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After Somalia, Egypt Eyes Eritrea in Strategic Play to Isolate Ethiopia

Cairo’s diplomatic moves in the Horn of Africa intensify as Egypt seeks military cooperation with Eritrea to pressure Ethiopia over the Grand Renaissance Dam.
Egypt is turning up the heat in the Horn of Africa, and its latest target is Eritrea. In a bold move that could further isolate Ethiopia, Egyptian intelligence and foreign affairs officials met with Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki in Asmara over the weekend, delivering a direct message from President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi. The message was clear: Cairo is ready to “strengthen and develop bilateral relations in all fields,” signaling potential military cooperation between the two nations, including joint measures to protect Red Sea shipping lanes.
This meeting is the latest in a string of aggressive diplomatic maneuvers by Egypt, aimed squarely at its long-standing nemesis, Ethiopia. Tensions between Cairo and Addis Ababa are already high, largely due to Ethiopia’s construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on the Blue Nile, a project that Egypt views as a direct threat to its vital water supply. Egypt’s recent military cooperation agreement with Somalia—allowing for the deployment of 10 Egyptian soldiers—has only exacerbated tensions, with Ethiopia responding swiftly by ramping up its military presence along the Somali border.
Now, it appears Egypt is looking to replicate this strategy with Eritrea, a move that could further destabilize the region. According to the Emirati newspaper The National, discussions between Egypt and Eritrea could lead to a military cooperation agreement similar to the one signed with Somalia, sparking fears of increased military escalation. In addition, Egypt is reportedly positioning itself as a mediator in Eritrea’s long-standing conflict with the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), a conflict that has also entangled Ethiopia. For Addis Ababa, this could mean even more pressure on multiple fronts.
The diplomatic chess game between Egypt and Ethiopia is not just about military muscle—it’s also about strategic geography. Egypt controls the northern Red Sea, including the critical Suez Canal, while Eritrea’s proximity to the Bab el Mandeb Strait—one of the world’s most vital maritime chokepoints—makes it a highly strategic partner for Egypt. Together, these nations hold sway over key global shipping routes, adding a layer of complexity to the already tense regional dynamic.
Sisi and Afwerki’s latest meeting follows a series of high-level discussions that have taken place over the past year. In February, the two leaders met in Cairo, and just three months prior, they had sat down in Riyadh. The frequency of these meetings highlights the growing importance of this relationship, not just for bilateral cooperation but as a direct counterbalance to Ethiopia’s growing regional influence.
The potential military agreement with Eritrea would be just one of many Cairo has signed with countries in the Horn of Africa, East Africa, and the Nile Basin. Egypt has recently inked deals with Djibouti, Kenya, Uganda, Sudan, and, most notably, Somalia. Each of these agreements has analysts speculating that Egypt’s ultimate goal is to put enough pressure on Ethiopia to force concessions in the ongoing GERD dispute.
The timing of these agreements has only deepened the rift between Egypt and Ethiopia. The agreement with Somalia, signed in mid-August, has been particularly inflammatory, as Egypt sent troops to Somalia, stirring fears in Addis Ababa of a coordinated front against Ethiopia. In response, Ethiopia deployed armored vehicles and soldiers along the border and took control of key airports in Somalia’s Gedo region, likely to prevent any further Egyptian military presence in the area.
The geopolitical entanglement between Somalia, Eritrea, Egypt, and Ethiopia is more than just a territorial or military chess game. It’s a battle for influence, survival, and, ultimately, control of the Nile’s lifeblood. Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance Dam—nearing completion—represents both a symbol of national pride and an existential threat for Egypt. Addis Ababa insists the dam is crucial for its development, while Cairo fears it will diminish its already scarce water resources.
Complicating matters further is Egypt’s renewed closeness with Somalia, which has deepened since the election of Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in 2022. Egypt has become a key player in Somalia’s security apparatus, helping train soldiers and supply weapons. Recent reports suggest that Somalia may even be considering granting Egypt a military base, a move that would certainly provoke further outrage in Ethiopia.
