Middle East
Netanyahu Orders Full Resumption of Combat in Gaza

The latest resurgence of hostilities in Gaza underscores a critical juncture in Israeli-Palestinian relations, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu asserting the necessity to resume military operations in Gaza. This decision follows a brief period of relative calm afforded by a ceasefire, which Netanyahu justified as essential for achieving Israel’s strategic objectives either through negotiations or military means if required. This stance reflects Israel’s broader military strategy aimed at decisively curtailing Hamas’s capabilities.
During a military ceremony, Netanyahu conveyed Israel’s readiness to reinitiate intensive combat operations at any moment, highlighting the precariousness of the ceasefire that had momentarily paused hostilities. The cessation of hostilities had enabled the release of several Israeli hostages in staged events, which Netanyahu criticized as humiliating, leading to a halt in the planned release of Palestinian prisoners. This impasse underscores the fragility of the ceasefire and the complex dynamics at play, where each side accuses the other of violations that could derail peace efforts.
Furthermore, the introduction of Israeli tanks into Jenin represents a significant escalation and broadening of military operations in the West Bank, the first such deployment in two decades. This action indicates a strategic expansion of Israel’s military footprint in Palestinian territories, coinciding with ongoing tensions in Gaza.
This situation remains volatile with Netanyahu under domestic pressure to deliver on war objectives while navigating the intricate politics of a ceasefire that has both strategic and humanitarian implications. The international community, particularly the United States, continues to play a crucial role in mediating these tensions, with envoys seeking to extend and solidify the ceasefire phases to ensure further releases and de-escalation.
Analysis
Trump Uses SLAM-ERs, JDAMs, Tomahawks in Yemen Campaign

Trump administration intensifies campaign against Iran-backed Houthis using advanced munitions, signaling broader strategic intentions in the Middle East.
The United States has escalated its military campaign against the Houthis in Yemen, deploying some of its most advanced precision-guided weaponry in a series of airstrikes aimed at degrading the group’s operational capabilities. The strikes come amid growing regional volatility, with U.S. and Israeli forces signaling broader strategic intentions that may extend beyond the Houthi threat.
According to The National Interest, the Trump administration has shifted from limited deterrence to direct, sustained action, using a combination of naval and air assets to hit Houthi targets. This follows the group’s continued attacks on international shipping lanes since late 2023, conducted with Iranian-supplied drones and missiles.
The military response from the U.S. has included aircraft launched from the USS Harry S. Truman, cruise missile strikes from USS Gettysburg, and widespread use of precision-guided munitions designed to strike deep into Houthi-controlled territory while minimizing risk to U.S. forces.
Key Weapons Deployed
F/A-18E/F Super Hornets have taken the lead in air operations, equipped with a range of standoff weapons such as the AGM-154 Joint Standoff Weapon (JSOW) and AGM-84H SLAM-ER cruise missiles. These munitions are capable of hitting targets from long distances, staying clear of Houthi air defenses, which have been bolstered by Iranian support.
The JSOW, a glide bomb with GPS and infrared terminal guidance, allows for pinpoint accuracy from up to 70 miles. It is stealthy, difficult to detect, and versatile, with variants for penetrating hardened targets or dispersing submunitions.
Meanwhile, the SLAM-ER brings advanced mid-flight retargeting capabilities and a two-way data link, enabling operators to adjust strike parameters in real-time. With a range exceeding 150 miles and a 500-pound warhead, it is particularly suited to neutralizing Houthi command and control centers or missile storage sites.
JDAMs (Joint Direct Attack Munitions), though less technologically complex, remain a critical part of the arsenal. These kits turn conventional bombs into precision-guided weapons using GPS, with the ability to strike within a 16-foot radius in all weather conditions. Dropped from high altitudes, JDAMs offer cost-effective and reliable firepower.
