Editor's Pick
What Washington Thinks of Keir Starmer
How Keir Starmer’s Victory and Diplomatic Maneuvering Have Captivated Both Democrats and Republicans
Keir Starmer’s recent victory has resonated across the Atlantic, earning him an unexpected hero’s welcome in Washington, D.C. The new British prime minister, fresh off a historic win for the U.K. Labour Party, was met with enthusiasm by both Democrats and Republicans during his visit to the U.S. capital. This reception highlights Starmer’s potential influence on U.S.-U.K. relations and his role as a beacon of hope amid America’s political chaos.
Starmer’s meetings with President Joe Biden, senior White House officials, and key Congressional Democrats were more than just diplomatic courtesies. They were celebrations of a political triumph that many American Democrats view as a template for their own future successes. Amid their internal strife over Biden’s age and mental state, and facing the daunting possibility of Donald Trump’s return to power, Democrats see in Starmer a model of effective leadership and electoral strategy.
A senior Democratic congressman, speaking anonymously, encapsulated this sentiment: “The one bright spot for me out of the last few weeks is seeing the massive defeat suffered by the [U.K.] Conservatives. Keir Starmer is an incredibly normal, well-meaning, intelligent public servant who is doing the job for the right reasons.”
This warm reception is not just about ideological alignment. It’s about pragmatism and a shared desire for stability and competent governance. Democrats admire Starmer’s focus on pragmatic, bread-and-butter policies aimed at reconnecting with working-class voters—a strategy that echoes Biden’s own 2020 campaign.
David Lammy, the U.K. Foreign Secretary, and Morgan McSweeney, Starmer’s top political strategist, are already well-known figures in D.C., having spent considerable time cultivating relationships with their American counterparts. McSweeney’s recent participation in a forum with Obama’s former aide, David Axelrod, underscores the deepening ties between Labour and the Democratic Party. The forum, attended by U.S. political operatives, highlighted the strategic parallels between Starmer’s and Biden’s electoral successes.
A former senior White House aide praised Starmer’s ability to transform Labour into a winning force, stating, “Starmer is a party leader who changed central things about his party to make it not just electable, but reconnected with working people. His efforts are instructive for those of us trying to navigate the political and cultural moment in the U.S.”
Starmer’s commitment to strengthening the U.K.’s ties with Europe has also garnered approval. Senator Tim Kaine noted, “Without saying it, it seemed like [Starmer] was saying the … years of Brexit have been an English withdrawal from leadership, including defensive leadership, and he intends to be more forward-leaning.” This sentiment was echoed by Biden during their bilateral meeting, where he emphasized the importance of a close transatlantic alliance.
Despite the warm reception, there are voices of caution. Some Democrats point to the revolving door of Conservative leadership in the U.K., stressing the need for stability. Senator Chris Murphy remarked on the difficulties posed by frequent leadership changes, highlighting the desire for a long-term partnership.
Starmer’s approach to economic and industrial policy, particularly his cautious stance on green energy spending, has sparked debate among U.S. observers. While Biden’s administration has poured billions into green infrastructure, Starmer’s Labour has scaled back its ambitious plans. A White House aide suggested Labour needs to be bolder, warning that modest spending might not generate the economic growth Britain needs.
Recognizing the shifting political landscape in the U.S., Starmer has also reached out to Trump’s allies, aiming to build a rapport with the MAGA faction. Surprisingly, this outreach has yielded positive responses. Senator Josh Hawley expressed confidence in the continued strength of the U.S.-U.K. relationship under a potential second Trump administration.
Former Trump adviser Elbridge Colby praised Labour’s pragmatic approach to foreign policy, noting, “Britain obviously is located in Europe, so its interests are more engaged there, and that’s where there’s a gap in the overall American-led order of military capability.”
