s government has made extensive efforts to secure its borders and foster international relations with major global powers, including the UAE, the UK, and Ethiopia. Yet, while diplomatic missions in Somaliland grow, most international entities remain reluctant to shift operations from the unstable environment in Somalia. As Operation Geel highlights, it’s time for the world to confront the ugly truth: while Somalia collapses under the weight of its failed statehood, Somaliland stands as a beacon of what’s possible for the Horn of Africa.
Recognize Somaliland’s Sovereignty for Global Stability
As the international community scrambles to find alternative locations for humanitarian operations, Somaliland’s time to shine has come. The international community must make a choice: continue to cling to outdated policies, or shift support to Somaliland and bolster the security and stability of the Horn of Africa. Operation Geel is a wake-up call — and it’s time the world answered.
ASSESSMENTS
A Looming Catastrophe in the Red Sea: Somaliland’s Government Faces Criticism for Silence

As global tensions skyrocket, the Red Sea region edges perilously close to conflict, potentially dragging Somaliland into the eye of a geopolitical hurricane. The convergence of escalating threats involving Yemen’s Houthis, Israel, the United States, Iran, Turkey, and China raises an alarming question: Why has the Somaliland government chosen silence amid such an imminent threat?
Is Somaliland’s Government Ignoring an Impending War at Its Doorstep?
The Middle East is bracing for upheaval as the United States rapidly bolsters its military presence, indicating preparations for conflict that could ripple globally. Iran’s increasingly aggressive rhetoric against Israel intensifies fears of inevitable military clashes. The European Union has proactively instructed citizens to prepare emergency supplies, recognizing the severity of the approaching crisis.
Meanwhile, Somaliland’s strategic silence is deeply concerning. The government’s lack of transparent communication leaves citizens dangerously uninformed about looming threats, sparking criticism and speculation regarding the government’s preparedness and intentions. Somaliland, strategically positioned near critical maritime routes in the Red Sea, risks devastating consequences if conflict spills over, especially with Berbera’s vital port potentially becoming embroiled in regional turmoil.
Turkey’s support for destabilizing factions, such as the Houthis, exacerbates these risks, placing Somaliland in a precarious position. Yet, despite long-standing relationships with Western nations and the UAE, Somaliland’s leadership remains notably absent from the critical dialogues shaping their region’s fate.
The Somaliland government’s silence starkly contrasts the transparency shown by European nations actively preparing their citizens. This discrepancy fuels growing frustration and anxiety among Somalilanders, who question their leadership’s capability to navigate such volatile times.
Somaliland must immediately break its silence and provide clear strategies for confronting potential crises. The threats are real, and the government’s continued inaction risks catastrophic consequences for Somaliland’s sovereignty, stability, and security.
Citizens deserve transparency, preparedness, and leadership—not silence. Somaliland must act decisively now, or risk sleepwalking into disaster.
ASSESSMENTS
Will India Risk Joining the Asian ‘Squad’?

Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces of the Philippines Romeo Brawner extended an invitation to India, urging it to join the so-called Asian “Squad”—a strategic security partnership currently comprising the US, Australia, Japan, and the Philippines, primarily aimed at containing China’s regional influence.
Brawner’s invitation underscores a major geopolitical shift. With the Philippines emerging as a central player in Washington’s renewed “Pivot (back) to Asia,” this alliance—an informal expansion of the existing AUKUS pact—is designed to ramp up pressure on China significantly.
India, already a key member of the Quad alongside the US, Japan, and Australia, stands at a delicate crossroads. While historically protective of its strategic autonomy, India’s calculations are now shifting due to Donald Trump’s aggressive stance toward China and his administration’s intensified focus on Asia. Trump’s presidency may encourage Delhi to deepen its engagement with US-led initiatives, including possibly joining or cooperating closely with the Squad through intelligence-sharing on their mutual adversary, China.
However, this step could trigger severe repercussions. India’s recent attempts at rapprochement with China—highlighted by productive talks during the BRICS Summit—might quickly collapse if Beijing views India’s involvement with the Squad as a blatant alignment with US interests. Such a scenario could reignite border tensions and undo hard-earned diplomatic progress.
