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Fall of Wagner: Unraveling Prigozhin’s Empire After the Mutiny

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Once heralded as the largest private military company in the world, Wagner’s trajectory has dramatically shifted, particularly following the audacious mutiny led by its founder, Yevgeny Prigozhin. From the battlegrounds of Syria and Libya to the frontlines in Ukraine and the dirt roads of Mali, Wagner’s influence has waned, leaving many to wonder about the future of Prigozhin’s empire.

Founded in 2014 by Prigozhin and former military officer Dmitri Utkin, Wagner became synonymous with covert operations and mercenary deployments. However, on June 23, 2023, the tension reached its boiling point. With a force he claimed numbered 50,000, Prigozhin initiated the so-called “march of justice” towards Moscow, an unprecedented act of rebellion against the Kremlin.

The mutiny was ignited by several factors, primarily President Vladimir Putin’s decree mandating that mercenaries sign contracts directly with the Russian Ministry of Defense. This move was met with staunch opposition from Prigozhin and the majority of his mercenaries. The situation escalated after a video was released in which Prigozhin accused Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu of targeting Wagner’s operations in Ukraine—a claim he believed warranted dismissals at the highest levels of military command.

As Wagner’s column advanced without significant resistance, the threat to Moscow loomed larger. Yet, within a day, the revolt concluded. An agreement, brokered by Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, saw Prigozhin exit Russia to establish a base in Belarus alongside approximately 6,000 of his men. Nevertheless, this was not simply a retreat; it marked the beginning of a steep decline for Wagner and Prigozhin’s influence.

By the end of June 2023, Russian authorities imposed a media blackout on Prigozhin’s outlets, effectively stifling his public voice. The closure of the Molkino training base that had prepared Wagner’s mercenaries further underscored the collapse of an empire that had once thrived on military prowess and private contracts.

Although Wagner continued to maintain a presence in Africa—particularly in Libya and the Central African Republic—its operational capacity was significantly diminished. The turning point came on August 23, 2023, when Prigozhin’s private jet mysteriously crashed shortly after takeoff from Moscow. All aboard, including key figures like Dmitri Utkin and Valeri Chekalov, perished. The timing of the crash, occurring exactly two months after the mutiny, sparked speculation about possible foul play, given that only Putin had the means to orchestrate such an event.

With the death of Prigozhin, the heart of Wagner effectively ceased to beat. Many former mercenaries transitioned to civilian roles, while others sought employment in Chechen units under Ramzan Kadyrov, drawn by comparable salaries. Some chose to remain in Africa or Belarus, marking a stark departure from their previous lives as elite mercenaries.

Moreover, the Concord group, Prigozhin’s broader business entity, saw its military contracts transferred to the Russian government, effectively dismantling the private sector’s hold on these operations. The Russian military began assuming control of Wagner’s assets and files in various regions, signaling a definitive shift in power dynamics.

The aftermath of Prigozhin’s reign illustrates a cautionary tale of ambition subverted by rebellion. His initial surge in power resulted in privileges bestowed upon him by Putin, yet those very actions led to his downfall—culminating in the loss of his life, influence, and the mercenary group he created.

For those seeking a deeper understanding of the rise and fall of this enigmatic figure and his empire, “Death is Our Business” by Ilia Barabanov and Denis Korotkov offers an insightful exploration into the complexities of Prigozhin, Utkin, and the Wagner Group.

As the dust settles on this tumultuous chapter, the geopolitical landscape remains vigilant, for the impact of Wagner’s collapse will surely echo in the corridors of power across Russia and beyond in the years to come.

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UK Appoints Charles Nicholas King as New Ambassador to Somalia

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The UK’s appointment of Charles Nicholas King as its new ambassador to Somalia signals a strategic move in its diplomatic approach to the Horn of Africa. With a background deeply rooted in conflict resolution, counterterrorism, and regional stability, King’s tenure will likely focus on supporting Somalia’s fight against al-Shabaab, strengthening Somali governance reforms, and enhancing UK-Somalia diplomatic and economic ties.

His previous experience leading the Gaza Taskforce, shaping British policy in Syria, Iraq, and Libya, and engaging in Levant and North African affairs positions him as a seasoned crisis diplomat—one who understands fragile states and counterterrorism strategies. This expertise will be crucial as Somalia continues its military campaign against al-Shabaab, expands state-building efforts, and seeks stronger international partnerships to stabilize the region.