Starmer’s ability to navigate the complexities of U.S. politics will undoubtedly be tested if Trump returns to power. Theresa May’s struggles in dealing with the former president serve as a cautionary tale. Yet, Katie Perrior, May’s former communications director, believes Starmer has the strategic acumen to handle Trump, citing his significant electoral victory as evidence of his political prowess.
In conclusion, Keir Starmer’s visit to Washington has not only solidified his standing among American Democrats but also opened channels of communication with key Republicans. His pragmatic approach and historic electoral success have positioned him as a pivotal figure in U.S.-U.K. relations, offering a rare beacon of hope and stability in an increasingly turbulent political landscape. As both nations face their own unique challenges, Starmer’s leadership and strategic vision will be closely watched on both sides of the Atlantic.
Africa
African Port Growth Hindered by Poor Road, Rail Networks, Report Says
Africa’s port infrastructure has experienced significant growth, spurred by an estimated $15 billion in investments since 2005. These investments have allowed African ports to accommodate larger vessels and increase cargo throughput, with container traffic rising by nearly 50% from 2011 to 2021, according to the African Development Bank. Yet, despite these advancements, the continent’s inland logistics remain a significant hurdle to efficient supply chain operations, as highlighted by the Africa Finance Corporation’s 2024 “State of Africa’s Infrastructure” report.
Gabriel Sounouvou, a logistics and supply chain specialist, notes that while modernizing ports has led to improvements such as greater integration into the global supply chain and reduced corruption, these gains have not translated into more efficient movement of goods within Africa. The primary bottleneck lies in underdeveloped road and rail networks, which, despite port expansions, remain inadequate, unevenly distributed, and underutilized.
The poor quality of road networks is especially problematic. Sounouvou explains that many trucks are forced to navigate poor road corridors, causing severe delays. Goods transported from ports to landlocked countries often take more than 10 days to arrive instead of the three days that could be expected under better conditions. This logistical challenge is exacerbated in areas far from coastal ports, where the cost of doing business soars due to infrastructure deficits.
In addition to infrastructure, human factors also present significant challenges. Jonas Aryee, a maritime trade expert, points out that regulatory roadblocks such as customs checks, police stops, and border delays contribute to the high costs and inefficiency of transporting goods across African countries. These barriers, along with protectionist policies that safeguard domestic industries at the expense of regional trade cooperation, further stymie the development of a seamless continental logistics network.
According to the AFC study, Africa’s paved road network totals just 680,000 kilometers, a mere 10% of the road infrastructure found in India, despite Africa’s larger land area and comparable population size. This stark gap illustrates the lack of coordinated investment and infrastructure development across the continent. Experts argue that without a concerted effort from African nations to jointly invest in and manage cross-border highway networks, the potential benefits of port modernization will remain unfulfilled.
While inland infrastructure remains a critical issue, the momentum for port investment continues. Several new terminal projects are slated for development in countries such as Angola, Benin, Cameroon, Ghana, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and Ivory Coast. However, for these investments to translate into broader economic gains, African nations must address the chronic underdevelopment of road and rail systems that are vital for efficient logistics and trade integration.
Ultimately, the development of a more robust and interconnected transportation network—integrating ports, roads, and railways—is crucial for unlocking the full economic potential of Africa’s growing port infrastructure. Without it, Africa risks missing out on the opportunity to fully participate in the global supply chain, with inefficiencies continuing to hamper economic growth and regional trade.
Editor's Pick
Hackers Steal $350K From Somali Solar Firm in Cyberattack
Editor's Pick
Alexey Navalny Wrote he Knew he Would Die in Prison in New Memoir
Alexey Navalny, the Russian opposition leader who died in February while serving a 19-year prison sentence, anticipated his demise long before it occurred, according to his posthumous memoir, Patriot, set for release on October 22. Excerpts from the book, published by The New Yorker, reveal a profound sense of foreboding and resignation in Navalny’s prison writings, where he grapples with the likelihood of spending his final years behind bars.