Nevertheless, India’s cautious yet significant participation, perhaps through bilateral cooperation with the Philippines rather than formally joining the Squad, might enable Delhi to maintain its strategic autonomy while benefiting from closer ties with Washington. This nuanced approach could help India navigate the geopolitical tightrope, mitigating trade pressures from the US while minimizing provocation to China.
India’s decision represents a pivotal moment: Will India manage to balance delicately between two global giants, or will aligning too closely with the Squad ignite a new front of tension in an already volatile region? Stay tuned as India maneuvers through this complex strategic landscape.
ASSESSMENTS
US Sets Sights on Iran: Trump’s Escalation Shakes the Middle East

The United States is sending an unmistakable message: Iran is firmly in its crosshairs. With stealth bombers arriving in Diego Garcia and aircraft carriers maneuvering into position, President Trump’s administration is preparing for potential escalation, dramatically reshaping regional dynamics.
In a move signaling stark escalation, President Trump declared any attacks originating from Yemen would be treated as direct Iranian aggression. This threat places Iran under unprecedented pressure, highlighting Trump’s aggressive stance amidst growing regional instability.
Israel, closely coordinating with American forces, remains vigilant as tensions surge. Recent missile attacks from Yemen, intercepted by American THAAD systems, demonstrate the complex strategic web involving the US, Israel, and Iranian proxies. The US’s expanding military presence—marked by the arrival of five B-2 stealth bombers at Diego Garcia—underscores the seriousness of the situation. The Pentagon’s decision to deploy two aircraft carriers, USS Harry S. Truman and USS Carl Vinson, further emphasizes the urgency.
Meanwhile, leaked intelligence reportedly supplied by Israel about Houthi targets has sparked controversy and concern within Israeli leadership. This “Signal-Gate” incident raises fears about operational security amid delicate operations.
Simultaneously, Israel continues targeted operations across multiple fronts, aiming to keep adversaries like Hezbollah and Hamas at bay without plunging into a full-scale ground war. Recent anti-Hamas protests in Gaza hint at potential opportunities, yet IDF commanders remain cautious, emphasizing the need for increased manpower to avoid exhaustion and overextension.
Outgoing IDF spokesperson Brig. Gen. Daniel Hagari succinctly expressed the urgency, demanding greater unity and readiness: “The war is happening now.”
Is the region inching toward a decisive military showdown with Iran, or are these dramatic moves part of a calculated diplomatic gambit by Trump? Either way, the message is clear—escalation looms
ASSESSMENTS
Iran Replies to Trump’s Nuclear Offer, Keeps Door Open for Indirect Negotiations

Tehran sends formal response via Oman, reiterates indirect talks possible despite ongoing U.S. pressure.
Iran has formally replied to a confidential letter from U.S. President Donald Trump calling for a new nuclear deal, reaffirming that indirect negotiations remain possible despite ongoing military threats and sanctions imposed by Washington.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi confirmed that Tehran sent its response through Oman, a traditional mediator between the two rivals, emphasizing Iran’s refusal of direct dialogue under current U.S. pressure but leaving room for indirect diplomatic channels. “Our policy is still to not engage in direct negotiations while under maximum pressure and military threats,” Araghchi told state media, stressing that “indirect negotiations can continue.”
Trump’s original letter, delivered to Iranian officials by senior Emirati diplomat Anwar Gargash on March 12, called for Tehran to reach a fresh agreement after Trump withdrew from the landmark 2015 nuclear deal in 2018 and imposed severe economic sanctions. The details of Trump’s proposal remain confidential, though it is understood to have included a stark warning: negotiate or risk military action.
Iran’s carefully measured reply underscores its cautious stance, offering indirect diplomacy as an option without appearing to yield under pressure. Kamal Kharrazi, a senior adviser to Iran’s supreme leader, reinforced this stance, declaring Tehran had “not closed all doors” and was prepared for indirect dialogue aimed at evaluating the U.S. position and clearly outlining Iranian conditions.
