Middle East
Israel’s Shifting Focus: Is a New Front Opening Against Hezbollah?
As Gaza Conflict Rages, Israel’s Military Turns Its Attention Northward, Heightening Regional Tensions
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has announced that the military is pivoting from its relentless campaign in Gaza to address growing threats from Hezbollah in Lebanon. This strategic recalibration comes amid a flurry of cross-border skirmishes that have intensified the already volatile situation.
On Wednesday, Israeli forces struck a Hezbollah weapons facility in eastern Lebanon, close to the Syrian border. The attack, which resulted in at least one death and 30 injuries, including children, underscores the escalating tension. In retaliation, Hezbollah targeted an Israeli military base in the Golan Heights, damaging homes and injuring civilians. The scene was further inflamed by an Israeli airstrike on Sidon that killed Khalil al-Maqdah, the brother of a prominent Fatah official, further complicating the regional conflict.
Hezbollah’s barrage, which hit northern Israel, was a direct response to recent Israeli aggression. The group has vowed to retaliate for the death of its commanders and the ongoing strikes on Lebanese soil. The casualties and destruction in Lebanon, alongside Israel’s relentless attacks in Gaza, paint a picture of a region on the brink of broader conflict.
The shift in Israeli military focus was articulated by Gallant during a visit to northern Israel, where he told troops that the military’s efforts are now “gradually moving” from Gaza to confront Hezbollah. This move follows a relentless 10½-month campaign against Hamas, which has resulted in heavy casualties on both sides.
U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed the evolving situation in a high-stakes call, with Biden emphasizing the need to resolve the cease-fire and hostage crisis. Yet, despite these diplomatic efforts, the conflict rages on. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has been pushing for a cease-fire but faces mounting challenges as both Hamas and Israel resist aspects of the proposed agreements.
Amid this turmoil, the international community is watching closely. The violence in Gaza has claimed over 40,000 lives, predominantly women and children, with Israeli officials defending their actions as necessary for security.
As Israel shifts its focus northward, the question remains: Will this new front against Hezbollah spark a wider regional conflagration, or can diplomatic efforts succeed in quelling the rising flames of conflict?
Middle East
U.S. Considers Direct Strikes on Iran’s Leadership
From nuclear sites to top commanders — U.S. plans for Iran now reportedly include targeting individuals. The stakes just escalated.
U.S. military planning for potential strikes on Iran has entered an advanced phase, with options reportedly including targeting senior Iranian officials and even pursuing regime change, according to two U.S. officials who spoke to Reuters.
The planning reflects growing tension between Washington and Tehran as diplomatic efforts over Iran’s nuclear program struggle to gain traction. Officials said the military is preparing for the possibility of a sustained operation that could last weeks, targeting not only nuclear infrastructure but also key security facilities and individuals within Iran’s command structure.
While no final decision has been announced, President Donald Trump has publicly floated the idea of changing Iran’s government, calling it potentially “the best thing that could happen.” At the same time, he has continued to signal that diplomacy remains an option, warning that “really bad things” would follow if a deal is not reached within what he suggested could be a short timeline.
The White House and Pentagon have not officially confirmed the scope of military planning.
Targeting individual leaders would mark a significant escalation. During his first term, Trump authorized the 2020 strike that killed Qassem Soleimani, the commander of the Quds Force within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
U.S. officials noted that recent Israeli operations against Iranian commanders demonstrated the tactical impact of precision strikes, though such missions require extensive intelligence and carry risks of broader civilian casualties.
Iran has warned it would retaliate decisively against U.S. forces in the region if attacked. American bases stretch across Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates and Turkey, placing thousands of personnel within range of Iran’s missile arsenal.
Tehran has also previously threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz — a chokepoint through which roughly 20 percent of global oil flows — a move that could trigger severe economic disruption worldwide.
Although U.S. negotiators met Iranian officials this week and discussed “guiding principles,” both sides acknowledged significant gaps remain. Trump reiterated that Iran “can’t have a nuclear weapon,” framing it as central to regional peace.
With warships and aircraft now positioned across the Middle East, the question is no longer whether Washington has military options — but whether the White House will choose to use them.