“I will spend the rest of my life in prison and die here,” Navalny wrote in his prison diary on March 22, 2022. He expressed the painful reality of isolation, lamenting that he would miss life’s most cherished moments—anniversaries, family gatherings, and the chance to meet his grandchildren. Navalny’s words reflect not only his personal sorrow but also his unflinching resolve in the face of a regime that he openly defied until the very end.
Navalny, a key political adversary of Russian President Vladimir Putin, was arrested in January 2021 upon his return to Russia after surviving a poisoning attempt in 2020—an attack many attribute to the Kremlin. He was subsequently convicted on “extremism” charges and sent to a penal colony in the Arctic. His death on February 16, 2024, at the age of 47, sparked international outrage, with widespread condemnation directed at Putin’s government for its role in his imprisonment and deteriorating health.
The memoir provides rare glimpses into Navalny’s inner thoughts during his time in prison. His reflections oscillate between the grim reality of his imprisonment and a sense of duty to his country. “The only thing we should fear is that we will surrender our homeland to be plundered by a gang of liars, thieves, and hypocrites,” he wrote on January 17, 2022, underscoring his enduring commitment to Russia and his belief in the power of resistance.
Despite the grave circumstances, Navalny’s diary also retains moments of humor. In a July 1, 2022 entry, he describes the absurdity of his daily routine: waking at 6 a.m., followed by seven hours at a sewing machine on a stool “below knee height.” After work, he would sit for hours on a wooden bench beneath a portrait of Putin, an activity disturbingly termed “disciplinary.”
The memoir, to be published by U.S. publisher Knopf, will also be available in Russian. David Remnick, editor of The New Yorker, noted in his reflections on Navalny’s writing that it is “impossible to read [his] prison diary without being outraged by the tragedy of his suffering, and by his death.”
One of the most poignant excerpts is from January 17, 2024, when Navalny addresses the recurring question from fellow inmates and prison guards about why he chose to return to Russia, knowing the dangers he faced. His response encapsulates the essence of his life’s mission: “I don’t want to give up my country or betray it. If your convictions mean something, you must be prepared to stand up for them and make sacrifices if necessary.”
Navalny’s memoir serves as a final testament to his unwavering principles and his readiness to endure immense personal sacrifice for what he believed was the greater good of his country. His tragic death, however, leaves Russia without one of its most vocal advocates for democracy and transparency, a loss that will likely resonate for years to come.
Africa
Guinea Junta Bans Ministers From Travel Abroad
Guinea’s military junta, under the leadership of General Mamady Doumbouya, has implemented a new travel ban on ministers, restricting them from leaving the country without his express permission. In a statement issued on Thursday, the government announced that all ministers currently abroad have been ordered to return immediately, and the travel restrictions will remain in place until the end of 2024.
This sudden directive is reportedly part of a broader effort to curtail public spending and ensure more efficient management of the state’s resources, according to government spokesman Ousmane Gaoual Diallo. While ministers are required to stay within the country, senior officials and diplomats will still be allowed to represent Guinea abroad.
Doumbouya, a former colonel who was promoted to general after seizing power in a coup in September 2021, has since assumed the role of president of Guinea. Initially, the junta had committed to transitioning back to civilian rule by the end of 2024, under pressure from the international community. However, that timeline has since been abandoned.
As the country’s political landscape evolves, speculation has grown regarding Doumbouya’s intentions in future elections. Several members of his government have voiced support for him to potentially run in the next presidential race, raising questions about Guinea’s political trajectory and the future of civilian governance.
Editor's Pick
Nobel Peace Prize Awarded to Japanese group of Atomic Bomb Survivors.
Nihon Hidankyo, a Group of Atomic Bomb Survivors, Wins 2024 Nobel Peace Prize for Nuclear Disarmament Efforts
The 2024 Nobel Peace Prize has been awarded to Nihon Hidankyo, a Japanese organization representing survivors of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, for its decades-long advocacy for a world free from nuclear weapons. The announcement was made on Friday by Norwegian Nobel Committee Chairman Joergen Watne Frydnes in Oslo, Norway, recognizing the group’s “witness testimony” as a vital contribution to global disarmament efforts.
