New African Union Commission leader lauds Mogadishu ties, focuses on regional stability and counterterrorism cooperation.

Mahmoud Ali Youssouf’s arrival in Mogadishu marks not only his first official visit to Somalia since becoming Chairperson of the African Union (AU) Commission in February 2025 but also a moment of strategic reaffirmation for AU-Horn of Africa relations. Welcomed with full honors at Aden Adde International Airport by Deputy Prime Minister Salah Ahmed Jama and other senior officials, Youssouf’s visit underscores Somalia’s pivotal role in shaping the future trajectory of the African Union’s engagement in the region.

Somalia’s endorsement of Youssouf’s candidacy—following the withdrawal of its own nominee, Fawzia Yusuf Adam—demonstrates a calculated diplomatic alignment with Djibouti. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s June 2024 decision to back Youssouf reflected a strategic push toward regional solidarity and collective leadership within the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) framework.

Youssouf’s long tenure as Djibouti’s foreign minister gives him a deep, nuanced understanding of Somalia’s internal political dynamics, security challenges, and regional entanglements. That experience is likely to shape his approach to AU initiatives such as the drawdown and transformation of the AU Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS), the delicate balance between federal and state authorities, and the ongoing insurgency by al-Shabaab.

This visit is expected to involve high-level consultations with both President Mohamud and Prime Minister Hamza Abdi Barre. The timing is critical: Somalia is navigating multiple transitions—political, economic, and security-related—all requiring strong AU support and African-led coordination.

Under Youssouf’s leadership, the AU Commission is expected to promote a more agile and regionally attuned response to these challenges. His diplomatic background and proximity to Somali affairs position him to act as both mediator and mobilizer of resources, especially at a time when the effectiveness and legacy of ATMIS are under scrutiny.

For Somalia, the visit reinforces its renewed diplomatic capital within continental institutions. Mogadishu’s influence in shaping AU leadership—and its willingness to prioritize regional interests over national ambition—may offer it greater leverage in securing political and technical support.

Youssouf’s tenure could signal a shift from continental bureaucracy to localized engagement, where voices from the Horn of Africa drive the agenda. If that momentum holds, Somalia may gain a stronger advocate in Addis Ababa as it works to stabilize governance, advance development, and eventually transition from ATMIS to a fully sovereign national security posture.

President Irro’s regional tour signals firm commitment to infrastructure, military modernization, and grassroots development.

President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (Irro)’s official visit to the Sahil region marks a significant moment in Somaliland’s ongoing nation-building efforts. With high-profile stops across key towns and the launch of infrastructure and security initiatives, the visit showcased a practical governance approach grounded in visible development and direct engagement with communities.

At the center of this trip was the formal inauguration of the reconstructed Berbera–Sheikh Road, a vital economic artery connecting coastal and inland regions.

By reopening this strategic route—now fortified with twenty modernized bridges—the Irro administration sends a clear message: Somaliland is investing in long-term connectivity to unlock internal trade and enhance regional cohesion. Roads are more than infrastructure—they’re lifelines for commerce, mobility, and national unity.

Equally important was the launch of the first Civil Defense Forces training program at the Abdullahi Feedhe Military Training School in Sheikh.

This move signals a deeper prioritization of national defense, particularly in the context of Somaliland’s quest for recognition and self-reliance. Irro’s focus on security modernization—combined with laying the foundation for new military facilities—reflects a broader vision to professionalize the armed forces and build public confidence in national institutions.

The President’s remarks throughout the visit were strategic and symbolic. His emphasis on linking infrastructure with national development, and the praise he offered to both engineers and new recruits, positions him as both a developmental leader and a unifier. Engaging directly with traditional elders, local leaders, and residents further reinforced the government’s focus on community inclusion and decentralized progress.

This tour is also a signal to both domestic and international audiences. Internally, it demonstrates Irro’s intent to govern through performance-based legitimacy and regional outreach. Externally, it offers a glimpse into Somaliland’s stable governance model—where development, security, and civic engagement are not mere slogans but operational priorities.

