Terrorism
Australia Elevates Terror Threat Level to ‘Probable’
Nation’s Intelligence Services Warn of Increased Likelihood of Extremist Acts as Global Security Landscape Shifts
Australia has raised its official terror threat level to “probable,” reflecting heightened concerns over the evolving global security environment and domestic radicalization. This decision comes amidst escalating community tensions related to the ongoing war in Gaza, which intelligence services indicate has intensified the threat landscape.
Mike Burgess, the head of the Australian Security Intelligence Organization (ASIO), announced the change in Canberra, stating that “more Australians are being radicalized and being radicalized more quickly.” This stark assessment highlights the increasing likelihood of extremist acts, a marked change from November 2022, when the threat level was downgraded to “possible.”
Burgess detailed that in the past four months alone, Australian security agencies have thwarted eight incidents involving alleged terrorism or investigated as potential extremist acts. He clarified that while the Gaza conflict is not the direct cause for raising the alert level, it is a “significant driver” of the current threat environment.
The escalation to “probable” indicates that security officials believe there is a greater than 50% chance of an attack or attack planning occurring onshore within the next 12 months. This mid-level threat rating underscores the volatile nature of both domestic and international security contexts.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese sought to reassure the public, emphasizing that “probable” does not equate to inevitable and does not imply imminent threats. However, he stressed the importance of vigilance in light of rising politically motivated violence and extremism globally. “We have seen a global rise in politically motivated violence and extremism,” Albanese noted. “Many democracies, including our friends in the United States and the United Kingdom, are working to address this. There are many factors driving this global trend towards violence, including youth radicalization and the rise of new mixed ideologies.”
The decision to raise the threat level reflects broader concerns about the influence of international conflicts on domestic security. Community groups in Australia have reported an uptick in Islamophobic and antisemitic incidents since the conflict in Gaza intensified last October. This surge in hate crimes further compounds the challenges faced by security agencies.
Australia’s national terrorism threat classification system consists of five levels, ranging from “certain” to “not expected.” The move to “probable” signifies a more urgent and serious threat assessment than the previous “possible” rating, marking a critical juncture in the nation’s approach to counterterrorism.
The elevation in threat level serves as a sobering reminder of the pervasive and evolving nature of extremist threats. As governments worldwide grapple with the complexities of modern radicalization, Australia’s proactive stance aims to safeguard its citizens amidst an increasingly unpredictable global security landscape.
In this heightened state of alert, the focus remains on preemptive measures and community engagement to mitigate the risks of radicalization and violence. The Australian government’s response underscores the imperative of adapting to the shifting dynamics of terrorism and extremism, ensuring that national security measures remain robust and responsive to emerging threats.
Terrorism
Puntland Forces Hit Hard in Battle Against ISIS Stronghold
Deadly Roadside Blasts Target Puntland Troops in Fierce Anti-ISIS Offensive
The fight against ISIS in Puntland just took a deadly turn. A devastating roadside bombing in the Al-Miskaat mountains killed five Puntland soldiers and left 20 others wounded—a brutal reminder that ISIS is far from defeated. The attack comes as Puntland forces, backed by U.S. airstrikes, ramp up their military operations to crush the terror network entrenched in the region’s rugged terrain.
Despite the deadly ambush, Puntland troops aren’t backing down. In a significant counterstrike, they launched an offensive that successfully retook Dharin, a key area in Togjacel, which ISIS militants had controlled for years. Some terrorists were killed, while others fled into the mountains, proving that ISIS remains resilient but is on the run.
This latest clash underscores the brutal, high-stakes battle for dominance in Puntland. The Al-Miskaat mountains have long been a terrorist sanctuary, a base for ISIS to launch attacks, extort local communities, and smuggle weapons. But Puntland’s intensified military campaign—fueled by precise U.S. airstrikes—is turning the tide.
On February 1, American forces took the fight to ISIS leadership, executing deadly airstrikes that wiped out high-ranking commanders. This tactical hit has crippled ISIS’s command structure, weakening their ability to coordinate attacks.
Still, the war is far from over. ISIS fighters continue to plant deadly IEDs, targeting military convoys and slowing Puntland’s advance. But Puntland forces aren’t letting up—this battle for control is about eradicating terrorism at its core and securing stability in a volatile region.