Adding to the intrigue is Egypt’s recent rapprochement with Turkey, Somalia’s longtime ally. After years of tense relations, Cairo and Ankara are now back on speaking terms, evidenced by President Sisi’s visit to Turkey this year, the first since 2014. This diplomatic thaw could further shift the balance of power in the region, as Egypt seeks to solidify alliances while Ethiopia remains increasingly isolated.
As Egypt continues to flex its diplomatic and military muscles, the Horn of Africa is fast becoming a powder keg. The question is, how long until it ignites? Egypt’s calculated moves—strengthening ties with Somalia and Eritrea, expanding its military reach, and pressuring Ethiopia—are setting the stage for a regional showdown that could have far-reaching consequences, not just for the countries involved but for the entire region.
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Danish PM: Greenland Is NOT for Sale — And We’re Not Afraid

Mette Frederiksen accuses Washington of using coercive diplomacy in Arctic, says Trump “serious” about acquiring Greenland amid escalating tensions.
Greenland Standoff: Denmark Slams Trump Administration Over Arctic Pressure Campaign
Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen delivered an unusually forceful rebuke to Washington this week, denouncing what she described as “unacceptable pressure” by the Trump administration over an upcoming visit to Greenland by senior U.S. officials, including Second Lady Usha Vance.
“This is clearly not a visit that is about what Greenland needs or wants,” Frederiksen said, calling out the planned visit — which includes U.S. National Security Adviser Mike Waltz and Energy Secretary Chris Wright — as an act of coercive diplomacy rather than cooperation.
Frederiksen made it clear that the trip, expected to take place despite protests from Greenlandic representatives, is “not welcome,” particularly given that the autonomous Arctic territory currently has no sitting government following recent elections.
“You cannot make a private visit with official representatives from another country,” she warned, criticizing the visit’s timing and the diplomatic overreach it represents.
A Renewed Bid for Greenland?
Trump’s ambitions for Greenland — first floated in 2019 and widely dismissed as a stunt — have reemerged with greater intensity since his return to office. This time, his rhetoric is more blunt, describing the acquisition of Greenland as an “absolute necessity” for U.S. national security. The island’s vast mineral reserves and critical location in the Arctic are seen as part of a new Cold War calculus, with both China and Russia ramping up their Arctic activity.
Trump has refused to rule out acquiring the territory through military force or economic leverage. Sources close to the administration say internal discussions about basing rights, port access, and mineral extraction deals have accelerated in recent months.
Greenland is fast becoming a geopolitical hotspot. The U.S. operates Thule Air Base in the north, a critical node in its global missile defense network. Meanwhile, Chinese state-backed companies have made bids for mining and infrastructure projects on the island, stoking fears in Washington of encroachment.
Frederiksen acknowledged the complex relationship between Denmark, Greenland, and the U.S., emphasizing their defense agreement dating back to 1951. “There is no indication in either Denmark or Greenland that we do not want to cooperate with the Americans,” she said.
“But when you make a visit like this and the Greenlandic politicians say they don’t want this visit, you can’t interpret that as respectful.”
With Trump openly eyeing Greenland as a strategic acquisition, Denmark finds itself on the frontlines of a revived Arctic chessboard. The friction over this visit — dismissed in Washington as routine — could mark the beginning of a larger confrontation over sovereignty, critical resources, and the Arctic’s future.
As Frederiksen made clear: “Trump is serious. He wants Greenland. This cannot be viewed in isolation.”
Reporting by WARYATV Strategic Affairs Desk
For further insights or media inquiries, contact: newsdesk@waryatv.com
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Power Collapse Leaves Jigjiga, Eastern Ethiopia in the Dark for Fifth Day

Jigjiga and much of eastern Ethiopia have endured five nights without power after key transmission towers collapsed last week. The blackout has crippled services, impacted Ramadan observances, and left residents in the dark—literally and figuratively. Power may return by Monday.
Eastern Ethiopia remains gripped by a power crisis, now entering its fifth consecutive day, with Jigjiga, Harar, Dire Dawa, Fiiq, and Dhagaxbuur among the worst-affected towns. The outage—traced to the collapse of seven transmission towers near Awash—has created a humanitarian and economic disruption at a critical moment, with Ramadan observances, healthcare services, and daily commerce severely impacted.