As Somalia deepens its ties with Western allies, King’s leadership in Mogadishu could mark a pivotal shift in UK-Somalia relations, particularly in security cooperation, counter-extremism, and political development. His track record suggests a strong emphasis on diplomatic engagement, possibly with an increased role for the UK in Somalia’s security sector and regional stabilization initiatives.

The months ahead will reveal whether his appointment translates into tangible policy shifts—or whether British engagement remains largely advisory in Somalia’s fight for security and sovereignty.

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Somaliland’s Independence: A History Denied, A Legacy to Reclaim

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Somaliland’s journey to statehood is a story of resilience, self-determination, and a legacy obscured by historical complexities. While the world recognizes July 1st, 1960, as Somalia’s independence, the truth is more nuanced, and Somaliland’s own declaration of independence on June 26th of that year plays a crucial, often overlooked role.

On that historic day, Sir Pierson Dixon, representing the Queen and the UK Council, submitted Somaliland’s independence paperwork to the United Nations. This act, grounded in international law and recognized by the UK, solidified Somaliland’s status as a sovereign nation. However, this initial recognition was short-lived. The narrative shifted when control fell into Italian hands, leading to a request for UN verification of Somalia’s independence on July 1st. This procedural move, however, did not negate Somaliland’s prior declaration.

The subsequent narrative of a unified “Somali Republic” rests on shaky legal ground. Crucially, no legally binding treaty of union between Somaliland and Somalia was ever signed, ratified, or registered with the UN, as required by Article 102 of the UN Charter. This absence of a legally sound union casts doubt on the legitimacy of Somalia’s claim to represent both territories. In fact, Somaliland’s parliament rejected the Act of Union in 1961, further underscoring the lack of legal consensus.  

Adding to the complexity, Somalia’s own path to recognized statehood is intertwined with Somaliland’s. Until June 30th, 1960, Somalia was under UN Trusteeship (Italian control), meaning it lacked the full sovereignty required to enter into a legally binding union. This raises questions about the validity of any subsequent claims of unification.

The implications of these historical and legal discrepancies are significant. Some argue that Somalia’s presence in Somaliland constitutes an illegal territorial occupation under Article 2(4) of the UN Charter, which prohibits expansion by force. Furthermore, the argument is made that Somalia’s international recognition, including its UN seat, is predicated on the misappropriation of Somaliland’s prior independent status. 

The narrative of a unified Somali Republic, promoted by Italy, the former colonial power, is seen by some as a form of neocolonialism. This manipulation of the UN process, it is argued, has allowed Somalia to maintain a fraudulent claim to international legitimacy, a claim that would be significantly weakened without Somaliland’s prior independent status.

Beyond the legal arguments, the historical record points to a procedural error at the UN level, an error with far-reaching consequences. This error, some argue, has not only denied Somaliland its rightful place on the world stage but has also contributed to ongoing conflicts and injustices, including the mass killings of the Isaaq clan, which some legal experts argue constitute genocide under the UN Genocide Convention.

Somaliland’s story is a testament to its people’s enduring quest for self-determination. It is a story that demands recognition, not only for the sake of historical accuracy but also for the pursuit of justice and lasting peace in the Horn of Africa. The call for protected status for the Isaaq clan and demands for compensation are a direct consequence of the historical injustices and the ongoing struggle for recognition. The pursuit of truth and accountability regarding these historical events remains central to Somaliland’s national identity and its aspirations for a secure and prosperous future.

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Raila’s Next Move: Join Ruto, Lead ODM, or Carve a New Path?

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After AUC Loss, Kenya’s Political Titan Faces Defining Choice—2027 Bid or Government Role?

Raila Odinga’s defeat in the African Union Commission (AUC) elections has reignited speculation over his next political move. For months, the veteran politician distanced himself from Kenya’s political scene, focusing on his continental bid. Now, with that chapter closed, the burning question is: what’s next for Raila?

One scenario suggests Raila could align with President William Ruto, capitalizing on growing calls to implement the National Dialogue Committee (NADCO) report, which proposes creating the position of Prime Minister. This move could secure him a powerful government role, offering influence without the bruising battle of a presidential contest. Pro-Ruto allies like Senator Samson Cherargei are already pushing for this constitutional amendment.