With tensions still running high, Tehran’s guarded openness to indirect talks could provide a narrow diplomatic path forward, though significant challenges remain. The outcome hinges on whether both sides can navigate mutual distrust and deep-seated hostilities to prevent escalation and renew meaningful dialogue.
Analysis
Israel Expands Ground Operations in Syria: What Comes Next?

Strategic Forecast: Israel’s Ground Operation in Syria Marks a New Phase — What It Signals and What May Follow.
waryatv.com | Exclusive Analysis
Israel’s latest confirmed ground operation in southern Syria signals a tactical and strategic escalation that experts say could reshape the current regional balance — or at the very least, spark new responses from Iran-backed militias and proxy groups across the region.
According to Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), the operation was in direct response to gunfire from “terrorists” in southern Syria. In turn, IDF troops returned fire and launched airstrikes that reportedly targeted and destroyed hostile infrastructure near Daraa and Kuwaya. Syrian media claimed four people were killed and that Israeli forces briefly advanced on the ground before encountering resistance.
While Israel has carried out hundreds of airstrikes in Syria over the past decade, its confirmation of ground operations inside Syrian territory is rare — and notable.
“This is no longer shadow war,” said a former EU military attaché in Lebanon who spoke to WARYATV on condition of anonymity. “We are now seeing calibrated but open military incursions with the message: Israel is willing to raise the stakes.”
Why Now? A Multi-Front Reality
According to Israeli security sources and confirmed by former U.S. CENTCOM analysts, the decision to go in on the ground reflects growing Israeli concerns about an expanded threat network stretching from Lebanon to Syria to Iraq. Hezbollah’s deeper entrenchment in southern Syria, combined with Iran’s efforts to transfer precision missile technology through the region, has heightened Israeli fears of a coordinated multi-front war.
“From an intelligence perspective, it’s about timing,” said Michael R., a retired CIA Middle East analyst. “Israel likely detected weapons or personnel movements that crossed their red lines, prompting not just airstrikes, but a need to put boots on the ground to verify, seize intel, or destroy targets directly.”
Former Israeli intelligence officer Yossi K. added that while the operation was short, it was designed to demonstrate capability: “It’s as much about deterrence as it is about degradation. If you can show you’re willing to physically cross the border, you signal to Iran and Syria that the status quo is no longer tolerable.”
Implications for Syria and Iran
Damascus has condemned the operation but is unlikely to respond directly. Instead, analysts believe Iran may task its allied militias — particularly those in southern Syria and the Iraqi border area — with retaliatory actions. Already, some pro-Iranian media outlets have called the operation an act of war.
A former EU intelligence officer based in Brussels told WARYATV, “What we’re watching is not a sudden change, but an escalation of an already intensifying campaign. Israel is shifting its policy from indirect containment to limited offensive disruption.”
He added: “The Iranians will test this. They may not respond immediately, but they rarely allow direct Israeli incursions to pass without attempting a message of their own.”
Red Sea and Gaza Ties
Several Western analysts noted that the timing also aligns with increasing Israeli military action in the Red Sea corridor and against Houthi-linked targets, amid growing fears of a broader Axis of Resistance alignment. There is also speculation that the Syria operation could help relieve pressure from the Gaza front — drawing enemy resources and attention elsewhere.
“It’s classic diversion through escalation,” one European security source said. “If the north heats up, some actors aligned with Hamas could be redirected to a northern theater.”
What Comes Next?
While the IDF has not confirmed further ground missions, all signs suggest this was not a one-off.
“What we are seeing is the start of a new phase: Israel is laying the groundwork for a more kinetic approach in Syria, possibly even clearing corridors for deeper strikes or emergency deterrent missions in the event of northern escalation,” said an Israeli defense strategist now advising a think tank in London.
WARYATV’s sources also noted that civilian evacuations in southern Syria signal anticipation of further activity.
Strategic Forecast
- Israel is moving into a posture of “active forward deterrence” beyond its borders.