Officials say the collapsed towers had long been compromised by metal theft, a chronic issue in Ethiopia’s infrastructure network. When heavy rains and strong winds hit the region last week, the already-weakened structures gave way. The result: a total blackout across a swath of eastern Ethiopia, cutting off the flow of electricity from the national grid.
“Vandals had targeted these towers for some time,” Jigjiga’s Mayor Eng. Shafi Ahmed Ma’alim said, “and when the weather turned, they came down.” Attempts to mitigate the outage using wind turbines in Aysha failed, leaving entire cities dark.
For a region already contending with economic hardship, the blackout has been particularly disruptive during Ramadan, when nighttime activity increases. “People must move around for prayers and gatherings at night. But the city is pitch black,” the mayor noted. Mosques, dependent on diesel generators, are struggling with rising fuel costs that render evening prayer services unsustainable in many areas.
The economic toll is mounting. Small businesses, especially those reliant on refrigeration, power tools, or digital transactions, have been left stranded. “My fridge is off. Everything is rotting, and customers can’t pay because their phones are dead,” said Fardowso Yusuf Omar, a market vendor in Jigjiga. Factories remain idle, and communication infrastructure is faltering, isolating residents from friends and family as mobile devices run out of battery.
Amid these challenges, the government has moved quickly to respond. Emergency teams have been deployed to repair and replace the seven downed towers, each of which carried five high-voltage transmission lines. The mayor has confirmed that repairs are largely complete and that power is expected to return to Jigjiga by Monday night.
While the rapid repair effort is commendable, the incident highlights a deeper issue: chronic infrastructure vulnerability and insufficient protection of critical systems. The theft of metal components from power lines is not new, and without a national plan to deter vandalism and fortify key infrastructure, similar outages could recur.
This blackout is not just an energy failure—it is a warning. For regions like Jigjiga and other parts of eastern Ethiopia, resilience planning, infrastructure security, and decentralized energy solutions are now urgent policy imperatives. The consequences of inaction are plain to see: cities paralyzed, economies disrupted, and lives dimmed—literally and figuratively—when the power goes out.
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Mogadishu’s Car Bomb Decline Tied to New Transport Enforcement Measures

Former transport minister highlights how standardized registration and license plate enforcement disrupted Al-Shabaab’s tactics.
A marked decline in car bombings across Mogadishu is being attributed to a targeted policy shift led by former Somali Transport Minister Fardowsa Osman Egal: the enforcement of vehicle registration and license plate requirements.
During a handover ceremony to her successor, Mohamed Farah Nur, Egal emphasized that her ministry’s push to mandate vehicle identification has significantly narrowed the operational space for Al-Shabaab, the al-Qaida-linked group that has long used car bombs to destabilize the Somali capital.
Her remarks underscore how administrative reform, often overlooked in broader security narratives, has become a critical tool in urban counterterrorism strategy. By closing loopholes that allowed unregistered vehicles to circulate freely, the government has made it increasingly difficult for militants to transport explosives undetected.
Checkpoints in Mogadishu are now equipped with real-time vehicle verification systems linked to a centralized Ministry of Transport database. This modernized screening infrastructure, paired with interagency coordination, allows law enforcement to quickly identify irregularities and flag suspicious vehicles.
Egal’s tenure also focused on a larger national goal: harmonizing vehicle registration systems across Somalia’s federal member states. Previously, differing documentation practices among regions allowed Al-Shabaab to exploit inconsistencies, slipping past checkpoints by leveraging state-level fragmentation.
By promoting uniform registration protocols, her ministry helped close gaps in surveillance across regional borders. “No matter where a car is registered, it can now be identified and verified,” she noted—an important step in restoring state authority and regulatory integrity across a still-fragmented federal system.
While Mogadishu remains vulnerable to security threats, these reforms represent a functional disruption of Al-Shabaab’s mobility, especially in the capital. Officials say the group’s reliance on car bombs—a signature method of attack—has become harder to execute due to the increased visibility and traceability of vehicles.
