Commentary
Trump Poised to Pressure Netanyahu for Saudi Peace, Expert Predicts

Trump’s return could reshape U.S. foreign policy, with a focus on Middle East normalization, Iran containment, and economic priorities.
President-elect Donald Trump’s return to the White House is expected to bring substantial shifts in U.S. foreign and domestic policy, particularly in the Middle East. According to Dr. Shay Har-Zvi, a senior researcher at Reichman University, Trump’s leadership style—rooted in deal-making and leveraging U.S. strength—will drive a focused approach to securing his legacy.
Dr. Har-Zvi emphasized Trump’s likely prioritization of the Middle East, including resolving the Gaza conflict, brokering Israeli-Saudi normalization, and countering Iran’s nuclear ambitions. Trump sees these goals as interconnected, with normalization being pivotal for forming a regional coalition against Tehran and unlocking economic opportunities for both the region and the U.S.
Har-Zvi predicts that Trump will pressure Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to accommodate Saudi demands, including ending the Gaza war and offering a political horizon to the Palestinians. “Trump is likely to take a business-like approach, leveraging U.S. support to push for concessions that align with broader regional stability,” he explained.
On Iran, Trump is expected to pursue a “nuclear deal 2.0,” combining economic sanctions with potential military threats to deter Tehran’s nuclear ambitions. However, a key question remains whether he will push for a comprehensive agreement or accept a compromise to avoid escalating the Israel-Iran conflict.
Trump’s overarching foreign policy will likely aim to confront China while resolving other conflicts, such as in Ukraine, to redirect U.S. resources and focus. His past term demonstrated a willingness to pressure allies and demand tangible returns on U.S. investments in global security, an approach Israel must prepare for as it navigates these shifting dynamics.
Dr. Har-Zvi concludes that Trump’s influence is already shaping regional conversations, from hostage negotiations to normalization efforts. The potential for bold, sweeping changes under his leadership underscores the importance of strategic foresight as the Middle East braces for another term of Trump’s unorthodox and high-stakes diplomacy.
ASSESSMENTS
False Claims Spread That US Ended Military Aid to Egypt Over Horn of Africa Tensions

Misinformation alert: Viral posts claim Trump cut US military aid to Egypt due to Ethiopia’s regional actions. In reality? The aid issue is tied to Trump’s Gaza relocation plan, not Horn politics.
Why These False Claims About US Aid to Egypt Are Spreading — and Why They Matter
Viral social media posts in early March falsely claimed that the United States had cut military aid to Egypt due to the country’s alleged “destabilizing role” in the Horn of Africa—specifically relating to Ethiopia and the region’s tense power politics.
The reality? While tensions between Cairo and Addis Ababa over the Nile and the GERD project remain high—and were further inflamed after Egypt sent military equipment to Somalia in response to Ethiopia’s controversial MoU with Somaliland—the U.S. has not tied military aid to these developments.
Instead, any potential aid reductions to Egypt are more plausibly linked to Trump’s Gaza relocation plan, which Egypt has publicly opposed. That plan—to relocate displaced Palestinians into neighboring countries like Egypt and Jordan—has sparked regional outrage and new fault lines in U.S. alliances.
The U.S. Embassy in Addis Ababa debunked the viral claims, saying there’s been no official move to cut Egypt’s aid over Horn politics. Aid to Egypt remains tied largely to the 1979 Camp David Accords, and while temporary holds have happened due to human rights concerns, the GERD has not (yet) altered the calculus in Washington.
So Why Is This Misinformation Spreading?
Regional anxiety: With Egypt and Ethiopia at odds, and Somalia-Somaliland-Ethiopia relations in crisis, social media is primed for rumors that reinforce nationalistic narratives.
Distrust of U.S. intentions: Trump’s transactional approach to foreign policy—cutting aid, pushing radical plans—makes even far-fetched rumors believable to some.
Information vacuums: Lack of public clarity around shifting U.S. positions in East Africa leaves space for speculation and disinformation.
Bottom Line:
While a real debate over U.S. military aid is happening, especially due to Gaza relocation tensions, it’s not because of Ethiopia or the Horn of Africa. But in a region as politically charged as this, every rumor feels like a warning shot.
Analysis
Europe Offers “Scientific Asylum” as U.S. Researchers Flee Trump-Era Cuts