With American firepower backing Puntland’s boots on the ground, the campaign to annihilate ISIS in the Al-Miskaat mountains is only intensifying.
The question is how long ISIS can hold out before being completely crushed.
Analysis
Senior ISIS Commander Captured in Puntland as U.S. Airstrikes Cripple Somalia’s Jihadist Network
Security forces in Puntland have captured Abdirahman Shirwac Aw-Saciid, the leader of the group’s assassination squad and a key operative in its extortion network. The arrest comes just two days after U.S. airstrikes targeted senior ISIS leadership, intensifying pressure on the group amid a growing Puntland offensive against both ISIS and Al-Shabaab.
A Crumbling Jihadist Network
Once seen as a fringe element compared to Al-Shabaab, ISIS-Somalia has rapidly expanded in recent years, fueled by foreign fighters and an enhanced financial system. The group has increasingly used sophisticated tactics, including booby-trapped vehicles, signaling an evolution in their operational capabilities.
Shirwac, also known as “Laahoor”, was captured in the Cal Miskaad mountains, a key hideout in Puntland’s Bari region, where the group has been entrenched. His role in assassination operations and extortion made him one of the most dangerous figures within Somalia’s ISIS faction.
Puntland’s Offensive and U.S. Military Support
The Puntland state government launched a full-scale offensive in December, targeting both ISIS and its longtime rival, Al-Shabaab. The Somali government, still struggling with decades of instability, sees Puntland’s campaign as a critical front in the battle against terrorism.
Meanwhile, U.S. airstrikes on Saturday in the Golis Mountains dealt another devastating blow to ISIS-Somalia, reportedly killing multiple high-ranking operatives. U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth emphasized that these strikes were part of a broader strategy to dismantle ISIS’ global network.
The Bigger Picture: Somalia’s Security Crisis
While Al-Shabaab still remains the dominant jihadist force in Somalia, ISIS-Somalia has carved out a deadly foothold in Puntland and the northeast, leveraging extortion, smuggling, and foreign funding. The Somali government, backed by regional forces and U.S. military support, is racing against time to prevent ISIS from becoming an even greater threat.
The capture of Laahoor represents a significant victory for Puntland security forces. However, whether this momentum can be sustained—and whether Somalia can prevent an ISIS resurgence—remains the ultimate test. The war is far from over, but the tides may be turning against ISIS in Somalia.
Terrorism
Trump’s Somalia Airstrikes: A New Offensive Against ISIS
President Donald Trump announced precision airstrikes on ISIS strongholds in Somalia, claiming to have eliminated high-value targets hiding in the Galgala Mountains in Puntland. The Saturday strikes, carried out by U.S. forces, marked a decisive push against Islamic State militants in a region long plagued by extremist insurgencies.
Trump’s Truth Social post framed the operation as a strategic blow to terrorists who “threatened the U.S. and its allies.” He emphasized that the strikes “destroyed the caves they live in” and eliminated many operatives—without harming civilians. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth reinforced this claim, stating that the attacks were highly precise, targeting a senior attack planner and other key figures.
While Somalia’s government welcomed the strikes, acknowledging the ongoing threat posed by ISIS-linked militants, the extent of their impact remains unclear. The Somali government has long relied on U.S. military support to counter both ISIS and Al-Shabaab, but previous airstrikes have drawn criticism for potential civilian casualties.
This latest operation signals a renewed Trump administration focus on counterterrorism efforts in East Africa, reinforcing America’s aggressive approach to eradicating jihadist networks beyond the Middle East. With Somalia remaining a contested battleground for both ISIS and Al-Shabaab, the question now is whether this high-profile strike is part of a broader U.S. military pivot in the region—or a short-term show of force amid rising geopolitical tensions.
Terrorism
Fierce Fighting Erupts in Hiran as Somali Forces, Militias Clash with Al-Shabaab
The Hiran region has once again become a battleground as heavy fighting erupts between the Somali National Army (SNA), supported by local militia forces known as Macawisley, and Al-Shabaab militants. The battle, which broke out in Cadow Gureey, a key area within Buula Burte district, marks a significant escalation in the ongoing war against the terrorist group.