This approach reflects a broader shift in Somali security thinking, where civilian infrastructure and administrative capacity are increasingly recognized as integral to counterterrorism efforts. Rather than relying solely on military action, Somalia’s government is leveraging institutional governance to choke off logistical enablers of militant operations.
The progress is fragile, and Somalia’s broader security architecture remains under strain. But the vehicle registration campaign offers a replicable model for how low-cost, high-impact reforms can help reclaim urban space from violent extremism.
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All on Board Killed in Aircraft Crash Near Mogadishu

DHC-5D Buffalo aircraft en route to Mogadishu went down southwest of the capital; investigation underway.
A tragic air crash near Somalia’s capital has claimed the lives of five individuals, following the downing of a DHC-5D Buffalo aircraft operated by Trident Aviation Ltd. The plane, registered as 5Y-RBA, was on a routine domestic flight from Dhobley Airport to Aden Abdulle International Airport in Mogadishu when it crashed approximately 24 kilometers southwest of the city on Saturday evening.
The Somali Civil Aviation Authority (SCAA) confirmed that all five occupants on board lost their lives. The cause of the crash remains unknown, and an official investigation is ongoing.
The DHC-5D Buffalo, designed for short takeoff and landing (STOL) capabilities, is typically used in difficult terrains and humanitarian missions. Its rugged design is suited for Somalia’s remote environments and has often been relied upon in regions with limited infrastructure.
While the aircraft type has a strong track record in non-commercial aviation roles, mechanical issues, challenging weather, and navigational errors can all contribute to accidents—especially in areas with limited aviation infrastructure or poor visibility conditions.
The swift deployment of emergency response teams, including Somali government personnel and international partners, underscores the importance of regional coordination in crisis response. However, the incident also highlights Somalia’s broader aviation challenges, including air safety oversight, infrastructure gaps, and logistical complexity in monitoring domestic air operations.
This tragedy comes at a time when Somalia’s aviation sector is working to reassert civilian oversight and modernize its capabilities following years of conflict and fragmentation. The investigation into this crash will likely be seen as a test of the country’s emerging aviation regulatory framework and its ability to ensure accountability and transparency in the aftermath of such incidents.
As recovery operations continue, authorities have promised to release further updates as details emerge from the investigation.
Analysis
Trump Uses SLAM-ERs, JDAMs, Tomahawks in Yemen Campaign

Trump administration intensifies campaign against Iran-backed Houthis using advanced munitions, signaling broader strategic intentions in the Middle East.
The United States has escalated its military campaign against the Houthis in Yemen, deploying some of its most advanced precision-guided weaponry in a series of airstrikes aimed at degrading the group’s operational capabilities. The strikes come amid growing regional volatility, with U.S. and Israeli forces signaling broader strategic intentions that may extend beyond the Houthi threat.
According to The National Interest, the Trump administration has shifted from limited deterrence to direct, sustained action, using a combination of naval and air assets to hit Houthi targets. This follows the group’s continued attacks on international shipping lanes since late 2023, conducted with Iranian-supplied drones and missiles.
The military response from the U.S. has included aircraft launched from the USS Harry S. Truman, cruise missile strikes from USS Gettysburg, and widespread use of precision-guided munitions designed to strike deep into Houthi-controlled territory while minimizing risk to U.S. forces.
Key Weapons Deployed
F/A-18E/F Super Hornets have taken the lead in air operations, equipped with a range of standoff weapons such as the AGM-154 Joint Standoff Weapon (JSOW) and AGM-84H SLAM-ER cruise missiles. These munitions are capable of hitting targets from long distances, staying clear of Houthi air defenses, which have been bolstered by Iranian support.
The JSOW, a glide bomb with GPS and infrared terminal guidance, allows for pinpoint accuracy from up to 70 miles. It is stealthy, difficult to detect, and versatile, with variants for penetrating hardened targets or dispersing submunitions.