American researchers are fleeing political interference under Trump—and Europe is welcoming them with open labs.
Europe Offers Scientific Asylum as Trump-era Cuts Drive U.S. Researchers Abroad.
As Donald Trump’s administration slashes research budgets and clamps down on what it calls “ideological science,” European universities are responding with an unexpected offer: refuge. Across Belgium, France, and the Netherlands, institutions are opening doors to American researchers disillusioned or displaced by political interference and funding cuts.
The Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB), founded in 1834 to uphold academic independence from church and state, is leading the charge. It recently announced 12 postdoctoral fellowships specifically aimed at international researchers, with a “particular focus” on Americans. “We see it as our duty to come to the aid of our American colleagues,” said Jan Danckaert, VUB’s rector, describing the current U.S. environment as one of “political and ideological interference.”
The cuts in question are far-reaching. Research arms like NASA, the CDC, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration face funding freezes. Studies involving climate change, vaccines, or social equity—deemed “woke” by the Trump White House—are increasingly targeted. For many U.S.-based researchers, the result is censorship by omission: their work isn’t banned, but quietly defunded.
European institutions see both a moral imperative and an opportunity. At France’s Aix-Marseille University, the launch of a “Safe Place for Science” program has already drawn nearly 100 applicants—many from elite institutions like Yale, Stanford, and even NASA. The program offers three-year placements to researchers facing “catastrophic” restrictions at home.
“We’re not poaching talent,” said Aix-Marseille president Éric Berton. “We’re responding to a crisis.” He and others have described this as a form of “scientific asylum,” framing it less as brain drain and more as solidarity.
France’s government has also moved swiftly. Research Minister Philippe Baptiste urged institutions to submit proposals for attracting American scientists, while Pasteur Institute Director Yasmine Belkaid noted a “daily” influx of inquiries. “You might call it a sad opportunity,” she said, “but it is an opportunity.”
The Netherlands, too, is launching a dedicated fund for incoming researchers. While it remains open to all nationalities, the announcement by Education Minister Eppo Bruins made clear that geopolitical shifts—read: Trump’s policies—are driving its urgency.
This wave of European outreach highlights growing transatlantic divergence on science policy. Where Washington appears to be prioritizing political loyalty over peer review, Europe is positioning itself as the new global capital of academic freedom. This shift could have long-term implications, from how climate science is advanced to which countries dominate the next generation of technological breakthroughs.
The irony isn’t lost on European institutions. In 2016, Trump dismissed Brussels as a “hellhole” in a Fox News interview, citing unsubstantiated fears over migration. VUB referenced that quote directly in its press materials, calling its new program “a symbolic gesture of solidarity.”
That symbolism cuts both ways. For the U.S. academic community, especially in fields like climate science, health, and the social sciences, the message is clear: if you want to keep your work alive, you may have to take it abroad.
Europe’s response marks a subtle but significant act of scientific diplomacy. It suggests that the continent is not just willing—but eager—to fill the leadership vacuum left by Washington’s retreat. And it raises a broader question: will this be remembered as a short-lived migration or the start of a long-term shift in where science happens, and who shapes its agenda?
Commentary
Somali Man Fatally Shot in Tottenham Identified as Mahad Abdi Mohamed

A 27-year-old Somali man, Mahad Abdi Mohamed, was fatally shot in Tottenham on Thursday evening. As investigations continue, the incident underscores the need for deeper community engagement and violence prevention strategies in London’s most vulnerable neighborhoods.
The fatal shooting of Mahad Abdi Mohamed, a 27-year-old Somali man, in Tottenham has once again cast a spotlight on the ongoing challenge of gun violence in parts of London. Shot in the head on Waverley Road near the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Thursday night, Mr. Mohamed died at the scene despite emergency medical efforts. A second victim, aged 26, was also shot and remains hospitalized following surgery.
The Metropolitan Police have opened a murder investigation, and while no arrests have been made yet, community unease is rising. Locals have described a heavy police presence and a longstanding fear of violence in the area. Reports of young men in balaclavas gathering shortly before the shooting underline the troubling normalization of gang-related activity and firearm accessibility in some London neighborhoods.
Mr. Mohamed’s death has shaken both the Somali community and local residents, many of whom fear for their safety in what has become a recurring scene of violent crime. His family, through a heartfelt statement, described him as a son, a brother, a father, and a friend, calling for privacy and support in the wake of a deeply personal tragedy.
This is not the first violent incident on Waverley Road. Residents have expressed frustration and despair, suggesting that early warning signs were ignored and that more preventive policing is needed. “I knew this would happen,” one resident told reporters. “There are guns around here.”
Detective Chief Inspector Rebecca Woodsford has emphasized that the police are treating the case with urgency and care, calling on the public to come forward with any information. Authorities stress that any piece of information, no matter how minor it may seem, could be pivotal in bringing those responsible to justice.
While the Metropolitan Police have increased patrols and crime scene investigation is underway, the shooting reignites broader concerns about youth violence, gun access, and community-police trust—especially in ethnically diverse areas like Tottenham, where socio-economic pressures often overlap with limited institutional support.
The Somali community in London, like many diaspora communities, continues to navigate the complex intersection of belonging, safety, and visibility. Incidents like this only intensify the urgency for greater engagement, intervention programs, and grassroots collaboration to disrupt the cycles of violence claiming young lives.
Commentary
Turkey in Turmoil as Erdogan Jails Leading Opponent Ekrem Imamoglu