Finally, the Tomahawk cruise missile, launched from surface ships like the USS Gettysburg, remains a strategic workhorse. With a range of up to 1,500 miles and advanced guidance systems including GPS, TERCOM, and DSMAC, the Tomahawk is ideal for striking deeply entrenched targets with minimal warning.
Why These Weapons Matter
The munitions deployed reflect a calculated strategy: suppress Houthi capabilities from a distance, avoid American casualties, and prevent escalation with Iran, all while sending a clear message of deterrence. These strikes are not random; they’re designed to degrade infrastructure used to launch anti-ship attacks and build momentum toward a larger strategic objective.
The use of these systems also highlights the limitations of the Houthis. Despite their use of Iranian-provided ballistic and cruise missiles, their ability to counter high-precision, standoff weapons remains limited. This technological imbalance reinforces the U.S.’s ability to project power in contested regions.
Strategic Implications
The strikes against the Houthis may be a tactical response to maritime threats, but they are unfolding within a broader context. The reopening of Israel’s southern front against Hamas, coupled with reported preparations for joint Israeli-American strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, suggests that the region could be entering a more expansive and volatile phase.
If strikes against Iran materialize, the attacks on the Houthis—seen as Iranian proxies—may be viewed not as isolated events but as the opening salvos in a broader regional confrontation.
Conclusion
The U.S. campaign against the Houthis marks a shift in posture under President Trump, moving from defensive deterrence to proactive, high-tech strikes aimed at dismantling hostile capabilities. The use of precision-guided weapons reflects not only military efficiency but also a strategic calculus that places Yemen within a larger arc of tension between Washington, Tehran, and their respective allies.
As the region teeters toward further escalation, the current operations may well serve as both deterrent and dress rehearsal for potential conflicts to come.
Analysis
Israeli Forces Escalate Strikes, Threaten Annexation of Gaza Amid Tense Negotiations

Israel’s latest military operations spark global concern, with Trump’s envoy hinting at a temporary Hamas stay under strict conditions.
The ongoing conflict in Gaza and Israel’s military strategies have deep historical roots, interwoven with decades of geopolitical tension, shifting alliances, and complex international relations. Here’s a comprehensive analysis that covers the history and potential future implications of these strategies from various angles:
The foundation of Israel in 1948 and the subsequent Arab-Israeli war laid the groundwork for ongoing regional conflicts. Gaza has often been a flashpoint in these disputes, with its geopolitical significance magnified by its location and the density of its population.
Hamas’s emergence in the late 1980s as a significant force in Palestinian politics changed the dynamics in Gaza. Its control over Gaza since 2007, following a conflict with the Palestinian Authority, has led to a series of military confrontations with Israel, shaped by the organization’s refusal to recognize Israel and its stated aim to liberate Palestinian territories.
Israel’s blockade of Gaza, in place since 2007 and supported by Egypt, aims to prevent arms from reaching Hamas but has also led to severe humanitarian issues. This blockade has been the backdrop for various military operations, each resulting in significant casualties and destruction.
Current Scenario
Israel’s recent military strategies, including targeted assassinations and threats to annex parts of Gaza, aim to degrade Hamas’s capabilities. However, these actions also risk escalating violence and worsening humanitarian conditions. The assassination of a Hamas intelligence leader signifies a tactical move to weaken the militant leadership directly.
The ongoing conflict has devastated Gaza’s infrastructure, with significant impacts on health, sanitation, and food security. The UN’s warnings of a humanitarian crisis underscore the severe consequences of continued military actions without robust humanitarian corridors.
The role of international actors like Egypt, Qatar, the US, and others in mediating ceasefire talks highlights the complex international stakes involved in the Gaza conflict. Each player brings different priorities and influences, affecting the negotiation dynamics.
Future Implications
The current trajectory suggests a bleak outlook for immediate peace. The cyclical nature of conflict in Gaza, driven by deep-seated grievances and geopolitical strategies, poses significant challenges to lasting peace agreements.
