Connect with us

Analysis

Saudi Arabia Eyes Turkish Kaan Fighter Jets Amid U.S. F-35 Inaccessibility

Published

on

Riyadh seeks advanced fifth-generation stealth aircraft from Türkiye, highlighting regional defense shifts and strengthening bilateral ties.

Saudi Arabia has entered advanced negotiations with Türkiye to acquire 100 Kaan fifth-generation fighter jets, underscoring a significant regional defense realignment. The discussions, held during a high-level meeting in Istanbul, included strategic elements such as technology transfer and potential joint production, reflecting Riyadh’s drive to diversify its defense procurement and reduce dependence on U.S. suppliers.

This potential deal is emblematic of Saudi Arabia’s broader strategy under Vision 2030, which emphasizes self-reliance in defense production and modernization of its military capabilities. The Kaan fighter jets, developed by Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI), offer cutting-edge features such as stealth design, advanced radar systems, and interoperability with drones and other platforms, positioning them as a competitive alternative to the U.S.-made F-35, which remains inaccessible to Saudi Arabia due to political and human rights concerns.

The Strategic Appeal of the Kaan Fighter Jet

The Kaan, Türkiye’s flagship fifth-generation fighter, boasts advanced capabilities including super cruise speed, a combat range of 1,100 kilometers, and an AESA radar capable of detecting targets over 100 kilometers away. With its internal weapon bays and reduced radar cross-section, the Kaan meets the modern demands of stealth and multirole functionality. Initial versions are powered by General Electric engines, with future iterations set to integrate domestically developed powerplants.

For Saudi Arabia, acquiring the Kaan represents an opportunity to bridge its fifth-generation fighter capability gap. The Royal Saudi Air Force currently operates F-15s, Typhoons, and Tornadoes but lacks a platform with the advanced features offered by the Kaan. Importantly, Türkiye’s willingness to explore technology transfer and joint production aligns with Saudi Arabia’s ambitions to localize defense manufacturing.

Deepening Türkiye-Saudi Defense Ties

This negotiation follows a series of high-profile defense collaborations between Türkiye and Saudi Arabia, including a $3.1 billion deal for Baykar AKINCI drones in 2023. Bilateral defense relations have intensified, with both nations pursuing joint projects and technology transfer agreements. Saudi Arabian Military Industries (SAMI) has actively partnered with Turkish firms like Aselsan and Roketsan, focusing on aerospace technologies and unmanned systems.

Türkiye’s growing prominence as a defense exporter is rooted in historical efforts to reduce dependence on foreign suppliers. Its indigenous programs, like the Bayraktar TB2 and the Anka series drones, have proven operationally effective in conflicts from Syria to Nagorno-Karabakh, cementing Türkiye’s reputation as a reliable producer of advanced yet cost-effective military platforms.

Regional and Geopolitical Implications

Saudi Arabia’s pursuit of the Kaan fighter jets reflects a broader shift in the Middle Eastern defense landscape. U.S. restrictions on the F-35, coupled with regional security challenges, have pushed Riyadh to seek alternatives. The potential deal with Türkiye not only meets Saudi Arabia’s operational needs but also strengthens its defense ties with a NATO member, diversifying its strategic partnerships.

For Türkiye, a successful sale would solidify its role as a global defense player. The agreement would enhance its economic and geopolitical influence, especially as it continues to expand its export footprint in the defense sector.

However, the potential sale also carries strategic risks. It could further strain U.S.-Saudi relations, already tested by disagreements over human rights and regional policies. Additionally, it raises questions about how a strengthened Saudi air force might impact the region’s military balance, particularly in the context of tensions with Iran.

Conclusion

The prospective deal for 100 Kaan fighter jets represents a critical juncture in Saudi-Turkish relations and the broader defense dynamics of the Middle East. As Riyadh moves to modernize its military and reduce dependency on U.S. technology, Türkiye’s Kaan program offers a viable and strategic solution.

This development underscores Türkiye’s emergence as a key player in the global defense industry while highlighting the evolving priorities of Saudi Arabia under Vision 2030. If finalized, the agreement could reshape defense collaborations in the region, signaling a new era of strategic autonomy for both nations.

Analysis

Germany 2025: Navigating Political, Economic, and Security Challenges

Published

on

By

Balancing immigration, cyber defense, and democratic safeguards amid economic uncertainty and a polarized electorate.