- Iran is unlikely to respond directly, but will lean on militias and proxy cells.
- Syria will likely remain passive but coordinate with Iran on information-sharing.
- Hezbollah and the IRGC may test Israeli lines elsewhere — especially in Golan, the Lebanon border, or via Iraqi militias.
- Expect increased Israeli air and limited ground operations in Syria through spring 2025.
This shift, while still short of full-scale war, places the region on a tighter wire.
Exclusive for waryatv.com.
Analysis
Can a Bulletproof Sicilian MEP Clean Up the EU’s Dirty Money?

Giuseppe Antoci survived a mafia hit. Now he’s taking on Europe’s biggest crime rings — and Brussels’ red tape.
By all accounts, Giuseppe Antoci should be retired, living quietly in his seaside Sicilian villa. Instead, he’s in Brussels — under armed guard — trying to drag the European Union into a serious fight against organized crime.
Eight years ago, the mafia tried to kill him. Now, as a newly elected Member of the European Parliament, Antoci is battling a different kind of beast: bureaucracy, political apathy, and a lack of real teeth in EU law.
He’s not just in Brussels to make noise. Antoci is the architect of Italy’s “Antoci Protocol,” a law that disrupted mafia access to EU agricultural funds. Now, he wants to make it EU-wide — and he’s not stopping there.
But can one man — with no party machine, no committee chair, and limited political capital — change how Europe fights organized crime? The answer may depend on whether Brussels is ready to do more than take selfies with him.
What Antoci’s EU Mission Really Means
Giuseppe Antoci isn’t your typical MEP. He doesn’t mingle at Parliament bars, and he doesn’t trade favors in back rooms. He’s a mafia target who now sleeps under armed protection — and he’s chosen the EU as his next battleground.
Why? Because the money the mob is chasing — clean, easy, and massive — flows from Brussels.
The EU’s €45 billion-a-year Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) is one of the biggest subsidy schemes in the world. And it’s a goldmine for Europe’s crime syndicates. In Sicily, mafiosi faked farm leases, intimidated landowners, and siphoned millions — until Antoci shut them down with a protocol requiring background checks on subsidy applicants. Now, he wants that law to apply across the EU.
But Brussels isn’t Sicily. It’s slower. Safer. More polite — and more political.
Antoci’s push for tougher, EU-wide oversight of funding and enforcement is landing at a moment when Brussels is caught between public demand for crime crackdowns and member states jealously guarding control over justice. The EU has limited jurisdiction on crime and policing, and its tools — Europol, Eurojust — remain underpowered and understaffed.
Meanwhile, organized crime is evolving. Drug gangs are no longer neighborhood toughs — they’re transnational corporations with encrypted comms, cyber skills, and paramilitary reach. Europol says 90% of them have infiltrated the legal economy.
The stakes are rising. Billions from the EU’s Covid-19 recovery fund are being spent now. Without stronger checks, Antoci warns, some of that money will end up in mafia accounts — and Europe will pay the price for decades.
He’s already pushing hard as a shadow rapporteur on the anti-corruption directive. His long-term goal is to replicate Italy’s “41-bis” law — which isolates jailed mafia bosses — across the bloc. It’s controversial, but after a Dutch kingpin ordered assassinations from his cell, the political mood may be shifting.
But there’s a risk: Antoci could become a symbol, not a legislator. He’s already a selfie-magnet for EU elites — von der Leyen, Metsola, ambassadors — who praise his courage but haven’t yet adopted his reforms. It’s the danger of being a hero in a system that rewards quiet compromise.
Still, Antoci is not slowing down. He sees his time in Brussels as “an act of service.” And for now, he’s a one-man reminder that Europe’s darkest enemies aren’t just in the shadows — they’re reading EU funding rules, too.
ASSESSMENTS
Is Somaliland’s Government Ignoring an Impending War at Its Doorstep?