Increased calls for investigations into actions by both Hamas and Israeli forces reflect a growing international appetite for accountability and adherence to international law. How this will influence future military and diplomatic strategies remains to be seen.
The situation in Gaza influences global policies on military engagement, humanitarian aid, and conflict resolution. The international community’s response, including potential shifts in policy or increased diplomatic engagement, could set precedents for handling similar conflicts globally.
Conclusion
The Gaza conflict is a manifestation of broader regional and international tensions, with deep historical roots and complex future trajectories. Understanding this context is crucial for any meaningful analysis of the situation and for crafting strategies that address both the symptoms and root causes of the conflict. Each development in the region could potentially reshape the broader Middle East’s geopolitical landscape, making it essential for international observers and stakeholders to maintain a close watch on unfolding events.
ASSESSMENTS
UAE Eyes Major Stake in US AI Sector with $25 Billion Investment

The recent announcement of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to significantly ramp up its artificial intelligence (AI) investments in the United States marks a pivotal shift in both technological and geopolitical landscapes. This development is underscored by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed’s visit to Washington, signaling a robust commitment to advancing AI capabilities through strategic international collaborations.
The UAE’s decision to invest $25 billion in the US AI sector is not just an economic maneuver but a strategic positioning within the global tech landscape. This investment could catalyze significant advancements in AI technologies, potentially positioning the US even more prominently as a leader in the AI field. For the UAE, this move diversifies its economic dependencies away from oil and toward technology, aligning with its broader economic transformation goals.
Sheikh Tahnoon’s role in managing two sovereign wealth funds and his direct involvement in this substantial investment highlight the UAE’s strategic pivot towards the US. This realignment might be indicative of a shift in global alliances, with the UAE positioning itself closer to Washington’s sphere of influence, distancing itself from China’s technological ecosystem. This could realign technology sourcing and security alliances in favor of the US, potentially altering the balance in tech dominance between the US and China.
By securing access to cutting-edge American AI chips, the UAE could leapfrog in developing high-tech industries, from autonomous vehicles to smart city infrastructure, which are pivotal for its future economic landscape. For the US, granting the UAE access to advanced AI technologies ensures a partner in technological development and potentially a diplomatic ally in regional conflicts and broader geopolitical strategies.
Predictions and Outcomes
The infusion of capital and resources from the UAE is likely to accelerate innovation in AI within the US, leading to faster development of new technologies and AI applications. This could spur further investments in AI research and development, fostering a cycle of innovation and investment that benefits the global AI landscape.
As the UAE aligns more closely with the US in technology and security, there may be shifts in how Middle Eastern politics are navigated, particularly concerning relations with China and Russia. The US might leverage this partnership to strengthen its influence in the Middle East, countering China’s Belt and Road initiatives in the region.
With increased investment in AI, both nations will need to address the ethical implications of AI technology, including privacy concerns, surveillance, and the potential for AI in military applications. This partnership could lead to a harmonization of AI governance standards between the UAE and the US, influencing global norms and practices in AI ethics and regulation.
Overall, this deepened partnership between the UAE and the US in AI could herald a new era of technological progress and geopolitical cooperation, reshaping economic and strategic priorities on a global scale. As AI continues to be a critical element of national power, the ripple effects of this partnership will likely be observed across various sectors and regions.
ASSESSMENTS
What Latest Situation in Syria

Assad’s Regime Gains Ground with Kurdish Alliance, Promising Stability Amid Regional Tensions.
The recent agreement between the Syrian government and the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) signifies a major shift in Syria’s political landscape and regional dynamics. This pivotal moment has effectively bolstered President Bashar al-Assad’s control over the country, promising a period of stability in regions that have endured years of tumult.
The integration of SDF forces into the Syrian government’s military underscores a strategic consolidation of power for Assad. This move not only enhances his control over critical areas including borders, military bases, airports, and oil fields but also signals a reduction in the operational autonomy of the SDF. This strategic alignment could potentially streamline governance and boost Syria’s capabilities in securing its territories.