Protests sweep Turkey as opposition leader Ekrem Imamoglu is arrested. Streets erupt in defiance while Erdogan faces accusations of jailing rivals to hold power.
The arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, one of Turkey’s most popular political figures and the main challenger to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has ignited the country’s largest wave of protests in over a decade. Viewed by many as a calculated move to undermine a serious presidential contender, Imamoglu’s detention has triggered mass demonstrations in over 55 provinces, led to violent clashes with riot police, and sent financial markets into a tailspin.
Coming just as the opposition CHP party held primaries to nominate its 2028 presidential candidate—a process Imamoglu was poised to dominate—the arrest is being widely condemned as politically motivated. Initially charged with “aiding a terror organization” and corruption, the charges were later reframed as “establishing and managing a criminal organisation” among others.
Supporters and opposition leaders have called the arrest a “black stain on democracy”. Riot police deployed forcefully across cities—using tear gas, rubber bullets, and water cannons—to quash protests. Demonstrators, defiant in the face of repression, carried slogans like “Dictators are cowards” and “You will not silence us.”
Despite a protest ban, hundreds of thousands took to the streets in Istanbul, with reports of some protesters seeking refuge inside City Hall after police escalated crackdowns. Similar confrontations were reported in Ankara and Izmir, as student and civil society groups joined the growing unrest.
Imamoglu’s arrest has also rattled financial markets. The Turkish lira fell sharply and the country’s benchmark stock index dropped nearly 8% on Friday. The mayor himself warned in a statement that the incident had caused “untold damage” to Turkey’s image and investor confidence.
His political persecution fits a pattern: whenever a serious rival emerges, Erdogan’s government has responded with criminal charges, media restrictions, and legal maneuvers. Imamoglu, who has long maintained strong popularity in urban centers, was widely expected to pose a formidable challenge in the 2028 presidential race.
Notably, social media platform X (formerly Twitter) confirmed that over 700 accounts tied to journalists, students, and opposition voices had been ordered blocked by Turkish authorities—an apparent effort to control the narrative. Elon Musk’s platform vowed to fight the order, calling it an unlawful attempt to stifle political discourse.
Despite the repression, voter turnout in the CHP primary surged, with over 15 million ballots cast, reflecting the public’s determination to back Imamoglu. His wife, Dilek Kaya Imamoglu, joined the call for continued defiance, saying, “We are not afraid, and we will never give up.”
While Erdogan remains entrenched in power after 22 years, the resilience of Turkey’s opposition and civil society suggests that any attempt to quash political dissent will come at a high cost—both domestically and internationally.
Whether this marks a new chapter in Turkey’s democratic regression or becomes a rallying point for renewed opposition unity remains to be seen. But the message from the streets is clear: the fight for Turkey’s political future is far from over.
Commentary
AU’s New Chief Visits Somalia, Focuses on Security, Regional Unity