Meanwhile, the SLAM-ER brings advanced mid-flight retargeting capabilities and a two-way data link, enabling operators to adjust strike parameters in real-time. With a range exceeding 150 miles and a 500-pound warhead, it is particularly suited to neutralizing Houthi command and control centers or missile storage sites.
JDAMs (Joint Direct Attack Munitions), though less technologically complex, remain a critical part of the arsenal. These kits turn conventional bombs into precision-guided weapons using GPS, with the ability to strike within a 16-foot radius in all weather conditions. Dropped from high altitudes, JDAMs offer cost-effective and reliable firepower.
Finally, the Tomahawk cruise missile, launched from surface ships like the USS Gettysburg, remains a strategic workhorse. With a range of up to 1,500 miles and advanced guidance systems including GPS, TERCOM, and DSMAC, the Tomahawk is ideal for striking deeply entrenched targets with minimal warning.
Why These Weapons Matter
The munitions deployed reflect a calculated strategy: suppress Houthi capabilities from a distance, avoid American casualties, and prevent escalation with Iran, all while sending a clear message of deterrence. These strikes are not random; they’re designed to degrade infrastructure used to launch anti-ship attacks and build momentum toward a larger strategic objective.
The use of these systems also highlights the limitations of the Houthis. Despite their use of Iranian-provided ballistic and cruise missiles, their ability to counter high-precision, standoff weapons remains limited. This technological imbalance reinforces the U.S.’s ability to project power in contested regions.
Strategic Implications
The strikes against the Houthis may be a tactical response to maritime threats, but they are unfolding within a broader context. The reopening of Israel’s southern front against Hamas, coupled with reported preparations for joint Israeli-American strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, suggests that the region could be entering a more expansive and volatile phase.
If strikes against Iran materialize, the attacks on the Houthis—seen as Iranian proxies—may be viewed not as isolated events but as the opening salvos in a broader regional confrontation.
Conclusion
The U.S. campaign against the Houthis marks a shift in posture under President Trump, moving from defensive deterrence to proactive, high-tech strikes aimed at dismantling hostile capabilities. The use of precision-guided weapons reflects not only military efficiency but also a strategic calculus that places Yemen within a larger arc of tension between Washington, Tehran, and their respective allies.
As the region teeters toward further escalation, the current operations may well serve as both deterrent and dress rehearsal for potential conflicts to come.
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Somalia Voices Outrage, Urges Global Intervention Over Israeli Airstrikes in UN Clash

Somalia’s appeal for a UN investigation into Israeli airstrikes highlights the nation’s strong stance on the protection of international law and human rights. Somalia’s involvement at the UN Security Council meeting, calling for independent scrutiny of military actions impacting civilian and UN facilities in Gaza, underscores its diplomatic alignment with global efforts to secure peace and stability in the region. This move aligns with wider international concerns about the consequences of the conflict in Gaza on civilians and infrastructure, echoing calls from various countries for transparency, accountability, and a sustained peace process.
Ambassador Osman’s explicit support for mediation efforts led by Egypt, Qatar, and the United States reflects Somalia’s commitment to collaborative, internationally led solutions to complex geopolitical conflicts. His criticism of humanitarian access restrictions in Gaza positions Somalia as a vocal advocate for unimpeded aid delivery, highlighting the severe humanitarian crisis unfolding in the area. The Somali government’s alignment with Arab and Muslim-majority nations in supporting Palestinian statehood further cements its stance on this long-standing issue, advocating for a just and lasting resolution to the conflict.
This approach from Somalia could influence its international relations, potentially strengthening ties with nations sharing similar views on the Gaza situation while reinforcing its role as a proactive participant in international diplomacy focused on conflict resolution and humanitarian issues. The ongoing dialogue and mediation efforts remain crucial as stakeholders strive to overcome the hurdles in ceasefire negotiations and address the broader political, humanitarian, and security implications of the conflict in Gaza.
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London Man Nabbed with £18K Khat Stash at Newcastle Airport

Dubai to Newcastle with a Dangerous Cargo: How a Trip Ended in a Drug Bust.