Germany faces a pivotal year in 2025 as political, economic, and societal pressures converge, demanding decisive leadership and innovative solutions. The country’s domestic policy will likely center on immigration control, bolstering cybersecurity, and safeguarding democratic institutions, but the challenges extend far beyond these focal points.

The deadly Magdeburg Christmas market attack has underscored the urgency of addressing domestic security and countering the rise of far-right extremism. Immigration remains a divisive issue, with local authorities claiming they are overwhelmed and opposition parties advocating stricter border controls. While asylum applications have decreased, fears of potential new refugee waves, spurred by conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, loom large. These fears are amplified by populist narratives, which the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is poised to exploit in the upcoming February elections.

Beyond immigration, the German economy faces significant headwinds. High energy costs, labor shortages, and bureaucratic stagnation are eroding confidence among business leaders and the general public. Infrastructure, both physical and digital, lags behind modern standards, with government offices still reliant on outdated technologies like fax machines. Experts point to the country’s sluggish digital transformation as emblematic of its structural inefficiencies.

Adding to these woes is the persistent threat of cyberattacks, particularly from state-sponsored actors like Russia. Critical infrastructure, including power grids, remains vulnerable, and bolstering defenses has become an urgent priority. Strengthening intelligence services and equipping the police to handle cyber and physical threats will be vital in protecting Germany’s national security.

Democracy itself faces pressures, both from internal populist movements and external influences. The rise of the far-right has prompted a bipartisan push to safeguard institutions like the Federal Constitutional Court, ensuring its independence from political interference. Protecting minority rights and maintaining a pluralistic society are essential to upholding the democratic fabric of the nation.

These challenges are set against the backdrop of economic turbulence. Flagship companies like Volkswagen are struggling, and high inflation continues to erode household purchasing power. Policymakers must address these economic pressures while also navigating the complexities of immigration reform and national security.

The year ahead will test Germany’s ability to balance these competing priorities. Effective leadership, cross-party collaboration, and a commitment to democratic values will be essential in steering the country through this multifaceted crisis. In doing so, Germany has the opportunity to strengthen its foundations and reaffirm its role as a leader in Europe and beyond.

Continue Reading

Analysis

Decades of Espionage: How Israel’s Intelligence Network Crippled Hezbollah

Published

on

By

Israeli spies infiltrated Hezbollah for decades, culminating in Hassan Nasrallah’s assassination and the decimation of the terror group’s operations.

Israel’s decades-long infiltration of Hezbollah stands as one of the most meticulously executed intelligence campaigns in modern history. The New York Times investigation uncovers the deep reach of Israel’s espionage into the ranks of the Lebanese terror group, culminating in the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah and the dismantling of critical Hezbollah operations. This extensive network, built through years of methodical intelligence gathering, reshaped the balance of power in the Middle East and weakened Iran’s regional influence.

The campaign against Hezbollah was rooted in operations conducted during and after the 2006 Lebanon War, which laid the groundwork for Israel’s ability to infiltrate the group. Early successes included planting tracking devices on Hezbollah’s Fajr missiles, which enabled precision strikes on hidden munitions sites during the war. The Mossad subsequently expanded its reach, recruiting human sources within Hezbollah who provided critical information about secret facilities, hideouts, and weapons caches.

In 2012, a breakthrough by Israel’s Unit 8200 revealed a trove of intelligence, including the exact locations of Hezbollah leaders, their hideouts, and missile batteries. This unprecedented access provided Israel with the confidence to dismantle Hezbollah’s retaliatory capabilities in preparation for potential military action against Iran. Over time, Israel’s “target portfolios” grew from 200 to tens of thousands, signaling the extent of their penetration into Hezbollah’s infrastructure.

One of the most audacious operations involved explosive pagers planted among Hezbollah operatives. While the devices offered unparalleled insight into the group’s activities, concerns arose in late 2023 when Hezbollah technicians suspected tampering and sent the devices to Iran for inspection. This prompted Israel to preemptively detonate the pagers, crippling thousands of Hezbollah operatives and signaling the beginning of a campaign that ended with Nasrallah’s assassination.

Nasrallah, a figure synonymous with Hezbollah’s defiance of Israel, underestimated the extent of Israeli surveillance. Despite warnings from his aides to relocate, he dismissed the possibility of an Israeli strike, unaware that his every move had been tracked for years. The strike not only eliminated Hezbollah’s leader but also shattered the group’s operational capabilities and dealt a blow to Iran’s ambitions in the region.