Ultimately, the visit reflects a political philosophy grounded in delivering results, building state capacity, and consolidating Somaliland’s independent identity. While recognition remains elusive on the global stage, the government’s continued push for infrastructure, institutional reform, and strategic military readiness reflects a de facto state acting with intention—and with ambition.

The recent control of the presidential palace in Khartoum by the Sudanese army represents a significant development in the ongoing conflict in Sudan, which began two years ago following disagreements over the integration of the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) into the national military. This event highlights the intense power struggle and ongoing violence that has threatened to divide the nation.

The conflict between the Sudanese army and the RSF has deep roots, exacerbated by historical tensions and power dynamics within Sudan’s military and political spheres. Initially allies in the removal of Omar al-Bashir from power in 2019 and later against civilian leadership, the army and RSF’s relationship deteriorated over structural and command issues, with both groups vying for control and influence.

The seizure of the presidential palace is not just a tactical military gain but also a powerful symbol of the army reclaiming authority in Khartoum. This development could potentially shift the balance of power back to the central government if the army manages to maintain and capitalize on this momentum.

The conflict has precipitated one of the world’s largest humanitarian crises, as declared by the U.N., affecting millions across Sudan. The fighting has disrupted access to essential services and resources, compounding the suffering with famine and disease outbreaks across several regions.

Both the Sudanese army and the RSF have been accused of committing war crimes, with the RSF also facing allegations of genocide. These charges complicate the conflict, adding international pressure for accountability and complicating peace negotiations.

As the army attempts to consolidate more territory and push out the RSF, the likelihood of continued violence remains high. The conflict’s resolution is further complicated by the RSF’s control over significant territories, including parts of Darfur, and their efforts to establish a parallel government.

The reclamation of the presidential palace by the Sudanese army could be a turning point in the conflict. However, without a comprehensive strategy that includes diplomatic efforts and addresses the underlying issues driving the conflict, peace remains a distant prospect. International mediation and support will be crucial in helping Sudan navigate towards stability and democratic governance.

The recent announcement of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to significantly ramp up its artificial intelligence (AI) investments in the United States marks a pivotal shift in both technological and geopolitical landscapes. This development is underscored by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed’s visit to Washington, signaling a robust commitment to advancing AI capabilities through strategic international collaborations.

The UAE’s decision to invest $25 billion in the US AI sector is not just an economic maneuver but a strategic positioning within the global tech landscape. This investment could catalyze significant advancements in AI technologies, potentially positioning the US even more prominently as a leader in the AI field. For the UAE, this move diversifies its economic dependencies away from oil and toward technology, aligning with its broader economic transformation goals.

Sheikh Tahnoon’s role in managing two sovereign wealth funds and his direct involvement in this substantial investment highlight the UAE’s strategic pivot towards the US. This realignment might be indicative of a shift in global alliances, with the UAE positioning itself closer to Washington’s sphere of influence, distancing itself from China’s technological ecosystem. This could realign technology sourcing and security alliances in favor of the US, potentially altering the balance in tech dominance between the US and China.

By securing access to cutting-edge American AI chips, the UAE could leapfrog in developing high-tech industries, from autonomous vehicles to smart city infrastructure, which are pivotal for its future economic landscape. For the US, granting the UAE access to advanced AI technologies ensures a partner in technological development and potentially a diplomatic ally in regional conflicts and broader geopolitical strategies.

Predictions and Outcomes

The infusion of capital and resources from the UAE is likely to accelerate innovation in AI within the US, leading to faster development of new technologies and AI applications. This could spur further investments in AI research and development, fostering a cycle of innovation and investment that benefits the global AI landscape.

As the UAE aligns more closely with the US in technology and security, there may be shifts in how Middle Eastern politics are navigated, particularly concerning relations with China and Russia. The US might leverage this partnership to strengthen its influence in the Middle East, countering China’s Belt and Road initiatives in the region.