A Looming Catastrophe in the Red Sea and the Somaliland Government’s Silence
As events unfold across the globe, the stage is being set for a turbulent conflict that threatens to engulf the Red Sea region and, by extension, Somaliland. The convergence of various geopolitical tensions has ignited speculation of a major conflict involving the Houthis in Yemen, Israel, and the United States on one side, with Iran, Turkey and China as opposing forces. It raises an alarming question: why is the Somaliland government remaining silent while significant threats loom at its doorstep?
Are We Sleepwalking into Destitution? The Looming Catastrophe in the Red Sea and Somaliland’s Dangerous Complacency
As global powers position for conflict, Somaliland’s leadership must confront the realities they cannot afford to ignore.
The Middle East is bracing for unprecedented upheaval. The United States has amassed a staggering military presence in the region, signaling preparations for a confrontation that could ripple across the globe. With Iran issuing aggressive threats against Israel, the potential for conflict escalates daily. Various factions, including the Houthis and terrorist groups aligned with regional powers, are poised to exploit the chaos that could arise from any military misstep. As the international community braces itself, the European Union is proactive, advising its citizens to prepare for emergencies, recommending that every household stock up on essential supplies, as the winds of war approach.
So, amid this frenzy, what is Somaliland’s government doing? Are they aware of the precarious situation they face given their geographical proximity to this brewing storm? The evidence suggests a concerning void in the government’s communication strategies. Citizens are left in the dark about impending dangers while the Somaliland elite seem to be decidedly detached or, perhaps, complicit in orchestrating a narrative that sidelines the urgency of the situation.
Somaliland has long enjoyed friendships with Western powers and the UAE, yet the shifting alliances in the region pose inherent risks. The involvement of Iran, with its support for groups like the Houthis, could have dire consequences for Somaliland should conflict spill over in the absence of a solid government response. Instead of rallying citizens behind a robust plan for preparedness, the government is failing to leverage critical intelligence about the situation, leaving many to speculate on whether they possess any actionable strategy should the situation deteriorate further.
The geopolitical chess game surrounding the Horn of Africa is intensely complex. On one side, you have nations such as the U.S., Israel, and UAE, eager to protect their interests in the face of hostile threats. However, on the other hand, Iran, China and Turkey both view the Red Sea as a strategic gateway crucial for their own ambitions. They have cultivated relationships with local factions, demonstrating a willingness to promote instability as a means of advancing their geopolitical game plans.
EU Prepares for War: Why is Somaliland Left in the Dark About an Imminent Red Sea Conflict?
While Europe issues survival kits and preparations, Somaliland faces silence from its leaders during a time of impending crisis.
And yet, the Somaliland government, which should be at the forefront of these discussions, appears to be oblivious or too complacent. They risk leaving Somaliland’s sovereignty vulnerable as they neglect to disseminate critical information regarding the implications of global conflicts for their constituents. The EU, with its advanced planning for potential disruptions, hinges upon the principle of transparency with its citizens. The knowledge that 450 million Europeans are taking government advice seriously to prepare for emergencies starkly contrasts with the silence coming from Hargeisa.
Silent Threats: Is Somaliland’s Government Ignoring an Impending War at Its Doorstep?
The evidence is mounting, yet the Somaliland government remains silent as chaos looms in the Red Sea region.
Somaliland faces potentially cataclysmic scenarios if the Red Sea descends into chaos. The port of Berbera, a vital artery for trade and economic activity, could become embroiled in the aftermath of regional conflict. The potential influx of refugees, instability, and economic disintegration due to catastrophic military actions could wreak havoc on our society.
If the evidence of escalating tensions across the region was not enough, the patterns of discord that have afflicted Somalia and other neighboring states—Al-Shabaab in the south, ISIS in Puntland, and Ethiopia’s own unresolved conflicts—paint a grim picture of the precarious environment we inhabit.
It is time for Somaliland to wake up and turn its gaze to the darker corners of reality. The government must acknowledge the looming specter of war and inform its citizens of the risks they face. Silence in the face of danger is complicity. The people of Somaliland deserve to hear the truth and be equipped to handle the oncoming storm.
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