Nihon Hidankyo, founded in 1956, is Japan’s largest organization of Hibakusha—survivors of the two atomic bombs dropped by the U.S. during World War II. The organization has played a pivotal role in preserving the testimonies of those who lived through the bombings, which initially claimed 120,000 lives and killed many more later due to radiation exposure. Today, roughly 650,000 Hibakusha remain, and their stories form the foundation of the group’s educational campaigns against nuclear proliferation.
In a statement accompanying the announcement, the Nobel Committee praised Nihon Hidankyo for “demonstrating through witness testimony that nuclear weapons must never be used again.” The group has become a global symbol of resilience and advocacy, reminding the world of the catastrophic human cost of nuclear warfare.
A Legacy of Witnessing and Advocacy
For decades, Nihon Hidankyo has focused on two core missions: promoting the rights and welfare of Hibakusha and advancing global nuclear disarmament. The group works to ensure that the stories of atomic bomb survivors—many of whom have faced long-term health and social challenges—are heard worldwide. As Jiro Hamasumi, a member of the group, emphasized in a 2020 interview, “If we don’t speak, the bombing will be forgotten as if it had never happened.”
The Nobel Committee’s decision to honor Nihon Hidankyo comes at a time when the world is witnessing renewed threats of nuclear weapons use, particularly in light of ongoing geopolitical conflicts. The committee’s statement highlighted the devastating power of nuclear arms, calling them “the most destructive weapons the world has ever seen.” The Nobel Peace Prize, awarded to Nihon Hidankyo, aims to remind humanity of the irreversible consequences of nuclear warfare and the urgency of disarmament.
Global Recognition and Renewed Calls for Disarmament
In response to the award, U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres praised Nihon Hidankyo as “selfless, soul-bearing witnesses of the horrific human cost of nuclear weapons.” Guterres further called on world leaders to heed the warnings of the Hibakusha and commit to eliminating nuclear arsenals. “It is time for world leaders to be as clear-eyed as the Hibakusha and see nuclear weapons for what they are: devices of death that offer no safety, protection, or security,” he said.
The Nobel Peace Prize, which includes a cash award of over $1 million, is traditionally seen as the highest global recognition of efforts toward peace and human rights. Nihon Hidankyo’s award places them in the company of renowned figures and organizations that have shaped global efforts for peace, from Martin Luther King Jr. to the International Campaign to Ban Landmines.
The peace prize will be formally presented at a ceremony in Oslo on December 10, coinciding with the presentation of other Nobel Prizes in Stockholm. For Nihon Hidankyo and the Hibakusha community, the honor not only elevates their cause but also serves as a solemn reminder of the dangers the world still faces from nuclear weapons.
As the world continues to grapple with rising tensions and nuclear threats, the Nobel Peace Prize stands as a powerful call to action—a reminder that the work of organizations like Nihon Hidankyo is far from over. Their mission remains as critical today as it was in the aftermath of the atomic bombings: to ensure that no one ever again suffers the devastating effects of nuclear warfare.
Editor's Pick
Navy SEALs’ Fatal Drowning Revealed to Be Result of Gear Failures During Anti-Terror Raid
A U.S. Navy investigation has concluded that the tragic deaths of two elite Navy SEALs during a nighttime mission off the coast of Somalia in January 2024 were the result of equipment failures, with both men sinking under the weight of their gear. The report, released by the Naval Special Warfare Command, sheds light on the circumstances surrounding the drownings of Special Warfare Operator 1st Class Nathan Gage Ingram, 27, and Chief Special Warfare Operator Christopher Chambers, 36, as they attempted to board a smuggling vessel suspected of carrying Iranian-made weapons.