Combat has been particularly intense, with both sides deploying various types of weaponry, and reports indicate that fighting is taking place in the deserted rural areas of Hiran. This renewed offensive follows another brutal battle lasting over eight hours in the Jicibow area, near the Shebelle River. Government sources claim Al-Shabaab has suffered heavy losses, though official casualty figures remain unclear.
The militant group, notorious for its entrenched defensive strategies, has dug extensive trenches to slow the SNA and Macawisley forces. However, Somali military officials insist they are making steady gains, pushing deeper into Al-Shabaab strongholds.
Local sources say that much of the region has been abandoned by pastoralist families, with poor communication networks making it difficult to verify casualties or territorial control. Despite this, government forces remain determined to eliminate Al-Shabaab from Hiran, continuing a larger nationwide offensive aimed at liberating key territories from the terror group’s grip.
The battle for Cadow Gureey and Jicibow could prove pivotal in weakening Al-Shabaab’s presence in central Somalia. But as fighting intensifies, the humanitarian toll is expected to rise, with civilians caught between the advancing military and the militant group’s desperate attempts to maintain control.
Terrorism
Puntland Cracks Down on Illegal Foreign Nationals Amid Extremism Concerns
Authorities intensify measures against undocumented individuals to curb links to ISIS and bolster regional security.
Puntland authorities have intensified efforts to curb security risks by launching a crackdown on undocumented foreign nationals, linking illegal migration to extremist activity in the region. The directive, issued by the Ministry of Interior, prohibits undocumented individuals from residing in Puntland and bans the entry of illegal migrants. This move comes as officials express increasing concern over reports of foreign nationals joining the ISIS militant group, which has been a persistent destabilizing force in the area.
The crackdown includes strict measures targeting telecommunications. Companies have been instructed to stop issuing SIM cards to individuals without verified identification, and existing unregistered phone accounts are being deactivated. These actions aim to disrupt communication channels that could be exploited by extremist groups.
Authorities have also moved to eliminate the presence of undocumented individuals occupying public spaces such as mosques, streets, and commercial centers. Small businesses operated by undocumented foreign nationals have been ordered to suspend operations until their legal status is verified.
This intensified campaign follows a recent incident in Bosaso, where security forces shot and killed a Yemeni national attempting to plant a landmine. Subsequent investigations uncovered hand grenades and bomb-making materials at the suspect’s residence. The individual, who had disguised himself as a trader selling prayer beads and perfumes, exemplifies the covert methods reportedly employed by extremist operatives.
The crackdown aligns with Puntland’s broader counterterrorism campaign, Operation Hillaac, targeting ISIS strongholds in the Al Miskaad Mountains. Since establishing a presence in Puntland in 2015, ISIS has exploited the region’s remote terrain to build extortion and smuggling networks, funding its destabilizing activities.
Puntland’s Minister of Information, Mahmoud Aydid Dirir, reiterated that amnesty is available to ISIS fighters, including foreign nationals, who voluntarily surrender. However, recent incidents underline the continuing threat posed by the group. On Monday morning, six Puntland security personnel were killed in a roadside explosion in the Bari region. In December 2024, ISIS launched a coordinated attack on a Puntland military base in Dharjaale, involving explosive-laden vehicles and foreign fighters. While the assault was repelled, it highlighted the group’s escalating boldness.
Puntland officials describe the crackdown as essential to maintaining regional stability and preventing the area from becoming a safe haven for illegal activities and extremist groups. These measures represent a critical step in Puntland’s broader efforts to enhance security and ensure the safety of its residents.
Terrorism
ISIS Drone Attack Kills Puntland Soldier
Puntland forces face escalating drone threats as they intensify efforts to eliminate ISIS strongholds in the Bari region.
Puntland forces in Somalia suffered a deadly drone attack by ISIS, resulting in the death of one soldier and injuries to three others. The attack, which involved an explosive-laden drone, occurred in Janno Jiifta, an area recently liberated from ISIS by the Puntland Defense Forces (PDF).
The drone, detonated near Puntland soldiers, highlights ISIS’s growing use of advanced weaponry in its operations. This comes shortly after Puntland forces seized eight explosive-packed drones from captured ISIS bases in the same region. According to a Puntland military official, these drones pose the “biggest threat” to their efforts to dismantle the group.