Israeli intelligence efforts extended beyond direct attacks, influencing broader geopolitical shifts. By neutralizing Hezbollah, Israel disrupted Iran’s regional strategy, weakened the Iran-led axis, and contributed to the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria. These actions reshaped the dynamics of the Middle East, reducing the immediate threat posed by Hezbollah while buying time to address future challenges.

However, experts caution that Hezbollah’s resilience cannot be underestimated. Brigadier General Shimon Shapira notes that Hezbollah remains committed to rearming and rebuilding, with its raison d’être tied to its conflict with Israel. The group’s ability to recover and adapt underscores the necessity of sustained vigilance and intelligence efforts.

Israel’s decades-long infiltration of Hezbollah serves as a testament to the power of strategic intelligence operations. By embedding spies, leveraging advanced technology, and capitalizing on human sources, Israel dismantled one of its greatest adversaries from within. This campaign not only neutralized immediate threats but also set a precedent for the critical role of intelligence in modern conflict.

As the Middle East continues to evolve, the lessons from this extraordinary campaign offer insights into the challenges and opportunities of countering state-sponsored terror groups in a complex geopolitical landscape.

Continue Reading

Analysis

Taliban Bans Windows Overlooking Areas Used by Women

Published

on

By

Afghanistan’s Taliban leader enforces stricter gender segregation, barring windows that offer views of spaces used by women.

In yet another restrictive measure aimed at reshaping Afghan society under its ultra-conservative interpretation of Islamic law, the Taliban’s supreme leader has issued a decree banning windows in residential buildings that overlook spaces “usually used by women.” The order also mandates blocking existing windows with views into courtyards, kitchens, and wells—places associated with traditional female activities in Afghan households.

This directive reflects the Taliban’s ongoing effort to enforce gender segregation and control the visibility and movement of women. It follows a litany of draconian policies since their return to power in 2021, including bans on female education beyond primary school, employment restrictions, and prohibitions on women’s access to public parks and spaces. The new decree pushes these restrictions into the intimate space of private homes, highlighting the extent of state intrusion into daily life.

The rationale provided for the decree cites the prevention of “obscene acts,” suggesting that men observing women in domestic settings might lead to moral impropriety. This perspective underscores the Taliban’s broader view of women as sources of potential transgression rather than individuals with agency and rights.

The Taliban’s sweeping restrictions have led international human rights organizations and the United Nations to describe their governance as “gender apartheid.” By systematically erasing women from public and now even private visibility, the Taliban has cemented its position as one of the most repressive regimes for women globally.

These measures are not merely cultural or religious edicts but also tools of control. Limiting women’s visibility further isolates them and prevents the assertion of independence or resistance to the regime’s policies. Moreover, the policy places an economic burden on households, as families must now alter existing homes to comply with the decree.

The new restrictions also resonate deeply with the broader implications of the Taliban’s rule. Women in Afghanistan have faced a systematic rollback of freedoms, including a ban on public singing and even speaking on airwaves in some regions. By “veiling” not just women’s bodies but also their voices and visibility, the Taliban is enforcing a regime of absolute silence and invisibility for half the population.

Critics argue that such policies do more than violate human rights—they fracture the social fabric, marginalizing women from contributing to society and the economy. Afghan women have historically played vital roles in education, healthcare, and family sustenance, roles now systematically undermined by the Taliban’s decrees.

This latest decree is emblematic of a governing philosophy that prioritizes control over progress, reinforcing the Taliban’s grip on society by cloaking it in religious justification. As Afghan women continue to bear the brunt of these regressive policies, international observers and advocacy groups face mounting challenges in providing support and pushing back against the institutionalized suppression of women in Afghanistan.

The policy is a stark reminder of the urgent need for global advocacy and intervention to protect the fundamental rights of Afghan women, who remain under siege in their own homes and communities.

Continue Reading

Analysis

Elon Musk Sparks Outrage with Support for Germany’s AfD

Published

on

By

Billionaire’s endorsement of far-right party ignites fears of election interference as Germany heads to the polls.

Elon Musk’s endorsement of Germany’s far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has ignited political tensions ahead of the country’s February 23 elections. In a controversial post on his platform X, Musk claimed the AfD is the only party capable of “saving Germany,” sparking outrage from German politicians across the spectrum. Musk’s comments, particularly following a deadly attack in Magdeburg attributed to a Saudi national, have deepened anxieties over his perceived influence on political discourse and election dynamics in Western democracies.