The backdrop to this agreement is deeply rooted in regional security concerns, with a key focus on preventing the resurgence of ISIS. The collaboration between neighboring countries—Syria, Turkey, Iraq, Lebanon, and Jordan—highlights a concerted effort to secure detainee camps and stave off threats posed by remaining ISIS cells. This regional effort is further bolstered by the United States’ involvement, emphasized by the visit of CENTCOM Commander General Michael Kurilla to Syria. His discussions reflect the U.S.’s ongoing commitment to the defeat of ISIS and its strategic interests in stabilizing the region.
Diplomatically, the scenario presents a significant realignment. The U.S. and Turkey, along with support from Arab states like Qatar, backing the Assad regime marks a shift towards a more pragmatic approach in handling Syrian affairs. This newfound acceptance of Assad’s government, supported by diplomatic engagements, contrasts sharply with its previous international isolation and suggests a geopolitical shift where stabilizing Syria aligns with broader security and humanitarian interests.
However, not all regional actors align with this perspective. Iran and Israel remain significant outliers with separate strategic concerns that this agreement does not address. The exclusion of Iran from these discussions and Israel’s ongoing security concerns about Iranian influence in Syria pose potential challenges to the regional stability this agreement seeks to establish.
On the domestic front, the implications for the Syrian populace, especially in former SDF-controlled regions, are profound. The integration into the Syrian state apparatus promises more standardized governance but raises valid concerns regarding the rights and protections for Kurdish and other minority communities. Economically, the control over oil fields by the Syrian government could inject much-needed resources into Syria’s economy, potentially improving public services and infrastructure.
While this agreement holds the promise of ushering in a new era of reduced conflict in Syria, its durability will depend on the political will for genuine integration, sustained international support, and the Syrian government’s management of its regained territories. The success or failure of this agreement will not only shape Syria’s future but also set precedents for conflict resolution in similar geopolitical contexts.
Analysis
Saudi Arabia’s Billion-Dollar Bid for Eritrea’s Assab Port

How Saudi Arabia’s Investment Could Redefine the Berbera Port and Horn of Africa’s Geopolitical Landscape.
Saudi Arabia is setting the stage for a profound strategic shift in the Horn of Africa through its planned multi-billion-dollar investment in Eritrea’s Assab port. This move not only positions Riyadh as a key player in the region but also challenges the existing dominance of other global powers such as the UAE, Turkey, and China within the crucial Red Sea trade corridor.
The investment in Assab port could significantly disrupt Ethiopia’s maritime ambitions. Given Ethiopia’s landlocked status, its government under Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has long coveted access to the sea, viewing Eritrea’s ports as vital gateways. Secret reports suggest that Ethiopia might even consider military action to secure such access. However, Saudi Arabia’s involvement could deter such aspirations by enhancing Eritrea’s defensive capabilities and economic stability, making any aggressive move by Ethiopia both costly and politically untenable.
For Eritrea, aligning with Saudi Arabia could serve as a protective strategy against Ethiopian military ambitions, ensuring that its sovereignty over Assab remains unchallenged. This partnership would not only fortify Eritrea’s position but could also shift the regional power dynamics, potentially neutralizing Ethiopia’s influence over the Red Sea access points.
The potential Saudi investment in Assab port signifies more than just economic development; it reflects a strategic realignment in the Horn of Africa’s geopolitics. This realignment underscores a growing partnership between Saudi Arabia and Eritrea, aimed at safeguarding their interests along one of the world’s most vital maritime routes. Such a partnership could significantly alter regional power balances, offering Eritrea the backing needed to withstand Ethiopian pressures and enhancing Saudi influence in African geopolitics.