In response to the attack, Puntland forces have launched additional operations targeting Togga-Jeel, where ISIS fighters are believed to have regrouped. The operations are part of a broader campaign to destroy ISIS’s presence and weapon caches in the Calmikaad mountains of the Bari region.
Despite the casualties, Puntland forces have successfully captured critical ISIS bases in Janno Jiifta, a significant step in their fight against the group.
The Bari region, particularly the Calmikaad mountains, has long served as a base for ISIS operations in Puntland. The group has used the area to launch attacks and stockpile weapons, including drones equipped with explosives. Puntland’s efforts to secure these regions are crucial for stabilizing the area and curbing ISIS’s influence.
While Puntland forces continue to make progress in reclaiming ISIS-held territory, the increasing use of drones by ISIS highlights the evolving nature of the threat. With intensified operations targeting key strongholds, Puntland remains committed to eliminating ISIS and securing peace in the region. However, the fight ahead will likely require greater resources and regional cooperation to address the sophisticated tactics employed by the group.
Terrorism
Landmine Explosion Kills 13 Puntland Soldiers in Counter-Terrorism Mission
Deadly Attack by ISIS Highlights Growing Threat in Bari Region
At least 13 Puntland soldiers lost their lives, and over seven others sustained injuries on Monday in a deadly landmine explosion in Somalia’s Bari region. The explosion struck an army vehicle carrying Puntland forces engaged in a counter-terrorism mission targeting ISIS militants in the Habley area.
Military officials confirmed that the attack was orchestrated by ISIS, using a roadside mine to devastate the convoy. Some of the injured later succumbed to their wounds, raising the death toll and leaving a grim reminder of the dangers facing Puntland forces in their ongoing fight against extremism.
The attack occurred just days after Puntland officials visited Tasjiic, a nearby area, to rally community support for the military campaign. Officials appealed for livestock donations to bolster troop morale and reinforce efforts to dismantle ISIS strongholds in the mountainous Bari region.
Puntland’s forces have been waging a protracted battle to root out ISIS militants entrenched in remote and rugged terrain, which provides a natural fortress for insurgent activities. The Habley explosion underscores the mounting challenges these forces face, with ISIS employing increasingly lethal tactics to thwart the government’s operations.
The incident is a stark reminder of the human cost of Puntland’s campaign to neutralize ISIS militants and secure stability in the region. As the conflict intensifies, the local government faces growing pressure to adapt its strategy and enhance protections for its security personnel while maintaining the support of affected communities.
Terrorism
Puntland Forces Strike Major Daesh Strongholds in Bari Region
Eight Daesh bases destroyed, drones downed in intense operations targeting militants in the Al-Miskaad mountains.
Puntland’s defense forces have launched a decisive offensive against Daesh militants in the Al-Miskaad mountains of the Bari region, dismantling critical strongholds and disrupting operations in the area. The operation, which targets militant positions, underscores Puntland’s commitment to eradicating extremist groups entrenched in its territory.
The Puntland Marine Police Force (PMPF) announced the destruction of at least eight key Daesh command centers and bases across strategic locations, including streams and mountainous regions such as Lugele, Dhabanacado, Il-Ameyro, Hoobato, Tagtag, and Baal-Gorey. These areas have long served as fortified hubs for extremist activity, complicating counterterrorism efforts in the region.
In a significant development, Puntland forces also shot down drones reportedly used by Daesh for reconnaissance and operational planning. Images of the downed drones, described as spy aircraft, highlight the group’s increasing reliance on technology to bolster its activities.
The operation yielded additional gains, with Puntland forces recovering weapons and ammunition abandoned by retreating militants. However, the situation remains volatile, with opposing movements and clashes continuing in key locations such as the Toga Il-Ameyro area.
Puntland’s campaign to liberate the mountainous Bari region reflects a broader strategy to reclaim territories controlled by extremist groups. These efforts are critical in addressing the persistent security threats posed by Daesh and ensuring stability in the region.
The success of this offensive will be closely monitored as Puntland seeks to dismantle Daesh’s operational network and prevent the group from regrouping in the strategically significant Al-Miskaad mountains.
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