Ahmed Hirsi, who received a suspended sentence for smuggling £18,000 worth of khat into the UK, highlights a complex interplay between drug enforcement policies and the socio-economic circumstances of those involved in drug trafficking. Hirsi’s story sheds light on the challenges faced by legal systems in addressing drug smuggling operations that often exploit individuals facing economic hardships or health issues.
The decision to give Hirsi a suspended sentence instead of immediate prison time reflects a growing trend in judicial systems to consider the personal circumstances and motivations behind a defendant’s actions. This approach can be seen as part of a broader shift towards more rehabilitative and less punitive measures in dealing with non-violent drug offenses. The use of electronic monitoring and the imposition of a curfew suggest an attempt to balance the need for punishment with the opportunity for rehabilitation.
The classification of khat as a Class C drug in the UK underscores the ongoing debate over the handling of substances that are culturally significant in some communities but considered illegal in others. Khat is legal and widely used in East Africa and parts of the Middle East, yet its status in the UK reflects broader global discrepancies in drug legislation. This case highlights the challenges that arise from such discrepancies, especially when they intersect with issues of immigration and multicultural integration.
Hirsi’s background, including his long-term residence in the UK, his health issues, and his economic situation, adds layers of complexity to the case. His involvement in smuggling, as suggested by the court, may have been driven by vulnerability rather than criminal intent. This aspect of the case invites discussion on the socio-economic drivers of crime and the ways in which individuals are recruited by criminal networks.
The impact of this case extends beyond the individual to the community level, particularly within diaspora communities where khat use is prevalent. The legal repercussions for Hirsi may deter similar attempts to import khat, but they also highlight the need for greater community engagement and education about the legal status of culturally significant substances.
ASSESSMENTS
UAE Eyes Major Stake in US AI Sector with $25 Billion Investment

The recent announcement of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to significantly ramp up its artificial intelligence (AI) investments in the United States marks a pivotal shift in both technological and geopolitical landscapes. This development is underscored by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed’s visit to Washington, signaling a robust commitment to advancing AI capabilities through strategic international collaborations.
The UAE’s decision to invest $25 billion in the US AI sector is not just an economic maneuver but a strategic positioning within the global tech landscape. This investment could catalyze significant advancements in AI technologies, potentially positioning the US even more prominently as a leader in the AI field. For the UAE, this move diversifies its economic dependencies away from oil and toward technology, aligning with its broader economic transformation goals.
Sheikh Tahnoon’s role in managing two sovereign wealth funds and his direct involvement in this substantial investment highlight the UAE’s strategic pivot towards the US. This realignment might be indicative of a shift in global alliances, with the UAE positioning itself closer to Washington’s sphere of influence, distancing itself from China’s technological ecosystem. This could realign technology sourcing and security alliances in favor of the US, potentially altering the balance in tech dominance between the US and China.
By securing access to cutting-edge American AI chips, the UAE could leapfrog in developing high-tech industries, from autonomous vehicles to smart city infrastructure, which are pivotal for its future economic landscape. For the US, granting the UAE access to advanced AI technologies ensures a partner in technological development and potentially a diplomatic ally in regional conflicts and broader geopolitical strategies.
Predictions and Outcomes
The infusion of capital and resources from the UAE is likely to accelerate innovation in AI within the US, leading to faster development of new technologies and AI applications. This could spur further investments in AI research and development, fostering a cycle of innovation and investment that benefits the global AI landscape.
As the UAE aligns more closely with the US in technology and security, there may be shifts in how Middle Eastern politics are navigated, particularly concerning relations with China and Russia. The US might leverage this partnership to strengthen its influence in the Middle East, countering China’s Belt and Road initiatives in the region.
With increased investment in AI, both nations will need to address the ethical implications of AI technology, including privacy concerns, surveillance, and the potential for AI in military applications. This partnership could lead to a harmonization of AI governance standards between the UAE and the US, influencing global norms and practices in AI ethics and regulation.
Overall, this deepened partnership between the UAE and the US in AI could herald a new era of technological progress and geopolitical cooperation, reshaping economic and strategic priorities on a global scale. As AI continues to be a critical element of national power, the ripple effects of this partnership will likely be observed across various sectors and regions.
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