Furthermore, the move could recalibrate alliances and provoke reevaluations of strategic priorities among other regional players, including the UAE, Turkey, and China, all of whom have vested interests in the region’s maritime corridors. Each nation has been working to extend its influence through infrastructure investments and diplomatic engagements, and Riyadh’s new focus on Assab could prompt a rethinking of their strategies in response to the shifting sands of alliance and power.
For Somaliland, the developments surrounding Assab could have mixed implications. On one hand, a stronger Assab might divert some attention and resources away from Somaliland’s Berbera port, which has been backed by UAE investments. On the other hand, the geopolitical tensions and the strengthening of Assab could validate the strategic importance of having multiple allied ports along the Red Sea, potentially increasing the overall security and economic activity in the region.
The MOU signed between Somaliland and Ethiopia, which envisaged mutual recognition and economic cooperation, might also come under strain. Ethiopia’s potential isolation in the Red Sea arena could lead to a reevaluation of its foreign policy, especially towards its agreements with Somaliland.
Inconclusion, the anticipated Saudi investment in Assab is more than an economic venture; it is a strategic maneuver that could redefine regional alignments and power dynamics in the Horn of Africa. As the Red Sea becomes an increasingly contested geopolitical space, the actions of Saudi Arabia, coupled with the responses of other regional and global powers, will undoubtedly influence the future political landscape of this critical region.
Middle East
Israel and the Kurds: Forging Alliances in a Shifting Middle East

The relationship between Israel and the Kurdish people is increasingly significant amid the evolving geopolitical landscape of the Middle East. Historically marginalized, the Kurds have found in Israel a supporter of their aspirations, particularly in Syria, where the Kurdish struggle has gained international attention.
The Middle East’s shifting political dynamics, particularly since the events of October 7 that saw the defeat of the Shiite belt, have opened new avenues for Kurdish-Israeli relations. This shift has been further complicated by the lack of a direct border between the Kurdish regions and Israel, a fact that previously hindered more open interactions.
Dr. Ahmadi Mullah highlights that while the Palestinian issue has dominated Arab-Israeli relations since 1948, the Kurds were often left without such a spotlight, limiting their geopolitical leverage. However, the recent changes have presented new opportunities for Kurdish-Israeli cooperation, potentially altering the region’s power dynamics.
Dr. Sardar Aziz points to a new Middle East where power centers are increasingly fluid, featuring key players such as Israel, Turkey, and the Gulf countries. While the Gulf states exert growing influence due to the weakening of Iran, Iraq, and Syria, there is a concern about Turkey’s rising power potentially destabilizing the balance.
The Kurds, who have long sought recognition and rights within Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Turkey, often face accusations of attempting to establish an entity akin to Israel in the Middle East. Such comparisons are strategically used by their opponents to invoke regional and religious opposition against them.
The topic of Kurdish-Israeli relations remains a taboo, laden with emotional and political charges that complicate rational discourse. Turkey’s fluctuating relationship with Israel exemplifies the complex nature of regional alliances, which although strained at times, remains a model of strategic partnership that the Kurds might consider emulating.
Israel’s support for the Kurds, especially noted in Syria, is seen by some as a strategic move to secure an ally in a turbulent region. The alignment with Israel could potentially shield the Kurds from regional adversaries and foster stability through mutual support.
However, Dr. Mullah questions the long-term intentions behind Israel’s support, pondering whether it is a strategic ploy to exert pressure on Turkey or genuinely aimed at fostering regional peace. The Kurdish leadership must carefully navigate these international waters to leverage their geopolitical position without becoming overly reliant on fluctuating alliances.
The future of Kurdish-Israeli relations depends heavily on the Kurds’ ability to strategically engage with Israel and other regional powers. As the Middle East continues to experience profound transformations, the Kurds could potentially emerge as a significant player, but this will require nuanced diplomacy and a clear understanding of the regional and international stakes involved.
In conclusion, as Israel expresses open support for Kurdish aspirations, the potential for a meaningful alliance hangs in the balance, contingent on strategic decisions that will either cement the Kurds as a pivotal force in the Middle East or leave them as pawns in the broader geopolitical game.