The billionaire, soon to serve as “efficiency czar” in Donald Trump’s administration, has amplified his views on European politics through X, turning the platform into a battleground for ideological clashes. His post condemning mass immigration as a contributing factor to the Magdeburg attack drew sharp criticism. While AfD leaders welcomed Musk’s support, mainstream politicians accused him of meddling in Germany’s democratic process.

Dennis Radtke of the center-right CDU called Musk’s comments a “threat to democracy,” while other lawmakers labeled his platform a “disinformation slingshot.” Olaf Scholz, Germany’s outgoing chancellor, took a measured tone, emphasizing freedom of expression but cautioning against poor political judgment.

This incident underscores growing concerns about Musk’s political influence in Europe. As Germany prepares for elections following the collapse of Scholz’s coalition, Musk’s backing of a party widely viewed as extremist raises questions about his role in shaping public opinion. The AfD, which champions anti-immigration and Euroskeptic policies, has surged in polls, complicating the electoral landscape and unsettling traditional power dynamics.

Musk’s involvement in European politics is not new. His previous criticisms of Scholz and controversial remarks about migration and border policies have drawn ire from politicians and civil society alike. With Tesla’s presence near Berlin, Musk’s economic footprint adds another layer of complexity to his engagement with German affairs.

The AfD has seized on Musk’s endorsement as validation of its platform, further polarizing the political discourse. This development highlights the intersection of social media influence, populist rhetoric, and international political dynamics, emphasizing the potential risks of external actors shaping domestic elections.

As Germany navigates a critical political juncture, the fallout from Musk’s comments serves as a stark reminder of the challenges democracies face in the digital age. The incident calls for renewed scrutiny of the role of influential figures in global politics and their capacity to sway electoral outcomes through unregulated platforms.

In this volatile context, Germany’s upcoming election will not only determine the country’s political trajectory but also test its resilience against external influence in safeguarding democratic integrity.

Continue Reading

Analysis

Did a Bird Strike Cause South Korea’s Deadliest Air Crash? Experts Raise Doubts

Published

on

By

Aviation specialists question initial theories about the Jeju Air Flight 7C2216 crash, highlighting gaps in the evidence and safety protocol.

The catastrophic crash of Jeju Air Flight 7C2216 at Muan International Airport has left South Korea grappling with its deadliest aviation disaster in decades. While authorities are investigating a range of possible causes, including a bird strike, experts are voicing skepticism about this theory, citing critical gaps in the evidence and procedural anomalies.

The twin-engine Boeing 737-800 crash-landed on Saturday in a fiery explosion, claiming almost all 181 lives on board. Initial reports from South Korean officials indicate that pilots declared a mayday after receiving a bird strike warning. However, whether the aircraft struck any birds remains unconfirmed. The plane appeared to touch down far down the runway without visible landing gear, skidding uncontrollably before slamming into a brick wall.

Aviation experts have highlighted several unresolved questions that challenge the bird strike theory. Bird strikes are not uncommon in aviation, but they seldom result in catastrophic outcomes. Geoffrey Thomas, editor of Airline News, pointed out that a bird strike typically would not prevent landing gear from extending. Moreover, the absence of foam on the runway and the unpreparedness of fire crews further deepen the mystery.

In similar emergencies, standard procedures involve fire crews laying foam on the runway to minimize fire risk and pilots strategically landing to control the situation. The apparent lack of these measures raises concerns about the preparedness and response of emergency teams.

Australian airline safety expert Geoffrey Dell echoed these doubts, stating that while bird strikes can damage an aircraft, they are rarely the sole cause of such catastrophic failures. The malfunction of the landing gear and the aircraft’s inability to decelerate after touchdown suggest deeper systemic or mechanical issues.

The retrieval of the flight data recorder and cockpit voice recorder provides a critical opportunity for investigators to piece together what went wrong. These devices are expected to offer valuable insights into the sequence of events leading up to the crash.

Aviation consultant Trevor Jensen also raised questions about the unplanned nature of the crash, noting that belly landings are typically managed with minimal fuel and coordinated safety efforts. The absence of these safeguards hints at possible lapses in communication or protocol adherence.

The incident underscores the importance of comprehensive safety measures and meticulous investigations in modern aviation. While bird strikes are a plausible initial hypothesis, the evidence so far points to a more complex chain of events. South Korean authorities have promised a thorough inquiry, and the findings will likely reshape discussions on aviation safety standards and emergency preparedness.

As the investigation unfolds, the tragedy of Jeju Air Flight 7C2216 serves as a stark reminder of the multifaceted challenges in aviation safety and the critical need for robust systems to prevent future disasters.