New African Union Commission leader lauds Mogadishu ties, focuses on regional stability and counterterrorism cooperation.
Mahmoud Ali Youssouf’s arrival in Mogadishu marks not only his first official visit to Somalia since becoming Chairperson of the African Union (AU) Commission in February 2025 but also a moment of strategic reaffirmation for AU-Horn of Africa relations. Welcomed with full honors at Aden Adde International Airport by Deputy Prime Minister Salah Ahmed Jama and other senior officials, Youssouf’s visit underscores Somalia’s pivotal role in shaping the future trajectory of the African Union’s engagement in the region.
Somalia’s endorsement of Youssouf’s candidacy—following the withdrawal of its own nominee, Fawzia Yusuf Adam—demonstrates a calculated diplomatic alignment with Djibouti. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s June 2024 decision to back Youssouf reflected a strategic push toward regional solidarity and collective leadership within the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) framework.
Youssouf’s long tenure as Djibouti’s foreign minister gives him a deep, nuanced understanding of Somalia’s internal political dynamics, security challenges, and regional entanglements. That experience is likely to shape his approach to AU initiatives such as the drawdown and transformation of the AU Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS), the delicate balance between federal and state authorities, and the ongoing insurgency by al-Shabaab.
This visit is expected to involve high-level consultations with both President Mohamud and Prime Minister Hamza Abdi Barre. The timing is critical: Somalia is navigating multiple transitions—political, economic, and security-related—all requiring strong AU support and African-led coordination.
Under Youssouf’s leadership, the AU Commission is expected to promote a more agile and regionally attuned response to these challenges. His diplomatic background and proximity to Somali affairs position him to act as both mediator and mobilizer of resources, especially at a time when the effectiveness and legacy of ATMIS are under scrutiny.
For Somalia, the visit reinforces its renewed diplomatic capital within continental institutions. Mogadishu’s influence in shaping AU leadership—and its willingness to prioritize regional interests over national ambition—may offer it greater leverage in securing political and technical support.
Youssouf’s tenure could signal a shift from continental bureaucracy to localized engagement, where voices from the Horn of Africa drive the agenda. If that momentum holds, Somalia may gain a stronger advocate in Addis Ababa as it works to stabilize governance, advance development, and eventually transition from ATMIS to a fully sovereign national security posture.
Commentary
President Irro Launches Major Road, Military Projects During Sahil Region Visit

President Irro’s regional tour signals firm commitment to infrastructure, military modernization, and grassroots development.
President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (Irro)’s official visit to the Sahil region marks a significant moment in Somaliland’s ongoing nation-building efforts. With high-profile stops across key towns and the launch of infrastructure and security initiatives, the visit showcased a practical governance approach grounded in visible development and direct engagement with communities.
At the center of this trip was the formal inauguration of the reconstructed Berbera–Sheikh Road, a vital economic artery connecting coastal and inland regions.
By reopening this strategic route—now fortified with twenty modernized bridges—the Irro administration sends a clear message: Somaliland is investing in long-term connectivity to unlock internal trade and enhance regional cohesion. Roads are more than infrastructure—they’re lifelines for commerce, mobility, and national unity.
Equally important was the launch of the first Civil Defense Forces training program at the Abdullahi Feedhe Military Training School in Sheikh.
This move signals a deeper prioritization of national defense, particularly in the context of Somaliland’s quest for recognition and self-reliance. Irro’s focus on security modernization—combined with laying the foundation for new military facilities—reflects a broader vision to professionalize the armed forces and build public confidence in national institutions.
The President’s remarks throughout the visit were strategic and symbolic. His emphasis on linking infrastructure with national development, and the praise he offered to both engineers and new recruits, positions him as both a developmental leader and a unifier. Engaging directly with traditional elders, local leaders, and residents further reinforced the government’s focus on community inclusion and decentralized progress.
This tour is also a signal to both domestic and international audiences. Internally, it demonstrates Irro’s intent to govern through performance-based legitimacy and regional outreach. Externally, it offers a glimpse into Somaliland’s stable governance model—where development, security, and civic engagement are not mere slogans but operational priorities.
Ultimately, the visit reflects a political philosophy grounded in delivering results, building state capacity, and consolidating Somaliland’s independent identity. While recognition remains elusive on the global stage, the government’s continued push for infrastructure, institutional reform, and strategic military readiness reflects a de facto state acting with intention—and with ambition.
Commentary
Zelensky Outmaneuvers Putin by Rebuilding Ties with Trump in Bid for Peace