Alternatively, Raila could reassert dominance over ODM, setting the stage for another 2027 presidential bid. With ODM celebrating its 20th anniversary, party loyalists may pressure him to reclaim his leadership and mobilize opposition against Ruto’s administration. Figures like Kalonzo Musyoka and Peter Kaluma are already hinting at a revitalized opposition movement, positioning Raila as its figurehead.

Another possibility? Retirement. Some rivals, like Githunguri MP Gathoni Wamuchomba, argue that after this loss, Raila should bow out of politics and accept a state-backed retirement package. But history suggests otherwise—Raila thrives in political reinvention.

Whether he chooses reconciliation or resistance, his decision will reshape Kenya’s political landscape. If he embraces government cooperation, he could cement his legacy as a unifying statesman. But if he returns to opposition, he might once again lead a bruising battle toward 2027.

Why Djibouti’s Mahamoud Ali Youssouf Will Win the AU Chairmanship

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The Billionaires Who Bankrolled Hitler—And Paid the Price

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German oligarchs helped Hitler rise to power—only to end up in concentration camps. A cautionary tale for today’s corporate elite?

History is ruthless to those who believe they can control tyrants. In the early 1930s, German industrialists saw Adolf Hitler as a useful tool—a blunt instrument they could wield to crush unions, eliminate political instability, and create a business-friendly dictatorship. They financed his rise, thinking they were playing him. Instead, Hitler played them, and many of these same elites later found themselves stripped of power, imprisoned, or even executed.

Alfred Hugenberg, a media mogul who opened the floodgates for Hitler’s chancellorship, was warned of his mistake. He dismissed the danger—until he found himself fleeing for his life. Siemens, once a pillar of German industry, was forced into the Nazi war machine, employing 80,000 slave laborers in a system of mass murder and totalitarian rule.

Corporate greed and political arrogance have always been a volatile mix. Business leaders bet on Hitler to stabilize the economy. Instead, he shattered every norm, wiped out rivals, and ruled by fear. Today’s billionaire class—whether in Silicon Valley, Wall Street, or beyond—should take heed. History has a way of swallowing those who think they can harness the storm. Will they learn, or will they repeat the fatal mistake of the oligarchs who thought they could control a monster?

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US agency scrambles to rehire nuclear safety staff it fired on Trump’s order

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Trump’s cost-cutting purge backfires as US nuclear safety agency scrambles to rehire fired experts amid security crisis.

The Trump administration’s aggressive purge of federal workers has backfired spectacularly, forcing the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) into a desperate scramble to rehire nuclear safety personnel it just fired. Among those axed were specialists overseeing America’s nuclear warhead stockpile, stationed at top-secret facilities. The layoffs, part of Trump’s broader cost-cutting drive, now pose a direct threat to US national security.

The chaos erupted after termination letters went out, axing key personnel from nuclear labs in Los Alamos, Livermore, and the Pantex Plant—critical sites for warhead development and maintenance. The NNSA, now struggling to contact and rehire these employees, admitted in an internal memo that they have “no good way” to reach them.

The firings stem from Trump’s push to gut the federal workforce, with over 10,000 layoffs last week alone. Energy officials warned of potential gaps in nuclear oversight, but the cuts proceeded anyway, adding to Trump’s growing list of controversial national security moves.

While Trump claims to want a global denuclearization push, his decision to cripple America’s nuclear security infrastructure is raising alarms. The fallout is already underway: a nuclear watchdog crisis, an embarrassed energy department, and a White House scrambling to contain yet another self-inflicted disaster. With nuclear safety on the line, America can’t afford another misstep.

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EU Naval Forces Crush Somali Pirate Threat, Rescue Hijacked Yemeni Fishing Boat

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EUNAVFOR Atalanta successfully recovers Yemeni vessel Al Najma after Somali pirates hijack the boat off the coast of Eyl.

The European Union Naval Force (EUNAVFOR) Atalanta swiftly responded to a pirate hijacking off the Somali coast, successfully recovering the Yemeni fishing vessel Al Najma. The attack, which took place in the Eyl district of the Nugal region, was described as an armed robbery at sea, marking a resurgence of piracy in the region.