Middle East
Norway Pulls Back Soldiers From Middle East Hotspots
As tensions rise across the Middle East, even smaller NATO members are adjusting their military footprint.
Norway is relocating some of its military personnel stationed in the Middle East, citing the deteriorating security situation in the region, the country’s armed forces confirmed Friday.
A spokesperson for Norway’s military said that some of the roughly 60 Norwegian soldiers currently deployed in the Middle East are being moved either back to Norway or repositioned within other countries in the region. The official did not specify the exact number of troops affected or the precise locations involved.
The decision comes amid escalating regional tensions, including increased military posturing by major powers and uncertainty surrounding ongoing diplomatic efforts related to Iran and broader Middle Eastern security.
Norwegian forces in the region are primarily engaged in training and advisory missions as part of international coalitions. Norway, a NATO member, has contributed personnel to multinational efforts focused on counterterrorism and regional stability.
Officials emphasized that the move is precautionary and based on ongoing assessments of risk to personnel. There was no indication that Norway plans a full withdrawal from its Middle East commitments.
The relocation reflects a broader pattern of allied forces adjusting deployments in response to heightened volatility across the region.
Middle East
UK Refuses Iran Strike Access, Trump Fires Back
Did Britain just say no to a potential U.S. strike on Iran? And is Diego Garcia now the center of a new transatlantic rift?
Britain has reportedly declined to approve U.S. use of its military bases for potential strikes on Iran, a decision that appears to have triggered sharp criticism from President Donald Trump over London’s planned handover of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius.
According to The Times, the White House is drafting military options that could involve Diego Garcia — a key joint U.S.-UK base in the Indian Ocean — as well as RAF Fairford in Gloucestershire, home to America’s heavy bombers in Europe.
Under longstanding bilateral agreements, U.S. forces require British approval before launching offensive operations from UK territory.
The report suggests that Prime Minister Keir Starmer has not granted that approval, as Washington weighs military action following stalled nuclear talks with Tehran and months of rising tensions.
Hours after speaking with Starmer, Trump publicly lashed out at Britain’s agreement to lease Diego Garcia to Mauritius for 100 years as part of a sovereignty settlement over the Chagos archipelago. Writing on Truth Social, Trump warned Starmer not to “give away” the strategic base, arguing it could prove vital if the U.S. conducts operations against Iran.
“We will always be ready, willing, and able to fight for the UK,” Trump wrote, urging Britain to remain “strong.”
Diego Garcia has long served as a cornerstone of U.S. power projection in the Middle East and Indo-Pacific. Its role becomes especially sensitive as Washington positions aircraft carriers and other assets within range of Iran, while pressing Tehran for major concessions on its nuclear program.
The British Foreign Office defended the Mauritius agreement, stating that it guarantees the long-term future of the base and remains “crucial to the security of the UK and our key allies.”
The apparent disagreement underscores deeper strains in transatlantic coordination over Iran. While the U.S. has threatened military action if diplomacy fails, Britain’s reported hesitation highlights the political and strategic complexities facing Western allies as tensions escalate.
With nuclear negotiations unresolved and military planning underway, Diego Garcia has unexpectedly emerged as a flashpoint in both Middle East strategy and Anglo-American relations.
Middle East
U.S. Plans Full Withdrawal of 1,000 Troops from Syria
After years on the ground in Syria, the U.S. may be pulling out entirely. What does this mean for ISIS, the Kurds — and Iran?
The United States is preparing to withdraw all of its roughly 1,000 troops from Syria over the next two months, according to multiple U.S. media reports, marking a significant shift in Washington’s military posture in the Middle East.
The Wall Street Journal first reported the planned pullout, citing unnamed officials who said the decision follows the Syrian government’s consolidation of control across much of the country. Television network CBS also reported the withdrawal plan, referencing U.S. officials familiar with the matter.
American forces have already vacated several key installations, including bases at al-Tanf and al-Shadadi, which had been central to the U.S.-led coalition’s campaign against ISIS. Those positions were long viewed as strategic footholds in eastern Syria, particularly near the Iraqi border.