Ukraine’s leader wins over Trump with praise and pragmatism, placing the onus on Putin to make real concessions—or risk being exposed.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky appears to have taken a strategic turn in his dealings with Washington, successfully reframing his relationship with President Donald Trump and, in doing so, pushing Vladimir Putin into a diplomatic corner. After months of mixed signals from Trump, Ukraine’s leader has recalibrated his approach—trading in moral appeals for measured praise and alignment with Trump’s peace overtures.
Their recent phone call, described as “very good” by both sides, marked a stark contrast to earlier tensions, including an awkward and politically charged meeting at the White House in February. Zelensky, known for his resilience on the battlefield and the diplomatic front, is now showing an equally sharp instinct for navigating Trump’s political temperament.
Zelensky’s readiness to endorse Trump’s call for a ceasefire—especially on energy infrastructure—has strategically placed the pressure back on Moscow. The Ukrainian president’s flexibility stands in contrast to Putin’s hardline demands, including a complete end to Western military aid and the cessation of Ukraine’s mobilization efforts. These unreasonable terms, widely seen as non-starters, have made it easier for Trump to cast Kyiv as the cooperative partner and Moscow as the spoiler.
More importantly, Zelensky’s tone has shifted. Gone is the defensiveness. In its place is calculated flattery of Trump’s leadership, strategic alignment with his proposals, and even openness to ideas likely designed to appeal to Trump’s business instincts—such as potential U.S. oversight of Ukraine’s nuclear infrastructure.
This diplomatic charm offensive seems to be paying off. Trump has dropped his earlier criticisms of Zelensky as a “dictator” and has shown no renewed push to end U.S. military support—quite the opposite. Washington is now promising to help Ukraine acquire more Patriot missile systems, a crucial need raised directly by Zelensky.
Zelensky’s public support for Trump’s peace efforts also casts Putin’s intentions in a more cynical light. While the Kremlin leader may have hoped to use flattery and vague economic promises—such as access to Russian rare earth minerals—to keep Trump engaged, his unwillingness to offer tangible concessions may wear thin.
Trump, always eager to claim a diplomatic victory, may eventually grow impatient with what is increasingly being perceived as Putin’s performative participation in peace talks.
Another point of success for Zelensky has been his ability to shift Trump’s attention toward humanitarian concerns—namely, the 35,000 Ukrainian children abducted and taken to Russia. Trump is now vowing to help bring them home, despite earlier U.S. reluctance to track or act on their cases.
Zelensky’s strategy is clear: offer Trump enough praise, flexibility, and political cover to own the peace initiative, while subtly exposing Moscow’s lack of sincerity. In doing so, he has neutralized past criticisms and reinserted Ukraine as a credible actor in Trump’s foreign policy narrative.
Putin’s gamble—to stretch out negotiations while consolidating military gains—may now backfire if Trump begins to feel manipulated. The former U.S. president has made ending the Ukraine war a core campaign promise. If Moscow stalls too long, Trump may pivot more decisively toward Kyiv to secure a political win.
For now, Zelensky has done what few expected: put himself back in Trump’s good graces and made Putin look like the intransigent party. How long this balance holds will depend not only on battlefield developments but also on whether Trump remains convinced he can achieve a “deal” without being played.
Commentary
Sudan’s Power Shift: Army Captures Presidential Palace Amidst National Crisis

The recent control of the presidential palace in Khartoum by the Sudanese army represents a significant development in the ongoing conflict in Sudan, which began two years ago following disagreements over the integration of the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) into the national military. This event highlights the intense power struggle and ongoing violence that has threatened to divide the nation.
The conflict between the Sudanese army and the RSF has deep roots, exacerbated by historical tensions and power dynamics within Sudan’s military and political spheres. Initially allies in the removal of Omar al-Bashir from power in 2019 and later against civilian leadership, the army and RSF’s relationship deteriorated over structural and command issues, with both groups vying for control and influence.
The seizure of the presidential palace is not just a tactical military gain but also a powerful symbol of the army reclaiming authority in Khartoum. This development could potentially shift the balance of power back to the central government if the army manages to maintain and capitalize on this momentum.
The conflict has precipitated one of the world’s largest humanitarian crises, as declared by the U.N., affecting millions across Sudan. The fighting has disrupted access to essential services and resources, compounding the suffering with famine and disease outbreaks across several regions.
Both the Sudanese army and the RSF have been accused of committing war crimes, with the RSF also facing allegations of genocide. These charges complicate the conflict, adding international pressure for accountability and complicating peace negotiations.
As the army attempts to consolidate more territory and push out the RSF, the likelihood of continued violence remains high. The conflict’s resolution is further complicated by the RSF’s control over significant territories, including parts of Darfur, and their efforts to establish a parallel government.
The reclamation of the presidential palace by the Sudanese army could be a turning point in the conflict. However, without a comprehensive strategy that includes diplomatic efforts and addresses the underlying issues driving the conflict, peace remains a distant prospect. International mediation and support will be crucial in helping Sudan navigate towards stability and democratic governance.
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