Somali Piracy Resurfaces: Armed Raiders Seize Fishing Boat Off Horn of Africa

Atalanta’s rapid naval and air deployment led to the successful seizure of the vessel, ensuring the safety of all 12 crew members. According to official reports, the pirates abandoned the ship after looting valuables, leaving the crew unharmed but shaken.

With piracy in the Horn of Africa resurging amid regional instability, this latest incident underscores the ongoing threat posed by criminal networks operating in Somali waters. Despite years of international naval patrols suppressing large-scale piracy, the collapse of security structures onshore has allowed rogue elements to reemerge, threatening commercial and fishing vessels.

EUNAVFOR Atalanta continues to conduct operations to deter maritime threats, gathering intelligence on the latest attack. As instability in the Red Sea intensifies due to regional conflicts, the fight against piracy is once again at the forefront of global security concerns. The successful rescue of Al Najma signals Europe’s continued commitment to protecting international waters and ensuring the safety of maritime trade routes.

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Zimbabwe to Compensate Foreign White Farmers, But Local Displaced Farmers Still Left Waiting

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Harare begins paying $146 million to foreign investors under land reform agreements, but Zimbabwean white farmers remain uncompensated.

Zimbabwe’s government has begun paying $146 million in compensation to foreign investors whose land was seized during the controversial land reforms of the early 2000s. Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube confirmed that 94 farmers from countries like Switzerland, Denmark, and Germany will receive payments, with $20 million allocated from both the 2024 and 2025 budgets. The move, linked to Zimbabwe’s efforts to rebuild international financial credibility, aims to clear the entire debt by 2028.

However, the decision has sparked outrage among displaced white Zimbabwean farmers, who were promised $3.5 billion under a 2020 compensation agreement that remains largely unpaid. Critics argue that the government’s selective payouts undermine trust and discourage foreign investment. Meanwhile, resettled black farmers will soon receive title deeds, raising concerns about overlapping claims on land still legally owned by its original titleholders.

As Zimbabwe seeks debt relief and economic revival, the land issue remains a political and financial powder keg. Without a comprehensive resolution, Harare risks further alienating investors and fueling legal battles that could stall economic progress.

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Eritrea: Iran’s New Proxy and a Strategic Threat to Red Sea

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Eritrea’s deepening ties with Iran and silence on Houthi aggression expose a growing security threat in the Red Sea.

Eritrea has become Tehran’s silent enforcer in the Horn of Africa, turning a blind eye to Iran’s destabilizing agenda while emerging as a direct security risk to Israel and the U.S. The regime of President Isaias Afwerki, long isolated and despised by its own people, has now fully aligned itself with Iran—giving the Islamic Republic a strategic foothold on the Red Sea’s western shore.

The evidence is mounting. Eritrea’s refusal to condemn Houthi attacks on international shipping, despite these incidents occurring within its territorial waters, speaks volumes. Tehran is leveraging this partnership to enhance its asymmetric warfare tactics, using the Houthis as frontline disruptors while Eritrea provides strategic depth. Iran’s goal is clear: cement Red Sea dominance, disrupt Israeli trade routes, and project power beyond the Persian Gulf.

The latest signal of Eritrea’s shifting allegiance came in November 2024, when Eritrean authorities detained three Azerbaijani ships. The vessels, forced into Eritrean waters due to severe weather, were targeted not because of any legitimate security concerns, but because of Azerbaijan’s deep ties with Israel. This move, almost certainly orchestrated under Iranian influence, sends a chilling message—Eritrea is willing to act against Israel’s allies at Iran’s behest.

Eritrea has the military capability to help stabilize Yemen, yet its continued silence on Houthi violations suggests a deeper collusion. The same Eritrean military that has historically deployed forces in neighboring conflicts could, under Tehran’s direction, be repurposed as an extension of Iran’s proxy network. This shift has profound implications for Israel’s security, U.S. military operations, and the future of Red Sea stability.

Israel and its allies must act swiftly. Strengthening Eritrea’s opposition movements, disrupting Tehran’s economic lifelines to Asmara, and reinforcing naval dominance in the Red Sea should be immediate priorities. Eritrea cannot be allowed to become the next Hezbollah-like stronghold, where Iran operates with impunity.

The warning signs are clear—Eritrea is no longer just an isolated dictatorship. It is now a key player in Iran’s global strategy, and if left unchecked, it could become the next major flashpoint in the Middle East’s evolving shadow war.

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