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Germany’s Conservatives Win Election, Hard Coalition Talks Loom

Conservative leader Friedrich Merz faces tough coalition talks after Germany’s national election results.

Germany’s conservatives won the national election, with Friedrich Merz’s conservative CDU/CSU bloc securing 28.5% of the vote. However, the fragmented results left the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) in second place with 20.5%, setting the stage for challenging coalition talks.

Despite winning, Merz faces a complex political landscape. His bloc’s poor performance, marking its second-worst post-war result, means coalition talks could take months, with the need for one or more smaller parties to form a majority. Some parties, like the AfD, which experienced a surge in support, have rejected working with Merz’s conservatives.

Merkz, who has no previous office experience, also set his sights on pushing for a stronger, more independent Europe. He criticized the U.S. for interfering in Germany’s political matters during the campaign and made clear his intent to prioritize European unity, suggesting NATO’s future might even be in question.

The Social Democrats (SPD), led by Chancellor Olaf Scholz, suffered a significant setback, marking their worst result since World War II, with just 16.5% of the vote. Scholz’s coalition had previously collapsed in 2023, leading to the snap elections.

With Merkel’s legacy in the rearview, Merz’s pro-market liberal stance, which includes equipping Ukraine with advanced missiles, marks a shift to the right, contrasting with the more cautious approach of his predecessor.

While Merz’s bloc holds the largest share of the vote, Germany’s future leadership will depend on whether a workable coalition can be formed from a divided parliament. Talks will determine whether Merz’s government can stabilize Germany, handle a weakened economy, and face international pressure, particularly from the U.S. and Russia. The election outcomes have ignited fears of stagnation and potential shifts in Germany’s economic outlook, given the rise of far-right politics and the strain on foreign investments.

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