The move comes amid broader political shifts inside Syria. After the fall of former President Bashar al-Assad in late 2024, Washington has cautiously engaged with Syria’s new authorities. At the same time, the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces — once a crucial U.S. partner in combating ISIS — have pledged to integrate into the Syrian state structure.
Thousands of ISIS detainees previously held in Syrian facilities have been transferred to more secure sites in Iraq, according to the reports, reducing one of Washington’s major security concerns tied to its presence.
The planned withdrawal unfolds against a backdrop of rising tensions elsewhere in the region. The United States has recently increased its military deployments near Iran, where officials have warned of retaliatory action if attacked. Separate reports indicate Washington is positioning assets that could be used for potential strikes against Iranian targets, though President Donald Trump has not publicly finalized any decision.
The Pentagon has not officially confirmed the Syria withdrawal plan and did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
If carried out, the exit would close a chapter in a military mission that began during the fight against ISIS and evolved into a complex balancing act involving Kurdish allies, regional rivals, and shifting alliances across a fractured Syrian landscape.
Middle East
Trump’s Board of Peace Faces Immediate Reality Test
Billions pledged. Troops promised. Hamas still armed. Can Trump’s new “Board of Peace” actually change Gaza — or is the hardest part just beginning?
U.S. President Donald Trump is set to preside over the inaugural meeting of his newly formed “Board of Peace” on Thursday in Washington, bringing together representatives from more than 45 countries to discuss Gaza’s post-war future. The gathering, however, begins under the shadow of unresolved and politically explosive questions.
At the renamed Donald J. Trump U.S. Institute of Peace, the president is expected to announce that participating nations have pledged more than $5 billion toward Gaza’s reconstruction. According to U.S. officials, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait are each contributing roughly $1.2 billion, forming a substantial portion of the initial fund.
Yet the financial pledges are only a starting point. Rebuilding Gaza after two years of war is projected to require tens of billions of dollars, and key operational details remain unsettled. Among the most contentious issues: the disarmament of Hamas, the deployment timeline of an International Stabilization Force, and the mechanism for distributing humanitarian aid to civilians.
Senior U.S. officials say several countries are prepared to send thousands of troops to participate in the stabilization force. However, its deployment hinges on Hamas relinquishing weapons — a demand the militant group has resisted despite last October’s fragile ceasefire agreement.
The structure of the Board itself has stirred controversy. Israel is represented, but Palestinian officials are not. Permanent members of the United Nations Security Council — including France, Britain, Russia and China — are also absent. Critics argue the initiative risks sidelining established multilateral frameworks traditionally led by the United Nations.
Speakers are expected to include Secretary of State Marco Rubio, U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, former British Prime Minister Tony Blair, and U.S. Ambassador to the UN Mike Waltz. Former UN diplomat Nickolay Mladenov is also slated to participate.
Behind closed doors, diplomats acknowledge formidable obstacles. Security in Gaza remains fragile. Local policing capacity is limited. Aid distribution channels are described by officials as “disastrous.” Even basic questions — such as who negotiates directly or indirectly with Hamas — remain unresolved.
For Trump, the meeting is both a diplomatic test and a political statement. The pledges offer momentum. But without clarity on enforcement, governance, and demilitarization, the Board of Peace faces a stark reality: money alone cannot stabilize Gaza.
Middle East
Russia Warns Against Any New U.S. Strike on Iran
Russia Warns Against Any New U.S. Strike on Iran After Geneva Talks
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov warned on Wednesday that any fresh U.S. military strike on Iran would carry “serious consequences,” urging restraint and a diplomatic solution following the latest round of indirect U.S.–Iran negotiations in Geneva.
In an interview with Saudi broadcaster Al-Arabiya, broadcast a day after U.S. and Iranian envoys met in Switzerland, Lavrov said further strikes — especially on nuclear sites — risked dangerous escalation and could undo recent regional rapprochements, including improved ties between Tehran and Gulf states.
He said Arab Gulf monarchies had signaled that they did not want tensions to rise, calling the situation “playing with fire.”
Lavrov emphasized the need to preserve Iran’s right to a peaceful nuclear programme under international law and avoid actions that could destabilize the Middle East, underscoring Russia’s position that diplomacy should take precedence over force.