With increased investment in AI, both nations will need to address the ethical implications of AI technology, including privacy concerns, surveillance, and the potential for AI in military applications. This partnership could lead to a harmonization of AI governance standards between the UAE and the US, influencing global norms and practices in AI ethics and regulation.

Overall, this deepened partnership between the UAE and the US in AI could herald a new era of technological progress and geopolitical cooperation, reshaping economic and strategic priorities on a global scale. As AI continues to be a critical element of national power, the ripple effects of this partnership will likely be observed across various sectors and regions.

UAE’s High-Tech Gambit in Somaliland

Ethiopia has made it clear through statements from Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed that it seeks a peaceful resolution over access to the Red Sea, rather than engaging in conflict with Eritrea. This position comes despite recent military mobilizations by Eritrea and troop deployments near the border by Ethiopia, which have stoked fears of renewed hostilities between the two nations. The historical context of this tension is significant; Eritrea controls the port of Assab, which is seen as a vital maritime access point that Ethiopia lacks.

In his communication, Prime Minister Abiy emphasized Ethiopia’s intention to handle the issue through dialogue, highlighting the importance of maritime access for Ethiopia’s economic aspirations but also his commitment to peaceful negotiations. The response from Eritrea, particularly from its Information Minister Yemane Gebremeskel, suggests a perception of threat from Ethiopia’s ambitions, urging international intervention to ensure respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Eritrea Warns Ethiopia Against Maritime Ambitions

These developments occur against a backdrop of internal strife within the Tigray region of Ethiopia, where a post-war interim administration is experiencing factional splits. The peace process, including the terms and leadership of the interim administration, remains a contentious issue, further complicating Ethiopia’s internal and external politics.

The situation is delicate, with the potential to impact the stability of the region significantly, especially considering the historical conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea, which only recently saw a formal end. The international community’s role in facilitating dialogue and supporting a peaceful resolution could be crucial in preventing an escalation into conflict.

Western officials have reportedly urged Somalia’s President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud to resign as Al-Shabaab militants advance toward Mogadishu. The proposed interim council seeks to open negotiations with the group, highlighting a tense and pivotal moment in Somalia’s ongoing security crisis.

The security situation in Somalia remains tense with the ongoing threat from Al-Shabaab militants, who continue to carry out attacks throughout the country. Recent events have underscored this persistent instability. For instance, Al-Shabaab claimed responsibility for a deadly attack in Beledweyne, targeting a meeting between officials and elders, which resulted in over ten fatalities. This attack is part of a broader pattern of violence that aims to undermine the Somali government and its efforts to secure the country.

Amidst these security challenges, international and regional powers remain actively involved in Somalia’s security landscape. The United States has conducted airstrikes targeting key ISIL figures in northern Somalia, indicating a continued focus on eliminating threats from various extremist factions including ISIL, which has a presence in the region. These efforts are part of broader counterterrorism strategies aimed at stabilizing Somalia.

Furthermore, there are diplomatic engagements aimed at addressing the broader regional security issues. A notable example is the recent agreement between Somalia, Ethiopia, and Egypt to bolster security ties, which was facilitated by discussions in Ankara. This pact highlights the regional approach to tackling the challenges posed by armed groups like Al-Shabaab, emphasizing cooperation across borders to enhance stability in the Horn of Africa.

These developments paint a picture of a country at a critical juncture, facing both persistent internal threats and complex regional dynamics. The ongoing international support and regional cooperation are vital components of the strategy to achieve a more stable and secure Somalia.

UK Secretary of State David Lammy commits to partnering with democratic Somaliland to counter rising Al-Shabaab activities, emphasizing mutual concerns and the need for collaborative efforts in combating terrorism in the region.

UK Secretary of State David Lammy articulated a strong commitment to collaborate with the Republic of Somaliland in addressing the pervasive threat posed by Al-Shabaab, underscoring a pivotal moment in the international community’s approach to counterterrorism in the Horn of Africa. This declaration followed a query from MP Gavin Williamson about strengthening ties with Somaliland to combat regional terrorist threats effectively.