The investigation offers a somber resolution to a nine-month inquiry into how two highly trained operators—one a Division I swimmer—could succumb to the sea during a meticulously planned mission. The findings reveal a series of equipment-related miscalculations and operational oversights that ultimately led to their untimely deaths.
A Routine Mission Turns Fatal
On January 11, a team of nine Navy SEALs launched a mission to intercept a slow-moving cargo boat, or dhow, in the Arabian Sea. Intelligence reports indicated that the vessel was carrying ballistic missile components bound for Houthi militants in Yemen, who had been targeting commercial and military vessels in the region. The SEAL team, supported by two helicopters and surveillance drones, was tasked with boarding the vessel to stop the illicit weapons transfer.
As the team approached the dhow on three specialized speedboats, they deployed a ladder to board the vessel. Some SEALs opted to bypass the ladder, climbing over the ship’s railing, while others used the provided equipment. Among those attempting to board were Chambers, a decorated SEAL and collegiate champion swimmer, and Ingram, a younger operator on his first deployment.
According to the investigation, Chambers, carrying up to 48 pounds of gear, attempted to grab the boat’s railing, but the rough seas and weight of his equipment caused him to lose his grip and fall into the water. Despite briefly resurfacing and grabbing onto a ladder, Chambers was quickly swept under by a wave.
Ingram, observing his teammate’s distress, immediately jumped into the water to assist. However, weighed down by nearly 80 pounds of gear, including a radio rucksack, he too struggled to stay afloat. The investigation revealed that while Ingram managed to deploy a flotation device, it ultimately failed to keep him at the surface.
Both men disappeared beneath the waves within 47 seconds, according to the report, despite frantic efforts by their colleagues to locate and rescue them.
Systemic Failures and Preventable Tragedy
The Navy’s investigation highlighted systemic failures that contributed to the drownings. Despite standard warnings to SEALs to test their buoyancy—ensuring they can float while carrying heavy equipment—the investigation found there was no formal guidance on how this should be carried out. As a result, it was left to individual SEALs to manage their gear, with no checks in place to ensure they could still tread water if they fell into the ocean.
Moreover, the report pointed to inadequate training on the use of tactical flotation devices, which are designed to provide emergency buoyancy. Several SEALs interviewed by investigators admitted to having minimal experience with the devices, using them only sparingly throughout their careers.
Gen. Michael “Erik” Kurilla, head of U.S. Central Command, which oversees operations in the Middle East, described the incident as “preventable” in his assessment of the findings. “This incident, marked by systemic failures, was preventable,” Kurilla wrote, emphasizing that a lack of comprehensive safety measures contributed to the deaths of Ingram and Chambers.
Heroism Amid Tragedy
The investigation also acknowledged the heroic actions of Ingram, who selflessly dove into the water to rescue his teammate despite the overwhelming odds. “In his effort to provide rescue and assistance to his teammate, he ultimately gave his own life, demonstrating heroism and bearing witness to the best of the SEAL Ethos,” the Navy’s report noted.
Ingram was posthumously promoted to Special Warfare Operator 1st Class, while Chambers was promoted to the rank of Chief Special Warfare Operator. The Ingram family expressed gratitude for the Navy’s investigation and the posthumous honor bestowed upon their son. “While we miss him dearly, we are comforted by the thoughts and prayers of friends and family, both near and far,” the family said in a statement. “We remain immeasurably proud of his heroic sacrifice in service of this country.”
Looking Ahead: Lessons Learned
In the wake of the tragedy, the Navy has recommended a series of reforms aimed at preventing similar incidents in the future. These include enhanced training on the use of flotation devices and stricter standards for gear checks before deployment. Additionally, the Navy is exploring new guidelines for ensuring operators can maintain buoyancy in a range of conditions, accounting for the heavy gear often required during complex missions.
The investigation dismissed the accelerated timetable of the mission as a contributing factor to the incident, instead identifying the lack of a fail-safe system to ensure buoyancy as the root cause of the drownings.