Middle East
Arab Initiative Challenges Trump’s Gaza Takeover Plan with $53 Billion Rebuild Strategy

Arab nations have united behind a $53 billion plan aimed at the comprehensive reconstruction of Gaza under the stewardship of the Palestinian Authority (PA). The plan, spearheaded by Egypt, received broad support at the Arab League summit in Cairo, highlighting a collective regional effort to restore and develop the war-torn area while promoting Palestinian statehood.
The initiative, endorsed on Tuesday, proposes rebuilding Gaza’s infrastructure and economy, devastated by the prolonged 15-month conflict with Israel. Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi, who announced the plan’s endorsement, framed it as an alternative to Trump’s vision, emphasizing the Arab world’s commitment to Palestinian governance and independence.
The summit, which convened a day after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterated his support for Trump’s plan, focused on outlining a “comprehensive Arab plan” for Gaza. Key aspects of the proposal include:
Administration and Governance: The plan supports the formation of a Gaza administration committee under the PA, aiming to foster stability and governance.
Funding and International Support: A trust will be established to manage and direct funds from global donors and financial institutions for reconstruction projects.
Political Track: The initiative also involves a political component, seeking to advance the cause of Palestinian statehood, which faces opposition from Israeli leaders.
Hamas has expressed support for the Arab summit’s proposals, particularly the establishment of a committee to manage reconstruction and governance efforts. This endorsement from Hamas indicates a willingness to collaborate on rebuilding efforts despite the group’s historical tensions with the PA.
Contrasting sharply with the Arab plan, President Trump’s proposal involves the U.S. taking control of the Gaza Strip to convert it into a luxury destination, dubbed the “Riviera of the Middle East.” This plan has been met with widespread criticism and has sparked global controversy, especially due to its suggestion that Palestinian residents relocate to neighboring countries like Egypt or Jordan.
The starkly different visions for Gaza’s future presented by Trump and the Arab League highlight ongoing geopolitical tensions in the region. The Arab plan’s focus on rehabilitation and political sovereignty reflects a broader regional effort to assert Arab leadership in Middle Eastern affairs, particularly concerning the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
As international discussions continue, the effectiveness of the Arab initiative will depend largely on global support and the cooperation of key stakeholders, including Israel and the international community. The coming months will be critical in determining whether the Arab world can successfully challenge Trump’s controversial plans and effectively aid Gaza’s path to recovery and political stability.
Middle East
U.S. Reimposes Maximum Pressure on Iran with New Sanctions Targeting Oil Exports

The U.S. is intensifying its campaign to squeeze Iran, reimposing “maximum pressure” with a new round of sanctions targeting Iranian oil exports. This move marks a fresh attempt by the Trump administration to tackle Iran’s nuclear ambitions, but it’s far from a straightforward operation. On February 24, 2025, the U.S. sanctioned 16 entities and vessels tied to Iran’s oil industry, underscoring the global web that keeps Tehran’s revenue flowing. From oil brokers in the UAE to tanker operators in China, the sanctions stretch far beyond Iran’s borders, demonstrating the complexity of targeting Iran’s economic lifeline.
But, as always, there are loopholes. Ships can turn off transponders and engage in ship-to-ship transfers, making enforcement an uphill battle. Iran has adapted to sanctions over the years, becoming adept at sidestepping restrictions. Even with this new initiative, it remains a daunting task for the U.S. to choke off Iran’s oil exports entirely, especially with countries like China, India, and the UAE reluctant to join the confrontation.
The Trump administration, while aiming for an agreement, is prepared to up the ante if necessary. Yet, the sanctions alone might not be enough to curb Iran’s ambitions. It’s a high-stakes game of cat and mouse on the global stage, with every move scrutinized for signs of tension or cooperation, and the stakes couldn’t be higher.
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