Continue Reading

Analysis

NATO’s 2025 Challenges: Navigating Trump, Ukraine, and Defense Spending

Published

on

By

Facing geopolitical tensions and internal pressures, NATO must balance unity, military readiness, and evolving alliances under uncertain U.S. leadership.

As NATO enters 2025, the alliance stands at a critical juncture, grappling with intensified geopolitical pressures and internal challenges. The return of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency introduces a layer of unpredictability, raising questions about NATO’s cohesion and future strategies. Meanwhile, the ongoing war in Ukraine and calls for increased defense spending underscore the need for unity among NATO’s European members to address mounting security threats.

NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte has emphasized the proximity of global conflicts to the alliance’s borders, describing the stakes as higher than ever. With Russian aggression escalating and Iranian and North Korean threats adding complexity, NATO must redefine its approach to security in Europe and beyond. The alliance faces the dual task of fortifying its defenses while maintaining solidarity with Ukraine, a crucial but contentious partner.

Trump’s anticipated push for higher defense spending, potentially beyond 4% of GDP, places additional pressure on European allies. While many nations met the 2% spending target in 2024, significant gaps remain in intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities, areas where Europe still heavily relies on U.S. support. European nations are working to address these deficiencies, but experts predict that achieving self-sufficiency in critical areas like satellite technology and large-scale transport systems could take over a decade.

The challenge of defense spending goes beyond budgetary constraints. For NATO’s European members, the push to increase military investment must be balanced against domestic political considerations and competing economic priorities. Trump’s insistence on a more significant European role in the alliance could compel member states to accelerate their efforts, but this may strain relationships within the bloc.

The war in Ukraine remains a focal point for NATO. As the conflict nears its third anniversary, European leaders are united in their rhetorical support for Kyiv but face limitations in filling financial and military gaps should U.S. aid diminish. The question of Ukraine’s NATO membership looms large, with significant divergence between European support and potential U.S. resistance under Trump’s administration. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has made NATO membership a cornerstone of his foreign policy, but opposition within the alliance, particularly from Germany and potentially the U.S., threatens to stall progress.

To maintain transatlantic unity, NATO must navigate these divisions carefully. European members argue that NATO’s relevance extends beyond regional security, highlighting its role in countering China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific. The alliance has deepened ties with partners like Australia, Japan, and South Korea, aiming to address the growing Russia-China alignment. By framing NATO’s activities as essential to U.S. interests in Asia, European leaders hope to secure continued American engagement.

Ultimately, NATO’s ability to confront these challenges hinges on its adaptability and cohesion. Strengthening European autonomy in defense, maintaining solidarity with Ukraine, and managing Trump’s demands for a recalibrated alliance will require diplomatic finesse and strategic foresight. The stakes are not just NATO’s survival but the broader stability of the transatlantic and global security architecture.

As 2025 unfolds, NATO faces the task of proving its resilience in an era of evolving threats and uncertain alliances, reaffirming its role as a cornerstone of collective defense and a stabilizing force in an increasingly volatile world.

Continue Reading

Analysis

Trump Endorses H-1B Visa Program, Aligns with Elon Musk in Immigration Debate

Published

on

By

President-elect Donald Trump backs the H-1B visa program for skilled foreign workers, fueling tensions among his supporters and highlighting the divide on immigration policy.

President-elect Donald Trump has reignited a polarizing debate on immigration policy by siding with billionaire tech entrepreneur Elon Musk in defense of the H-1B visa program for skilled foreign workers. Trump, whose first presidency was marked by efforts to restrict immigration, surprised many on Saturday by openly supporting the program. Speaking to The New York Post, Trump described the H-1B visas as a “great program” and noted his personal experience employing foreign workers through it.

Elon Musk, a staunch advocate of the program and a naturalized U.S. citizen himself, sparked the controversy by defending the H-1B system against criticism from far-right activists and Trump supporters. Musk emphasized the critical role foreign talent plays in driving innovation within the U.S. tech industry. Tesla, one of Musk’s companies, secured 724 H-1B visas this year alone, underscoring the tech sector’s reliance on skilled immigrant labor to meet its workforce demands.

The debate escalated when Steve Bannon, a longtime Trump confidante, criticized “big tech oligarchs” for supporting the program, which he argued undermines wages for American workers and jeopardizes Western civilization. Musk and other tech leaders countered by drawing a distinction between legal immigration, represented by H-1B visas, and illegal immigration, arguing that skilled foreign workers fill critical gaps in the U.S. labor market.