The warning comes amid a significant U.S. military buildup in the region, including the deployment of two aircraft carrier strike groups, as Washington pressures Tehran over its nuclear activities and broader regional conduct.
Iran is expected to submit a written proposal to address U.S. concerns after the Geneva talks, a senior U.S. official told Reuters, but negotiations remain far apart on core issues.
Middle East
Iran and Russia Launch Joint Naval Drills
Diplomacy in Switzerland. Warships in the Gulf. The message from Tehran is clear.
Iran and Russia are set to conduct joint naval exercises in the Sea of Oman on Thursday, Iranian state media reported, just days after a second round of Oman-mediated nuclear talks between Tehran and Washington in Geneva.
According to the semi-official ISNA news agency, Rear Admiral Hassan Maghsoudloo said the drills would take place in the Sea of Oman and the northern Indian Ocean, with the stated aim of strengthening maritime security and deepening naval cooperation between the two countries. The duration of the maneuvers was not disclosed.
The exercises follow heightened military activity in the region. Earlier this week, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps launched separate drills in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil and gas shipments. Tehran briefly restricted sections of the strait for “security” reasons during live-fire exercises, though it has never fully closed the waterway despite repeated threats during past standoffs with the United States.
The Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a fifth of the world’s oil passes, has long been a flashpoint in US-Iran tensions. President Donald Trump has deployed what he described as an “armada” of American naval assets to the region amid renewed nuclear negotiations.
Russia’s Defense Ministry said its warships, alongside Iranian and Chinese vessels, conducted artillery drills and simulated counterterrorism operations in the Gulf of Oman earlier this week. Crews practiced daytime and nighttime firing at mock unmanned boats and aerial targets, as well as joint boarding operations to free a vessel seized by simulated militants. Russian agencies reported the ships later returned to the Iranian port of Chabahar.
The maneuvers come against a backdrop of cautious optimism in Tehran following the latest talks in Geneva. Previous negotiations collapsed after an Israeli strike on Iranian targets in June 2025 triggered a 12-day conflict that briefly drew in the United States.
While diplomats speak of possible progress, the parallel display of naval coordination between Moscow and Tehran underscores a familiar reality: even as talks resume, military signaling remains central to the standoff.
Middle East
Iran Temporarily Closes Strait of Hormuz as Nuclear Talks With US Continue
21% of the world’s oil passes through Hormuz. Iran just shut parts of it down. Message to Washington — or warning to the world?
Iran on Tuesday temporarily closed sections of the Strait of Hormuz for live-fire naval drills, marking the first such move since the 1980s and escalating tensions as nuclear negotiations with the United States continue in Geneva.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced that parts of the strategic waterway would be shut for several hours during exercises north-west of the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, while the USS Gerald R. Ford heads toward the region. Iranian state television aired footage of cruise missiles launched during the drills.
The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow corridor just 24 miles wide at its tightest point, handles roughly 21 percent of the world’s oil supply — about 21 million barrels per day. Any sustained closure would likely send global energy prices sharply higher and disrupt international markets. Iran has previously threatened to block the strait but has never fully closed it.
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei intensified the rhetoric, warning that U.S. aircraft carriers could be sent “to the bottom of the sea,” dismissing American military superiority. The remarks appeared aimed as much at a domestic audience as at Washington, as Iran’s leadership faces internal divisions following a deadly protest crackdown earlier this year.
In Geneva, indirect talks mediated by Oman ended without a breakthrough. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the sides agreed on “guiding principles” and would exchange draft texts before a possible third round. A U.S. official said Tehran would return within two weeks with detailed proposals addressing remaining gaps.
Vice President JD Vance said the talks were mixed: “In some ways, it went well … but the president has set some red lines that the Iranians are not yet willing to acknowledge.” He reiterated that Washington would prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon “whether it’s through diplomatic options or through another option.”
President Donald Trump has maintained military pressure, deploying additional naval assets while insisting he prefers a negotiated settlement.
With naval drills underway, aircraft carriers in position and draft texts pending, the region now balances between diplomacy and deterrence — and the world’s energy markets are watching closely.
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