For 10 days after the incident, Navy search teams scoured nearly 49,000 square nautical miles of ocean in the hopes of recovering the bodies of Ingram and Chambers. However, the SEALs were presumed dead after extensive efforts yielded no results. Officials now believe that due to the weight of their gear, both men likely sank straight to the ocean floor shortly after entering the water.
The drownings of Chambers and Ingram serve as a stark reminder of the inherent risks faced by military personnel, even during routine missions. Their deaths have prompted a reevaluation of safety protocols within the Navy’s special operations community, underscoring the need for greater attention to the smallest details that can mean the difference between life and death on the battlefield.
Editor's Pick
Dahabshiil’s Controversial Compliance: Remittance or Erasure?
Dahabshiil—the prominent remittance company with deep roots in Somaliland—has found itself at the center of a burgeoning controversy following its decision to remove the term ‘Somaliland’ from its website. This action, enacted to align with an order from the Somali government, has provoked outrage among the Somaliland populace and raised serious questions about the functioning of national identity in the face of economic pressures.
The Decision that Sparked Outrage
Dahabshiil’s removal of ‘Somaliland’ from its platform—an act that many perceive as a capitulation to Mogadishu’s directives—has ignited a firestorm of criticism. In a recent statement issued through the social media platform X, Dahabshiil justified its decision, emphasizing that as an international company operating in over 120 countries, it must adhere to international laws. The company framed its compliance as a necessity for its expansive operations rather than an affront to its origins.
Yet, as the Somaliland community awoke to the news, the reactions were swift and vehement. “You have chosen over your country our enemy, Somalia,” tweeted a disappointed user identified as Qodah. “I have stopped using your services.” The sentiment encapsulated a widespread feeling of betrayal among Somalilanders, who view Dahabshiil’s actions as not merely corporate maneuvering but a dilution of their national identity.
This controversy cannot be examined in isolation; it dovetails into a broader political landscape fraught with historical grievances. The Somali government’s recent edict to airlines and remittance services to cease using the name ‘Somaliland’ is a continuation of the ongoing struggle over the legitimacy of Somaliland’s sovereignty. Nearly three decades after declaring independence from Somalia in 1991, Somaliland functions its own government, currency, and institutions, yet it remains unrecognized by the international community.
The compliance of Dahabshiil with the Somali government’s directive is emblematic of the precarious position Somaliland finds itself in. While the Somali capital, Mogadishu, grapples with ongoing issues of governance, security, and legitimacy, the comparatively stable and democratic Somaliland has had to navigate the complexities of economic relationships that span the region. Dahabshiil’s cooperation with Mogadishu raises critical questions: Is the company prioritizing profit over the very identity that initially propelled it into the international market?
A Reaction to Remember
As the outrage surged on social media, experts and commentators echoed the sentiments expressed by countless numeraries. Notably, an influential user on X, bhlub, articulated a broader narrative of disappointment, stating, “For years now, we said Somaliland will not be taken seriously if its people and government don’t take it seriously.” Bhlub’s observations reflect a growing feeling among Somalilanders that their leaders may be complicit in undermining their own legitimacy.
Other reactions on X echoed this concern. “You obeyed orders from a hostile state and deliberately erased your own country,” stated one user in response to Dahabshiil’s corporate rationale. “Imagine FlyDubai removing UAE on orders from Qatar,” they continued, effectively spotlighting the absurdity of the situation. The general consensus among commentators is that Dahabshiil’s actions not only jeopardize their standing as a Somaliland-based company but also risk alienating the very customer base that built their success.
The Dangers of Economic Compliance
The underlying corporate decision reveals an unsettling trend: a prioritization of economic interests over national identity. Twitter users highlighted that several companies operate similarly, with Somaliland-related entities complying with pressures from Mogadishu at the expense of regional integrity. “Somalian banks, Somalian telecommunications… it’s an individual interest over national security,” tweeted another critical voice, underscoring ignorance or apathy from local leaders toward the larger implications of such actions.