Somaliland, recognized for its democratic governance in a region riddled with instability, represents a unique ally for Western nations aiming to curb the spread of terrorism emanating from Somalia, where Al-Shabaab remains entrenched. Unlike its tumultuous neighbor Somalia, Somaliland has managed to maintain relative peace and democratic processes since declaring its independence over three decades ago, though it lacks official recognition as a sovereign state by the international community.

The UK’s strategic pivot towards Somaliland is not merely a bilateral overture but reflects a broader geopolitical interest. Al-Shabaab’s increasing influence in Somalia poses a direct threat not only to regional stability but also to international security, given the group’s history of orchestrating attacks beyond its borders. By partnering with Somaliland, the UK leverages a local force that is both knowledgeable about and deeply invested in curtailing Al-Shabaab’s operations.

Secretary Lammy’s assurance to MP Williamson during the debate highlights the UK’s readiness to extend both diplomatic and potentially military support to Somaliland. This approach is indicative of a larger trend where global powers are increasingly willing to engage with non-traditionally recognized entities to address security vacuums that have international repercussions.

The implications of this partnership extend beyond mere counterterrorism. For Somaliland, support from a significant global player like the UK could bolster its quest for international recognition and validate its longstanding efforts to establish a democratic norm in the region. For the UK, this alliance not only aids in mitigating the threat of terrorism but also positions it as a key player in influencing political and security outcomes in East Africa.

Moreover, this collaboration could signal to other nations the viability and strategic advantage of partnering with Somaliland, potentially encouraging more international interactions and support. However, the effectiveness of this partnership will largely depend on the continuous engagement and the concrete support that the UK offers, going beyond diplomatic affirmations to include security assistance, intelligence sharing, and economic aid to bolster Somaliland’s capacity to counteract regional threats.

As this partnership unfolds, it will be crucial to monitor how this UK-Somaliland engagement influences Al-Shabaab’s activities and the broader security landscape of the Horn of Africa. Additionally, the reaction of other regional powers and the international community to this burgeoning alliance will further define the contours of geopolitical dynamics in the area.

Presidents Trump and Putin’s discussion leads to a temporary cessation of hostilities against Ukraine’s energy sectors, with comprehensive talks on the horizon.

US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin have agreed to a temporary suspension of attacks on Ukraine’s energy and infrastructure facilities. This agreement, reached during a 90-minute phone call on Tuesday, marks a potential turning point, paving the way for further negotiations aimed at a comprehensive ceasefire.

According to official statements from both Washington and Moscow, the two leaders discussed the immediate cessation of hostilities targeting critical infrastructure in Ukraine for the next 30 days. This move is intended to precede a maritime ceasefire in the Black Sea, followed by a full ceasefire. Negotiations are scheduled to commence promptly in the Middle East, as indicated by the White House.

The Kremlin’s announcement highlighted President Putin’s directive to Russia’s military forces to halt their operations against Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, which has been a focal point in the conflict, causing widespread disruption and hardship for Ukrainian civilians.

However, despite this progress, the details suggest a complex path ahead. The Putin administration articulated several conditions for a durable resolution to the conflict, including the cessation of all foreign military assistance to Kyiv and an end to the mobilization efforts in Ukraine. These demands are seen by many as steep obstacles, potentially derailing the prospects for an unconditional ceasefire.

Ukraine’s response, voiced by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, was cautiously optimistic. Zelenskyy expressed his support for the ceasefire proposal regarding energy and infrastructure and anticipated further discussions to clarify the details of the propositions exchanged between the US and Russia.

Analysts are viewing this development with a mix of skepticism and hope. While the pause in attacks on critical infrastructure is a welcome relief, the broader implications for a lasting peace remain uncertain, given the significant gaps in the positions of the involved parties. The dialogue between Trump and Putin, though substantial, did not yield a definitive agreement on ending the conflict outright.

As the situation evolves, the international community watches closely, hopeful that this initial step towards de-escalation could lead to more substantive negotiations and, ultimately, a resolution to a conflict that has gripped the region and the world.