This issue highlights the tension within Trump’s political coalition. While his base largely favors stricter immigration policies, including restrictions on work visas, Trump’s alignment with Musk indicates a more nuanced stance on skilled immigration. The tech industry, which played a significant role in supporting Trump’s campaign through donations and policy advice, sees the H-1B program as indispensable. Musk has been particularly vocal, citing a lack of domestic talent to fill essential roles in the rapidly expanding technology sector.

Trump’s endorsement also comes amid scrutiny of his choice of Sriram Krishnan, an Indian American venture capitalist, as an adviser on artificial intelligence. Critics have linked Krishnan’s appointment to perceived shifts in Trump’s immigration policies, further inflaming debates about the influence of foreign-born professionals in shaping U.S. policy.

The U.S. tech industry, reliant on skilled immigrants to sustain growth and innovation, stands at the heart of this debate. Critics of the H-1B program argue that it undercuts wages and displaces American workers. Advocates, however, contend that the program is vital for maintaining America’s competitive edge, particularly in fields like artificial intelligence, software development, and engineering.

Trump’s remarks reflect a broader strategic calculation. By aligning with Musk, he signals support for the tech sector while attempting to balance his immigration-hardline image. Yet, this move risks alienating parts of his base, particularly those who view any form of immigration as a threat to American jobs and identity.

As Trump prepares to assume office, the H-1B visa debate encapsulates the complexities of modern immigration policy. It pits economic pragmatism against nationalist sentiments, with the tech industry serving as a battleground for these competing visions. The outcome of this debate will likely shape the U.S. labor market, the future of innovation, and the broader discourse on immigration for years to come.

Continue Reading

Analysis

Croatia Poised to Reelect Its ‘Donald Trump’: Zoran Milanović Leads Presidential Race

Published

on

By

Amid EU skepticism and fiery rhetoric, Milanović heads for a likely runoff against pro-European rival Dragan Primorac.

As Croatia’s “super election year” concludes, Zoran Milanović, the country’s controversial president, is poised to secure reelection. Known for his fiery populism and Euroskeptic stance, Milanović leads polls with 39% heading into the December 29 presidential election. While his victory in the first round is unlikely to reach the required majority, a runoff against Dragan Primorac, the candidate of the ruling Christian Democratic Union (HDZ), is expected on January 12.

The animosity between Milanović and Prime Minister Andrej Plenković has defined the campaign. Milanović, a former prime minister and member of the Social Democratic Party (SDP), has used sharp rhetoric to position himself as a nationalist critic of the EU and NATO. He has derided Plenković as a “dictator” and accused him of being subservient to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. Milanović has also criticized Western sanctions on Russia and blocked Croatia’s participation in NATO missions supporting Ukraine, aligning himself with more isolationist and anti-European policies.

Plenković and his party have framed the election as a choice between aligning with the West or drifting toward Eastern influence. He has championed pro-European policies and military support for Ukraine, presenting his party’s candidate, Dragan Primorac, as the alternative to Milanović. However, Primorac, polling at 24%, has struggled to gain traction. Observers cite his lack of charisma and his association with scandals plaguing Plenković’s administration, including the resignation or dismissal of 31 HDZ ministers this year due to corruption allegations.

The HDZ’s latest scandal involving Health Minister Vili Beroš, arrested in November on corruption charges, has further undermined Primorac’s campaign. Public skepticism about the HDZ’s integrity continues to overshadow its platform, giving Milanović an edge despite his polarizing rhetoric.

Milanović’s popularity stems from his ability to capitalize on public discontent over corruption, immigration, and economic challenges, presenting himself as a nationalist defender against perceived EU overreach. His sharp critique of HDZ’s handling of these issues resonates with a significant portion of voters, despite—or perhaps because of—his combative style.

If the election proceeds to a runoff, Milanović’s populist appeal and the HDZ’s tarnished reputation make him the clear favorite. However, his reelection would solidify Croatia’s divided political landscape, with a nationalist president and a pro-European prime minister locked in ongoing rivalry.

As Croatia navigates its future within the EU, the outcome of this election will shape its domestic and international policies, particularly in relation to Ukraine, regional cooperation, and relations with Brussels. Milanović’s reelection could signal a continued shift toward nationalist populism, while a surprise victory for Primorac would reaffirm Croatia’s commitment to European integration.

Continue Reading

Most Viewed

You cannot copy content of this page