Furthermore, the marked disparity in treatment between Somaliland and Somalia poses a significant ethical dilemma. Dahabshiil is not alone; its stance may well reflect broader corporate larger trends among businesses operating in unstable regions—where fiscal survival often overshadows the need for principled stands on identity and sovereignty.
The trajectory of Dahabshiil, and similar enterprises, raises important questions regarding national identity amid economic constraints. Somalilanders are urging their leaders not only to respond to corporate measures that undermine their autonomy but also to confront the oligarchs who continue to financially support a government that lays claim over their right to self-determination.
For Somaliland to solidify its international presence and foster sustainable growth, a reckoning with the interplay between economic necessity and national pride is essential.
As the outrage over Dahabshiil’s decision reverberates through communities and online platforms, it serves as both a warning and a catalyst for a more cohesive, self-respecting national narrative.
Africa
Why President Ruto Is Walking a Tightrope on Gachagua’s Ouster Bid
The battle between Kenya’s President and his Deputy will reshape the nation’s future.
Kenya’s political scene is heating up as President William Ruto and Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua lock horns in a showdown that could determine both men’s political fates. Gachagua, embattled by 11 charges ranging from economic crimes to violations of the constitution, is now desperately fighting off an impeachment motion set to be voted on in Parliament. His last-minute attempt to block the process through multiple legal petitions reflects a man cornered but unwilling to go down without a fight.
The looming vote presents an existential crisis not just for Gachagua but for President Ruto himself. If Ruto’s parliamentary troops succeed in ousting the Deputy President, it would remove a potential threat to his political dominance, but the cost could be steep. This battle isn’t just about impeachment; it’s about the future of power in Kenya.
For Gachagua, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Impeachment would not only end his tenure but also bar him from holding public office, dashing his ambitions to succeed Ruto in 2027 or 2032. On the other hand, surviving this political assassination would solidify Gachagua’s status as the undisputed king of the Mt. Kenya region. He would emerge from this saga even stronger, able to wield considerable influence in future alliances and deals.
The silence from President Ruto on the matter has been deafening, but insiders suggest his fingerprints are all over the push to oust Gachagua. The tension between the two has been simmering for months, and this showdown has been a long time coming. With Gachagua’s star rising in Mt. Kenya, a key electoral base, Ruto faces the dangerous possibility that the impeachment bid could backfire, turning into a referendum on his own popularity.
Gachagua has been playing grievance politics masterfully, portraying himself as the victim of a political witch hunt. In Kenya, such a strategy often works wonders. Just look at President Ruto, who rode a wave of resentment politics to power in 2022. The ICC cases against both Ruto and former President Uhuru Kenyatta had initially been seen as career-ending, but they weaponized those indictments into a rallying cry that helped them win in 2013. Could Gachagua be pulling a similar move?
There’s a strong possibility that this impeachment fight could fracture Ruto’s own political coalition. In the regions where Gachagua holds sway, particularly Mt. Kenya, the impeachment has become a symbol of a larger battle between elites in Nairobi and the so-called “hustlers” that Ruto himself once championed. If Gachagua turns the impeachment into a populist cause, Ruto could find himself losing ground where he can least afford it. The political fallout could be severe, with youth-led protests already shaking the nation earlier this year over issues like the high cost of living.
But for President Ruto, losing this battle is not an option. With his administration already facing economic instability and internal rebellion, seeing off Gachagua would allow him to reassert control over his government. Failure to remove his rebellious deputy would not only weaken his grip on power but would also embolden other dissenters within his United Democratic Alliance.
Gachagua’s fate will be sealed in the coming weeks, but the outcome will reverberate far beyond the walls of Parliament. Both men stand to lose everything, and Kenya’s political future hangs in the balance.
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